Skip to main content

COLORADO (governor, open)

Mason-Dixon. 10/3-5. Active voters. MoE 4% (7/12-13 results)

Beauprez (R) 35 (35)
Ritter (D) 50 (42)

The Democratic resurgence in Colorado is threatening to produce even more victories this cycle.


MINNESOTA (Governor, Senate)

Rasmussen Gov | Sen. 10/4. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (8/28 results)

Governor

Pawlenty (R) 42 (45)
Hatch (D) 44 (39)

Senate (open)

Klobuchar (D) 53 (47)
Kennedy (R) 36 (40)

Kennedy may be the biggest dud of a candidate this cycle.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:16 AM PDT.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  CO-Gov (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Colorado Luis, dochackenbush

    And Ritter has maintained his lead under a huge onslaught of negative ads by Beauprez.  Good stuff.

    Also, I don't know if that July poll in the trends is of "likely" voters, the way the most recent number is.

    Don't start a blog, build a community with SoapBlox - the NEW blog framework.

    by pacified on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:17:53 AM PDT

  •  Great News (0+ / 0-)

    Somewhere along the way here, Republicans are going to say enough is enought, I'm not donating anymore till I see change.  This is a long way off, may never happen, wishful thinking kind of thing.  But we could (emphasis on could), see an implosing on Republican money sources (the mons and dad who send $20.00 per month religiously) that puts them in a position where they are only funding candidates in selected districts similar to the 2002 and 2004 Democratic themes.  

    "What would the Democrats do? First off, we'd tell the truth."

    by egarratt on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:18:06 AM PDT

  •  I was in the WI northwoods (8+ / 0-)

    over the weekend, and was privy to some Minnesota TV programming. I saw a Kennedy ad that was so ridiculously defamatory, I couldn't believe it would go on the air. For those in the know, it's the one with the old woman on the park bench.

    I liked Klobuchar already, but now I really detest Kennedy in addition.

    Keeping felons well-read since 2001

    -6.13, -7.90 (now that I know what these numbers mean)

    by TheBookPolice on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:19:15 AM PDT

  •  But Mark Kennedy is a GREAT candidate! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ER Doc

    Everyone in the MSM says it, so it must be true...

    I'll be very pleasantly surprised and impressed if Mike Hatch wins, but it's looking good...

    "I have powers! Political powers!" -Homer Simpson

    by Arjun Jaikumar on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:19:32 AM PDT

  •  Kos, since you came to Minnesota,... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mndan, guyermo

    we've been crashing down those gates!

    They call it pollution. We call it life.

    by Naniboujou on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:19:56 AM PDT

  •  Those are some harsh words: (10+ / 0-)

    Kennedy may be the biggest dud of a candidate this cycle.

    It's mighty embarrassing to surpass Katherine Harris for that title.

  •  Biggest dud (0+ / 0-)

    even more of a dud than Santorum?

    Neil Cavuto is a GOP circle-jerking necrophiliac? (-6.88, -6.15)

    by guyermo on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:21:17 AM PDT

    •  I think so. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rupert, evilpenguin

      People knew Santorum was likely toast. Kennedy was the R's great white pickup hope, and this is turning into a blowout.

      Completely deserved, of course- Kennedy was a Bush lapdog in the House, and he deserves every bit of popularity that his protege enjoys.

    •  speaking of Man on Dog (0+ / 0-)

      I have been getting a lot of political calls. I especially like that so many of the calls have actual people making those calls. I have talked to a few people from Move On. When asked what candidate in my state whom I would vote for/ against my answer was....Against Santorum, Santorum, Santorum, and
      Sherwood the choker.
      So my votes are for Casey and Carney and against that Man on Dog and The Choker.

      Carry the battle to them. Don't let them bring it to you. Put them on the defensive and don't ever apologize for anything. - Harry S. Truman

      by wishingwell on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:39:24 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I think Kennedy (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Joe Bob, evilpenguin

    looked good because the GOP was expecting him to go against a weak incumbent(Mark Dayton). So I think it was more about his opponent making him look like a good candidate, but nothing about him specifically.

