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#donaldtrump
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Handicaping the VP field: 2/29
by
Paleo
Community
(This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)
Sunday, Feb. 29, 2004
Sunday, Feb. 29, 2004
at
1:45:13pm PST
Bill Richardson. I'm beginning to think that Kerry will go the southwest route. The Arizona poll earlier in the week showing him slightly ahead and the Florida poll showing him slightly behind leads me to believe that Kerry will want to expand the playing field and not leave the race to a possible Florida win or lose. Richardson will solidify New Mexico, give Kerry the edge in Nevada and make Arizona a 50-50 battle. Richardson also may have appeal to the non-Cuban Hispanic Florida voters. His choice cannot be panned as pandering to identity politics because Richardson has as good a resume as anyone. The choice will also help defuse Kerry's image of being overly cautious, and will add some pizzaz to the ticket.
John Edwards. Dropping from number one. I suspect the longer Edwards stays in the less likey he will be chosen. Concerns about his knowledge of foreign policy and possible lack of chemistry with Kerry are other downsides.
Dick Gephardt. A possible compromise choice. Because of this, he will stay near the top until the end.
Bob Graham. The flip-side of Richardson. It all depends on which strategy Kerry will pursue.
Bill Nelson. If Kerry wants to focus on Florida, and is concerned by Graham's health, age and/or notebooks, Nelson would be a logical choice. However, if the ticket is elected, this will result in two Democratic senate seats flipping to the republicans. Makes Nelson less of a possibility.