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The lead story in this morning's Cleveland Plain Dealer had plenty of good news for Ohio Democrats.  According to Mason-Dixon...

Ted Strickland leads Ken Blackwell, 53-36, in the Ohio governor's race.  These figures are very much in line with other recent polls on this race, including the recent Columbus Dispatch poll.  PD columnist Brent Larkin reporetd that 23% of Republicans plan to vote for Strickland, while only 7% of Democrats plan to vote for Blackwell.  (Who are these people?)  Blackwell's favorable/unfavorable numbers are 32/45, compared to Strickland's 46/20.  Larkin went on to state that "candidates with Blackwell's type of unfavorables don't usually lose.  They always lose."  

Stick a fork in Blackwell.  He's done.
 

The Ohio Senate race is considerably tighter than  the gubernatorial race.  Sherrod Brown leads Mike DeWine, 45-43, which is well within the 4-point margin of error.  Brown holds a big lead, 52-33, among independents, and the results of this poll represent a 13-point swing toward Brown since the last M-D poll four months ago.  (See http://www.dailykos.com/....)  Brown's lead over the last few polls has ranged from 1-10 points, and one has to go back a while to find DeWine's last lead.  And 43% support for a two-term incumbent is pretty poor no matter how you look at it.  Brown and DeWine will slug it out for another month, and this race is far from over, but I have to like Brown's chances.

The Plain Dealer also provided poll results for other statewide races.  Demopcrat Jennifer Brunner holds a slim 35-32 lead over Republican Greg Hartmann in the race for Secretary of State.  Democrat Richard Cordray holds a substantial 40-31 lead over Sandra O'Brien, his opponent for state treasurer.  Democrat Barbara Sykes leads Mary Taylor, her Republican opponent for state auditor, by a 38-33 margin.  Republicans lead only one statewide race; Betty Montgomery leads Marc Dann 47-37 in the race for attorney general.

Other nuggets...

A proposed amendment to raise the state minimum wage to $6.85/hour has overwhelming support; it leads by a 73-20 margin.

A proposed amendment to expand slot-machine gambling, a measure which has been touted as a source of funding for education, is failing by a 52-36 margin.  I have no moral objection to gambling per se, but I object to government funding essential services by taking advantage of the ignorance and greed of the electorate.  If we need the money, be honest about it and raise it through taxation.  Just once, I would like to see a candidate - any candidate - say that we get what we pay for.  OK, enough preaching for tonight...

George W. Bush's performance was rated as excellent or good by 39% of respondents, fair or poor by 60%.  Even after throwing out the 18% of respondents in the "fair" category, GWB's ratings were still negative, 39/42.

A 54-36 majority disapproves of GWB's handling of the war in Iraq.

Democrats received higher marks than Republicans on their ability to handle the economy and jobs (46-32), takes and government spending (43-31), and education (48-28).  When asked which party was better suited to deal with the issue of honesty in government, 35% choce the Democrats and 21% choce the Republicans.

Originally posted to KTinOhio on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:39 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Thanks... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    John DE

    Informative.  I hope Brown is able to kick it up a notch.

    "We're all working for the Pharoah" - Richard Thompson

    by mayan on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:40:53 PM PDT

    •  I saw a little of the debate... (2+ / 0-)

      DeWine looked like a mean-spirited little yapping dog.  Neo-con prototype Serial #35653.  He kept shouting over Brown.

      How did the debate play out?  I throw up in my mouth when I see Russert, so I had to turn it off.

      "We're all working for the Pharoah" - Richard Thompson

      by mayan on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:42:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  That's about how I saw it (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        mayan

        DeWine would ask for a chance to respond, practically demand it, and then sit there with his mouth open like he was waiting for the guy inside his head to type out the words he was supposed to speak.

        Brown knocked that one out of the park today.

        I want to die like my grandfather, peacefully in my sleep, not screaming in terror like his passengers.

        by incertus on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:55:39 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  I would love for Brown (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Yosef 52, mayan, yoduuuh do or do not

    to get over the "Deibold margin of error" which I think is around 10-12 in Ohio.

    Does the devil wear a suit and tie, Or does he work at the Dairy Queen- Martin Sexton

    by strengthof10kmen on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:43:47 PM PDT

  •  It would be great if the Ohio Senate race... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mayan

    ...were a bigger margin, but if you'd told me during the Hackett fiasco that Sherrod Brown would be tied with DeWine 6 weeks out, I would have taken it in a heartbeat.