    The Republican leadership acted quickly on this scandal. They immediately moved Mark Foley to another parish -Dave Letterman

    by jj32 on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:22:30 AM PDT

    •  I don't know (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      savvyspy, Rupert, LegacyLDad

      Dayton announced he wouldn't be running awfully early in the process. Anyone remember exactly when that was? Aw, Google, here I come... He announced February 10th, 2005. Kennedy announced he would run for the open seat two days AFTER that. (I live in Minnesota and I'm fairly active politically, but I did have to run to the  series of tubes for those facts).

      Obviously Mark Kennedy was exploring a run well before Dayton decided not to run, so I guess there's merit in what you say.

      But there is no doubt that Kennedy and Pawlenty were the Minnesota GOP wunderkinds. I hope they are both consigned to the dustbin of Minnesota political history.

      The gubernatorial race is way too close. I hope Hatch wins handily. The polls are showing steady improvement in his numbers. I was so much more excited by Becky Lourey, but I'll be out there for Hatch. Pawlenty must go.

      •  Right (0+ / 0-)

        That's what I meant. Since he won re-election in 04, and maybe even before, conservative blogs had been touting him as such a great candidate, who could beat Dayton. While I'm sure Dems there are not happy about the GOP coming to the state for their convention, it would be nice to have them come to a Minnesota with Senator Klobuchar, Governor Hatch, and maybe a couple more Democratic congressmen. :).

        The Republican leadership acted quickly on this scandal. They immediately moved Mark Foley to another parish -Dave Letterman

        by jj32 on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:21:31 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  In my experience (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      savvyspy, Rupert, ER Doc

      The Republicans have been awfully smug about Kennedy's prospective statewide appeal for a while now.

      •  Confirmation bias & feedback loops (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        brittain33, savvyspy, Rupert, ER Doc

        It works like this:

        1. Because Screech beat Patty Wetterling in a race in Minnesota's most conservative district where he implied that Patty and Osama get together every Tuesday morning at IHOP, the Rs spin to the press that Kennedy is the new GOP golden boy, sure to delvier the final coup de grace that will make the state formerly known as "Wellstone Country" a red state once and for all;
        1. The Media parrots everything the GOP just told them without doing any significant analysis of their own;
        1. The GOP cites to the press repeating their own talking points as conventional wisdom that Kennedy is pretty much the new Great White Hope for Minnesota Republicans;
        1. Lather, rinse, repeat.
  •  Hatch & signs (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    brownsox, blue71340

    I take it the Hatch lead of 50-46% in this poll that was previewed on Friday is including leaners?

    By the way, I took a drive through southeastern Minnesota over the weekend.  In particular, Houston & Fillmore counties.  I'd say I saw more Hatch signs than Pawlenty signs, especially the further west of Hokah I went.  Also a decent number of Klobuchar signs, far outpacing Kennedy.  And, I believe I saw more Walz signs than there were for Gutknecht, which would be quite encouraging.  Spring Grove must be a DFL hotspot:  there may have been one place with GOP signs, otherwise many places with DFL signs up & down the ballot.)

    •  Crazy Coincidence..... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      savvyspy, Rupert

      ....I was in the exact two counties on Saturday, seeing the fall foliage along State Highway 16.  Houston County usually has a great GOP ground game with signs for Republicans at every level dotting the highways with dizzying repetition.  This time, only three signs for Pawlenty and Gutknecht and only one for Kennedy.....compared to more than a dozen for Tim Walz, and more than a half dozen for Klobuchar and Hatch.  Most of these were in front of remote, rural farm homes.  If the Republicans are losing the townships of Houston County, they're in HUGE trouble.

      As for Spring Grove, it's a Democratic stronghold.  A Norwegian-American enclave encircled by Germans.

    •  saw the same thing in Rochester (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rupert

      I was in Rochester last week.  Rochester is for sure the bastion of Conservatism in MN.  I saw only a few Pawlenty and Kennedy signs.  Almost as many Klobuchar and Hatch signs.  
      In 2004, Rochester elected the first Democrat to the MN State House in a long time.  These are all great trends for 2006 and beyond.  

  •  Wow (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Joe Bob, Rupert, brownsox

    We may actually win the governor's race in MN.  Never really believed it, but Hatch has got the momentum lately.

