Skip to main content

Okay, so that was quick. Republican Sarah Palin's huge early leads against Democrat Tony Knowles have evaporated.

Marc Hellenthal (PDF) for lobbyist client. 10/18-21. Likely voters. MoE 6% (No published previous results)

Palin (R) 42
Knowles (D) 43

First Craciun Research for Alaska Newspapers. 10/7-15. Likely voters. MoE 5% (No trend lines)

Palin (R) 43
Knowles (D) 43

Alaska Newspapers doesn't have any of its weekly papers online, but I have a copy of the story, dated 10/26. Here's the important stuff:

"It's one of those general elections where every vote will count," said Craciun, whose Anchorage-based research group also has offices in Seattle and Washington, D.C.

Knowles' movement since July is a significant part of the general-election equation, according to Craciun, the research group's president and chief executive officer.

Then, Cracium said, Palin was winning.

But that was three months ago. Now they are neck and neck.

A former Anchorage mayor, Knowles is carrying the state's largest city by 11 percentage points over Palin, former mayor of Wasilla.
Knowles' voter commitment in Anchorage is at or above 50 percent, while Palin's is at 39 percent. Halcro polls at just below 6 percent of the vote in Anchorage, where only 4 percent of the vote remains undecided.

Palin beats Knowles, 57 percent to 25 percent, among "other" Southcentral voters. Halcro hits his highest voter commitment - 7 percent - in that area. More than 11 percent of the voters remain undecided there - the third highest undecided vote in the state.

Palin also runs stronger than Knowles, 44 to 37 percent, among voters in the Fairbanks/Denali area. There, Halcro picks up only 5 percent of the vote. That area also ranks highest - 14 percent - for undecided voters.

In the Southeast, where they worry about capital city relocation to Willow, Knowles runs with 56 percent of the vote and 10 percent undecided. Palin has 28 percent in Southeast with Halcro pulling 6 percent.

Knowles, a former two-term governor, harvests 58 percent of the vote in western and northern Alaska, where there's a strong Native subsistence lifestyle.

Palin pulls about 34 percent in western and northern Alaska.

In August, this race was a 15-20 point Palin lead. Rasmussen has also caught the Knowles surge.

On the web: Tony Knowles for Governor

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Wed Oct 25, 2006 at 10:48 AM PDT.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site