    Chuck Schumer is not the enemy

    by AnnArborBlue on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:47:05 PM PDT

  •  Can you imagine an Democratic majority ? (0+ / 0-)

    Wow, its almost too much to take in.

  •  If he wins independents by 19 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mayan

    He will cruise to victory. Ohio's gop turnout is going to suuuck.

    ==== The More You Know *

    by ZT155 on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:53:09 PM PDT

  •  How's the Foley thing... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    RunawayRose

    Playing for Boehner on the ground in Ohio?  Any signs that the race for his seat could be competetive?

    "We're all working for the Pharoah" - Richard Thompson

    by mayan on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 09:58:09 PM PDT

  •  Well (0+ / 0-)

    It looks like Betty Montgomery may be the only Republican in Ohio to prevail at the polls this year. Given that the OH GOP is in dire straits, coupled with the Blackwell meltdown, Democrats will win all but one of the races. I think Montgomery wins only because she, like IL State Treasurer Judy Topinka (R) in 2002, will be able to come off as more "moderate and independent".

    http://www.keen.com/jiacinto For DC related travel advice, please visit that link.

    by jiacinto on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 10:01:34 PM PDT

    •  Probably true... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      RunawayRose

      The same traits that doomed her chances in the GOP gubernatorial promary will probably help her in the AG race.

      Yes, in fact, I do drive a Volvo.

      by KTinOhio on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 10:03:15 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

        Is there any way at all that Mark Dann can come back?

        http://www.keen.com/jiacinto For DC related travel advice, please visit that link.

        by jiacinto on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 10:04:26 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yes (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          RunawayRose
          Many polls have shown this race to be much closer, and Marc starts his TV next week. A lot of Betty's ads have been focused on -- LOL -- protecting children from sexual predators. It's about all she has because she's been a total do-nothing, as auditor and then in her previous term as attorney general.

          The one advantage as I see it is that you get a different response when you isolate and poll this race than you are liekly to get in the polls if the democrats sweep which it's looking like they might, with Ted swamping Kathy Harris Blackwell. When you mention Betty on her own, a lot of people go 'Oh, her name is familiar, she's not a wingnut, and I don't know anything overtly bad about her" (forget the fact that she is TOTALLY corrupt and up to her eyeballs in the Coingate scandal). But will they sort her out from the mass of horrible Republicans when they go into the booth on election day? Who knows?

          It's sad that Marc isn't leading because electing him could totally change not only the landscape of Ohio but the national landscape, because the attorney general now has power to investigate and if need be prosecute election fraud with a state of limitations of six years, which Marc keeps pointing out means he could convene a grand jury to look into how the Ohio 2004 presidential election was handled. Betty would just sit on her ass and let the big donor continue to corrupt our state while she looked the other way and she certainly would have zero interest in investigating whether we have had fair elections. She's really completely horrible, even if she isn't an anti-abortion, anti-gay nut.

          If anyone can help Marc out, that would be great!
          http://www.dannforohio.com/...

          I am going to a fundraiser for him next weekend, and trying to drag my best friend and her husband too. if you are in Northeast ohio, go to his website for details on that!

      •  Maybe the Ohio GOP will take a lesson from that (0+ / 0-)

        What am I saying? Of course they won't.

        I want to die like my grandfather, peacefully in my sleep, not screaming in terror like his passengers.

        by incertus on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 10:09:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  so what about the legislature? (0+ / 0-)

    great about all those state-wide races.  and the minimum wage.

    But is strickland just going to be a veto machine?

    Don't start a blog, build a community with SoapBlox - the NEW blog framework.

    by pacified on Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 10:55:06 PM PDT

  •  What about the state legislature? (0+ / 0-)

    I know it's gerrymandered for the GOP, but the Democrats did pick up seats in 2004 and could do so again. Are there any notable races?

  •  Ohio 02 (0+ / 0-)

    I'm a Hackett supporter in San Francisco who keeps looking for Ohio 02 results.  Vic Wulsin has what she needs to beat Mean Jean, but there's slim pickin's in these election roundups on this race.  I'll continue to keep my eyes out.  

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