    "No government has the right to tell its citizens whom to love. The only queer people are those who don't love anybody." - Rita Mae Brown (-4.75, -7.13)

    by AUBoy2007 on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:25:37 AM PDT

    •  I remain very skeptical (0+ / 0-)

      I still don't see how Hatch wins unless repubs just don't turnout. I think his campaign has been as uninspired as Kennedy's.

      I hope I am wrong, but I think Hatch still has lots of work to do.

      •  Hatch ads (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Rupert

        I've been seeing more Hatch ads lately, about the same level with Pawlenty's (this is all from WCCO, the only TV station I get in Wisconsin).  Plus, in those ads, Hatch seems to be directly countering Pawlenty's claims.  The wild card is the DFL TV advertising done against Pawlenty, which is running quite a lot.  I haven't yet seen Minnesota GOP ads against Hatch (maybe they're not on WCCO).  But the one-two punch of Hatch's ads and the DFL ads seems to be keeping the playing field even.

      •  Hatch still ha alot of work to do (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Rupert

        But at the same time there are plently of Republicans in my area that want to clean house( some have mentioned that their statement will be to stay home they are Republicans and would not vote Dem... butthey are mad)... so I think that may be one of the reasons you don't see too many GOP ads against Hatch. Snuggle up to this bunch in the White House and it may be curtains...( and those really ugly kind of curtains that no one wants... LOL)

        and to be honest I think there are lots who have seen through his "tax cuts"... it just added up to increases everywhere else... and services in many places have been cut due to no funding...

        "Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter." -Martin Luther King, Jr. _______ "We will not be silent." -Howard Dean

        by jigsaw68 on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 10:00:17 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Pawlenty (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Joe Bob, Rupert

        Pawlenty (R) hasn't moved in the polls since he won in 2002.  He is always around the 44% he won with.  If he hasnt built on his base so far, I dont see him winning unless Hutchinson (I) and Pentel (G) win enough support to keep Hatch (DFL) below Pawlenty.  I see Pawlenty topping out at about 46%, assuming Pentel takes his usual 2%, Hatch needs to keep Hutchinson at 5% to win.    Hutchinson has been between 5 and 10% in the polls so far so Hatch needs to make sure the dflers and independents supporting Hutchinson either come home to the DFL or stay home on election day.

        •  Hutchinson (0+ / 0-)

          Hatch and the DFL have to deal with Hutchinson.  If they don't there will be enough votes to put Skippy Pawlenty back at 1006 Summit.

          If I was doing the campaign, I would just do a little ad on Hutchinson's company's tenure running the Minneapolis Schools.

          Remember, Pawlenty will get his 45-46% and Pentel will get his 2%, so we have to keep Hutchinson to 5% or lower.

          I don't like going negative, but we might have to on Hutinson.

          •  I Doubt Pentel Will Get 2% This Time.... (0+ / 0-)

            I'm betting on less than 1% of him.  But I think Hutchinson could go as high as 10% with his witty debate performances.  And I'd be incredibly surprised if Hatch or the DFL was capable of learning from their past mistakes enough to go after Hutchinson no matter how high his poll numbers go.  They'll just pretend he's a non-factor and ignore him completely until he ends up being more than the difference that re-elects Pawlenty....just like Moe did with Penny, and Humphrey did with Ventura.  Rinse and repeat.

            •  That's why we have to hit Hutchinson (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Rupert

              Too long we've ignored the IP candidate, and too long we've been bit in the ass by it.  We have to hit Hutchinson hard on his mismanagement of the Minneapolis Public Schools in the mid to late 1990s.

      •  Hutchinson Will Beat Hatch.... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Rupert

        ....by stealing DFL votes.  Pawlenty will win with 46-47%, with Hutchinson pulling in at least 7% of the vote, likely increasing his margin at Hatch's expense in the final televised debate.  It'll take a mistake by Pawlenty, an uninspired debate performance by Hutchinson, or an incredible stroke of political acumen by Hatch if Hatch is to win.  It's the same routine every four years in Minnesota gubernatorial elections.

        •  Don't underestimate Hatch (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Rupert

          The guy wins elections.  He is running the best race by a Democrat since Perpich last ran (although that in itself is not saying much).

          Also, I think Hutchinson is really an unknown, while Penny and Ventura were viable candidates.  

