Not terribly good news in either state. Both polled likely voters.
New Mexico
George W. Bush 46%
John Kerry 45%
Ralph Nader 3%
Undecided 6%
+- 4%
w/o Nader:
George W. Bush 47%
John Kerry 47%
Undecided 6%
New Hampshire
George W. Bush 48%
John Kerry 43%
Ralph Nader 3%
Undecided 6%
+- 4%
w/o Nader:
George W. Bush 48%
John Kerry 45%
Undecided 7%
Not much good news to report in NH, but in NM look at the favoribility ratings...
Aware Fav Unf Und
George W. Bush: 100% 45% 45% 10%
John Kerry: 93% 42% 19% 32%
Ralph Nader: 96% 13% 62% 21%
The good news here is that Bush is pretty much defined in the eyes of the voters. There's not much room to gain support with a 45% unfavorable rating. However, Kerry only has a 19% unfavorable with almost a third undecided and another 7% who aren't even aware of him yet. I'd say look for Kerry to pick up a couple points over the next couple months and squeak by here.