Iowa: Dean squeaks out with a small win
Dean:35
Gep:30
Kerry:25
Edwards:20
NH: Dean takes IA Mo and regains his earlier leads
Dean:45
Kerry:25
Clark:15
Edwards:5
Gep:5
Lieb:5
Feb 3rd:
Arizona: Dean
New Mexico: Dean
South Carolina: Dean
Missouri: Dean (assuming Gep drops after IA)
Oklahoma: Clark
North Dakota: Dean
Delaware: Dean
Dean wins 8 of first 9. Dean has huge Mo during most of February, all the way up until Super Tuesday. Clark, having only victory against Dean in the first 9 gets the Anti-Dean spot. Gep drops after IA, Edwards drops after SC. Kerry will stay in until Wisconsin, and then drop out unless he puts together a huge string of victories (very unlikely). Lieberman stays in until he's trounced in Connecticut, coming in 3rd to both Dean and Clark.
I think if Dean gets on a roll, there is no stoping. Dean wraps up the nomination March 2nd, asks Clark to be the VP, and Clark accepts.
Discuss.