          Chuck Norris and Mr. T walked into a bar. The bar was instantly destroyed, as that level of awesome cannot be contained in one building.

          by Mia Dolan on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 10:50:28 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Hutchinson pulling equally (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Rupert

          Right now from what I can read, Hutchinson is pulling equally from Hatch and Pawlenty.  There are more Republicans upset with Pawlenty than in normal years, so we cannot assume that the IP vote will come only from DFL voters.

          It is still something to be worried about, but if Hutchinson gets 8%, 4% of that may come from traditional GOP voters.

          •  I think that's right (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Rupert

            I thought that Hutchinson would be pulling from Democrats because his positions are mainstream Democratic, but I think that he may also be getting Republicans alienated by Pawlenty simply because he is a "centrist" candidate.  

            Penny did poorly four years ago because he was not a former profressional wrestler.  Hutchinson won't approach Penny's totals because he is not a former congressman.  He is just some jack-off no one has ever heard of.

            Chuck Norris and Mr. T walked into a bar. The bar was instantly destroyed, as that level of awesome cannot be contained in one building.

            by Mia Dolan on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 11:35:53 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  First ex-wife of GOP congressional candidate (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert, ER Doc

    ..staged her own beating by the ReThug candidate, he claims.

    While pregnant, his first ex-wife got him to slap her so hard, she fell to the ground. That's Alan Fine's story and he's sticking to it.  Two years later, he slapped her around again and she called the cops. She staged that, the Republican candidate claims.

    "Minneapolis police records show there have been five 911 calls labeled as "domestic" dating from 1995 to April 2005 involving Alan Fine's address." One was a fight with his girlfriend.

    He wants to represent Minneapolis in Washington. And in preparation for running for federal office, he had his record expunged so on paper, it doesn't look like he spent time in jail for domestic violence. In his current campaign, Fine has repeatedly said "character matters."

    http://www.startribune.com/...

    Slow Thinkers-- Please Stay in the Right Lane

    by skywriter on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:33:49 AM PDT

  •  Hatch seems to be better (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert

    at getting the message out that he is on the side of the people of MN... he has a good track record for looking out for public interests and is not at all scared to take on the big corps... adds up to having a spine!

    Never even understood how Kennedy won his first election(negative politics... big GOP money..and clueless voters)... hope he just fades away.( Really Really FAST)

    "Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter." -Martin Luther King, Jr. _______ "We will not be silent." -Howard Dean

    by jigsaw68 on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:34:17 AM PDT

  •  Klobuchar (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert

    Kennedy sucks, but the other half of the equation is that Amy Klobuchar is a really, really good candidate.  

    Chuck Norris and Mr. T walked into a bar. The bar was instantly destroyed, as that level of awesome cannot be contained in one building.

    by Mia Dolan on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:40:40 AM PDT

  •  Kean's Press Guy (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert

    seems like a Karl Rove wannabe. He is such a dweeb - can't tell if he's 30 or 55 - that Republican look. Amazing that he would block a soldier's Mom in front of cameras no less. He'll wish he had tried another line of work in a few weeks.

    Canada - where a pack of smokes is ten bucks and a heart transplant is free.

    by dpc on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 09:41:53 AM PDT

  •  Give Klobuchar credit.... (5+ / 0-)

    Sorta tired of the Kennedy is a dud meme. He'd be fairing well against many of the other candidates that have been running for higher MN office this year: Wetterling, Hatch, Kelly, Lourie, Bell, Entenza, etc. But Klobuchar has run a GREAT campain: very organized, very clean, very professional but also accessible. I think the truth of it is that Amy Klobuchar is a great candidate, and Kennedy is simply an average one.

  •  Give Klobuchar some credit... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert, Mia Dolan, The Other Steve

    Sorta tired of the Kennedy is a dud meme. He'd be fairing well against many of the other candidates that have been running for higher MN office this year: Wetterling, Hatch, Kelly, Lourie, Bell, Entenza, etc. But Klobuchar has run a GREAT campain: very organized, very clean, very professional but also accessible. I think the truth of it is that Amy Klobuchar is a great candidate, and Kennedy is simply an average one.

  •  Don't forget about Patty Wetterling (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jake Nelson, Rupert

    She's running in Kennedy's old district against this horrible person, the new Rick Santorum and Marilyn Musgrave.

