By the time the voters are counted on Tuesday, Arizona's Jim Pederson will have a better percentage of the vote than the now-fading Harold Ford in TN. An amazing turn of events that really would've been impossible to imagine even two weeks ago.
Zimmerman and Marketing Intelligence. 10/25-30. Likely voters. MoE 4.9% (No trend lines)
Kyl (R) 45.8
Pederson (D) 41.3
Kyl is strongest in Maricopa County, by almost 10 points, while Pederson holds about a one-point edge in Pima County and three points around the rest of the state.
Pederson was more popular with voters in the 44 and younger age groups, while Kyl scored higher with those 45 and above.
The DSCC is buying up all available air time, while both parties argue over which side has the early voting advantage.
According to the poll, the state's gay marriage ban is also headed toward defeat.