All House candidates have now submitted their 1st quarter 2006 FEC reports. I have been keeping track of the most competitive races. The following is the long list of where the potentially competitve races stand. I have organized them first by type of seat (open (separated by Dem-held and GOP-held), GOP incumbent, and Dem incumbent) and then by state. There are three numbers after each name separated by slashes: 1st Quarter fundraising total/Total fundraising this cycle/cash on hand. All figures are in thousands of dollars.
Part I (
http://www.dailykos.com/...) covered the 18 competitive open seats (12R, 6D). Part IIa here will cover the first 28 of the fully 58 competitive races featuring a GOP incumbent (states A-M), plus an update for the open Ohio 06 and 13 since the Ohio numbers weren't in last week. Part IIb will finish the GOP incumbent races, and Part III will look at the 18 competitive races with a Dem incumbent. In this context, "competitive" can still mean longshot--it just means that the challenger is in place and doing well and the district is not so tilted that lightning couldn't strike. In other words, a lot of these are longshots.
(Sidenote: The open seat list left off OK-05, NE-03, CO-05, and ID-01--four races where we have good candidates with very good fundraising numbers (except OK-05) but I just couldn't see the Dems winning any of the four districts unless a GOP nominee gets busted for kiddie porn the week before the election. If anyone disagrees with my assessment, I'd love to hear it. The same goes for races left off this list.)
There are three numbers after each name separated by slashes: 1st Quarter fundraising total/Total fundraising this cycle/cash on hand. All figures are in thousands of dollars.
GOP incumbents to watch
Arizona 05
Harry Mitchell (D) 213/ 213/ 204
J.D. Hayworth* (R) 278/ 828/ 687
California 04
Charles Brown (D) 61/ 97/ 60
Lisa Rea (D) 20/ 20/ 9
John Doolittle* (R) 287/ 794/ 407
Mike Holmes (R) 15/ 71/ 10
California 11
Steve Filson (D) 135/ 291/ 125
Jerry McNerney (D) 63/ 168/ 81
Richard Pombo* (R) 326/1414/1017
Pete McCloskey (R) 256/ 256/ 176
California 26
Russ Warner (D) 62/ 170/ 128
David Dreier* (R) 235/1182/3165
Colorado 04
Angie Paccione (D) 152/ 398/ 235
Marilyn Musgrave* (R) 275/1850/1082
Colorado 06
Bill Winter (D) 133/ 165/ 90
Tom Tancredo* (R) 186/ 723/ 402
Connecticut 02
Joe Courtney (D) 274/ 806/ 674
Rob Simmons* (R) 235/1351/ 894
Connecticut 04
Diane Farrell (D) 518/1103/ 832
Chris Shays* (R) 372/1708/1093
Connecticut 05
Chris Murphy (D) 326/ 747/ 655
Nancy Johnson* (R) 449/1714/2471
Florida 08
Charlie Stuart (D) 78/ 403/ 252
Ric Keller* (R) 268/ 758/1166
Florida 16
Tim Mahoney (D) 207/ 479/ 303
Mark Foley* (R) 169/ 796/2415
Florida 22
Ron Klein (D) 515/1859/1550
Clay Shaw* (R) 750/1920/2057
Florida 24
Andy Michaud (D) 1/ 175/ 107
Tom Feeney* (R) 139/ 815/ 640
Iowa 02
Dave Loebsack (D) 46/ 141/ 82
Jim Leach* (R) 98/ 278/ 189
Illinois 10
Dan Seals (D) 314/ 374/ 244
Mark Kirk* (R) 308/1635/1357
Illinois 11
John Pavich (D) 83/ 327/ 226
Jerry Weller* (R) 300/1196/ 857
Indiana 02
Joe Donnelley (D) 161/ 416/ 322
Chris Chocola* (R) 714/1559/1427
Indiana 03
Tom Hayhurst (D) 50/ 155/ 123
Mark Souder* (R) 25/ 107/ 41
Indiana 08
Brad Ellsworth (D) 236/ 681/ 533
Jon Hostettler* (R) 44/ 119/ 56
Indiana 09
Baron Hill (D) 168/ 797/ 688
Mike Sodrel* (R) 338/1279/ 846
Kansas 02
Nancy Boyda (D) 126/ 128/ 56
Jim Ryun* (R) 63/ 383/ 252
Kentucky 02
Mike Weaver (D) 111/ 212/ 178
Ron Lewis* (R) 159/ 659/ 753
Kentucky 03
John Yarmuth (D) 331/ 331/ 292
Andrew Horne (D) 138/ 138/ 82
Anne Northup* (R) 554/1754/1605
Kentucky 04
Ken Lucas (D) 391/ 391/ 329
Geoff Davis* (R) 684/1624/1032
Michigan 08
Jim Marcinkowski (D) 139/ 146/ 117
Mike Rogers* (R) 142/ 735/1000
Michigan 09
Nancy Skinner (D) 103/ 103/ 89
John Ashcraft (D) 34/ 34/ 2
Joe Knollenberg* (R) 143/1273/1071
Pan Godchaux (R) 159/ 159/ 129
Minnesota 01
Tim Walz (D) 127/ 245/ 124
Gil Gutknecht* (R) 107/ 583/ 680
Minnesota 02
Colleen Rowley (D) 99/ 269/ 102
John Kline* (R) 191/ 838/ 552
Montana at Large
Monica Lindeen (D) 98/ 260/ 154
Dennis Rehberg* (R) 120/ 548/ 525
The Ohio updates:
Ohio 06
Charlie Wilson (D-WI) 142/ 616/ 109
Chuck Blasdel (R) 227/ 593/ 360
Ohio 13
Capri Cafaro (D) 866/1953/ 52
Betty Sutton (D) 402/ 423/ 22
Tom Sawyer (D) 45/ 57/ 34
Bill Grace (D) 43/ 43/ 13
Gary Kucinich (D) 19/ 19/ 2
Craig Foltin (R) 214/ 214/ 186