    Patty's site.

    I never knew what was supposed to be so great about Kennedy.

  •  What about the legislatures? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert

    Any guesses on how Democrats will do in the MN and CO legislative battles? They won a lot of seats in both states in 2004, but fewer people turn out in midterms, and that may help the GOP.

    •  MN should be pretty status quo (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rupert

      Democrats should keep the Senate pretty easily. They have very few candidates in danger. They did lose their best pickup opportunity in the Edina/West Bloomington senate district in Andrew Borene.

      The House could remain in republican hands mainly because there aren't that many DLF pickup opportunities and the greater number of close races are DFL seats right now.

      The DFL needs big democratic coattails from Klobuchar and Hatch to get the house back.

      •  Andrew Borene (0+ / 0-)

        He started running early - I was getting phone calls from him before I left MN in September 05. At the time, he probably thought he was being smart by not labelling himself as a Democrat, but it put me off supporting him.

        I'm sorry to hear about his problems (statement at http://www.andrewborene.com/... Hopefully he'll recover and take some pride in being a Democrat next time.

        --
        Paper Ballots Counted By People!

        by Rupert on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 01:46:01 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Why did he drop out? (0+ / 0-)
          •  STATEMENT OF ANDREW BORENE (0+ / 0-)

            (from the link)

            September 6, 2006

            In the next days I will formally withdraw from the Minnesota Senate race in District 41.

            With the assistance of professionals, I have concluded that I am chemically dependent and will enter treatment for my alcohol dependency. That dependency has hurt those I love, including my wife and our children.

            Recent events have convinced me that I cannot pursue my passion for public service, make progress in recovery and tend the needs of my family.

            For my actions which I deeply regret, I apologize to my amazing wife, Britta, my family and to my friends and the citizens of District 41. While my withdrawal is necessary, I apologize also to the many good people who have stood by me, generously contributing their time and talents. I especially wish to thank for their understanding and support Congressman Jim Ramstad and Senator Dean Johnson.

            --
            Paper Ballots Counted By People!

            by Rupert on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 05:20:30 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  Thanks. Is there anything (0+ / 0-)

        in particular, any races, people should keep an eye on? Do you think anti-gay politicians will have more clout in the legislature? Will Dean Johnson win reelection?

        I forgot to mention Outfront to people.

  •  Kos, I've never seen or heard this Kennedy (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rupert

    guy, but if he's a bigger dud than Bob Corker, I'll buy you lunch.

    So I see only tatters of clearness through a pervading obscurity - Annie Dillard -6.88, -5.33

    by illinifan17 on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 10:01:56 AM PDT

  •  So many different issues in this one . . (0+ / 0-)

    Klobuchar is a very good candidate -- a Twin Cities liberal progressive who maintains her Iron Range roots (the family is from Ely) and therefore appeals to both the metro and the outstate.

    Kennedy is a poor candidate; a cardboard cutout figure who can make even Mark Dayton look lively by comparison.  If you want to see an ultra-right Republican who is lively and how they fare, check out the 6th District race between Michele Bachmann and Patty Wetterling.  Bachmann is as right wing as they come, probably to the right of Kennedy, but she's an amazing campaigner and may yet buck the trend of an otherwise horrible year for the Republicans.

    One of Klobuchar's challenges is neutralizing Minnesota's poor track record in electing women to high office.  The state has never had a female governor or a female senator and prior to Betty McCollum in 2000 had only one female congressmember, Coya Knutson in the 1950s, whose opponents (both Democrats and Republicans) used blatant sexism to narrowly deny her a third term in the Democratic year of 1958.

    •  Wetterling is disappointing... (0+ / 0-)

      She's not a strong campaigner. She's not very charismatic. She's not strong, period. She wasn't going to run, then she was going to run. She's her own worst enemy.

      Bachman is moon-bat crazy...and I think that comes across (I think she looks just like Katherine Harris) but makes Wetterling look like a wimp (and Patty does a good job of that all by herself)

      I thought she did a good job turning this whole Foleygate into a strength for her in her ads. But then I saw her interviewed about it and it boiled down to "You know, they're doing bad things in Washington...and that has to stop." Pow!

    •  Bachmann winning wouldn't buck a trend (0+ / 0-)

      That's the most Republican district in Minnesota, isn't it?

      •  Just About.. (0+ / 0-)

        The following are the Cook Partisan Voting Index for each of MN's 8 Districts from most Democratic to most Republican.

        5th:  D +21
        (Minneapolis and some old suburbs: Martin Sabo-DFL)
        4th:  D +13
        (St. Paul and some suburbs: Betty McCollum-DFL)
        8th:  D + 4
        (NE MN/iron range: James Oberstar-DFL)
        3rd:  R + 1
        (Suburbs: Jim Ramstad-R)
        1st:  R + 1
        (Southern MN: Gil Gutknecht-R)
        2nd:  R + 3
        (Southern suburbs and S.MN: John Kline-R)
        6th:  R + 5
        (Northern suburbs/Central MN: Mark Kennedy-R)
        7th:  R + 6
        (Western MN: Collin Peterson-DFL)

        So yeah, the 6th is the most Republican district held by a Republican.  I also question why it is rated less Republican than the 7th because Bush's margin of victory was greater in the 6th than the 7th in both 2000 and 2004...

        For those interested in the complete congressional picture:  Keith Ellison (DFL) will almost surely replace Sabo, McCollum is safe, Oberstar is safe, Ramstad is safe, Gutknecht could be unseated by Tim Walz (DFL) so give him $$$, Kline is more or less safe, the Kennedy seat is a tossup between Bachmann (R) and Wetterling (DFL), and Peterson is safe.

        Final note: Remember Collin Peterson is representing the most Republican district in the State before criticizing him for voting against the Party.  The choice in the district is a part time Democrat or a full time Republican.  By all means criticize the Joe Liebermans of the country that represent solid Democratic turf and vote against the party, but lay off on people like Peterson.

  •  Meet the Press Sunday! Klobuchar vs Kennedy. (0+ / 0-)

    You can see why Minnesota is all a buzz about Amy Klobuchar on October 15th!  I am hoping Amy kills Mark like she did at the State Fair.

  •  Hatch has a good shot. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jigsaw68, Mia Dolan

    Hatch has been consistently moving up in the polls over the past couple of months, so I am increasingly hopeful that he will win. I think all Pawlenty has going for him at this point is the power of incumbency. He hasn't had any major legislative victories in recent history that he can really hang his hat on.

    In addition, Pawlenty has made some mistakes: some recent, some old ones finally catching up with him. People are finally realizing that the 'no new taxes' pledge he took in 2002 is a shell game. Sure, income taxes have held steady but property taxes, school levies and licenses and fees are all through the roof. The flip side is that people are seeing their quality of life suffer where local levies haven't kept up with state cuts: class sizes are up, libraries aren't open, etc.

    If there's one issue that undermines Pawlenty's support it might be transportation. His core support is in the suburbs; they love their roads and he hasn't delivered. In particular, I'm thinking of how the Hwy. 62 project fell apart due to lack of funds. It provides an excellent object lesson on how the 'tax cuts at any cost' mentality has undermined the ability of state government to perform its basic functions.

    There's no reason for anyone outside of Minnesota to be aware of the Hwy. 62 project, but it's an illustrative story (I think): Hwy. 62's intersection with I-35W is consistently rated as one of the worst bottlenecks in the country and plans to fix it have been on the boards for many years. This past year the state was finally ready to pull the trigger and start construction...but couldn't come up with the funds. So, they came up with a novel proposal: when the state sought bids from contractors they would stipulate that the contractors themselves would provide the initial financing for the project and be repaid by the state later. The state put out its proposal and...got precisely zero bids.  Surprisingly enough, contractors weren't interested in loaning the state $300million.

    The moral of the story is: This is what you get when you try to run government on the cheap.

  •  Biggest dud? (0+ / 0-)

    With Harris running, that's not an easy title to snatch up.

    "I desire what is good. Therefore, everyone who does not agree with me is a traitor." King George III

    by ogre on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 12:48:56 PM PDT

  •  And to think Kennedy (0+ / 0-)

    was once considered a rising star of the GOP.

    Ha-Ha

    "Santorum, that's Latin for 'asshole'"--Sen Bob Kerrey (D-NE)

    by Terryus on Mon Oct 09, 2006 at 02:43:02 PM PDT

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site