Daily Kos

Why Bush is Stalling: Add Your Speculation

Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 07:56:34 AM PDT

Yeah, I know it's ridiculous that the President is waiting until the new year to announce his spiffed-up victory-seeking Iraq policy. Just like it was ridiculous that the Baker commission had to wait until after the elections to release their report.

But I wonder: Is Bush just clueless about what to do next, or is this an intentional stall? Maybe the Prez is delaying until January because he thinks something will be different then.

But what? Personally, I figure he's got a plan in the works to toss Maliki and hunt down al-Sadr. By January he thinks he'll be rolling out a new Iraqi government, not just a new US policy. But maybe it's something else. Add your speculations.

Tags: Iraq, George W. Bush (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 69 comments

  •  He asked for an exit strategy (16+ / 0-)

    and is expecting Santa to deliver it soon.

    Insight into change teaches us hope. No matter how bad the situation, anything is possible. - Buddha

    by zenbowl on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 07:58:53 AM PDT

  •  Iraqi Coup (0+ / 0-)

    Something tells me that the democratically elected government of Iraq is going to be toppled very soon.  Then what will Bush be saying about free elections and "crap" over in Iraq.

    Or maybe he just wants to wait until after Santa Claus comes.

  •  I think he's just stalling (28+ / 0-)

    This is a PR President.  He can't actually DO anything, so he waits for something to 'come up', like that character in the Dickens novel.  No doubt there are various plans in the works, but they aren't his plans.  The guy is intellectually defective.  He literally can't think, so it's hard to ascribe plans to him.  He's just stalling for a better press cycle. They will wheel something out on January 3 to take away the headlines from Nancy Pelosi's assumption of the Speakership.  I think that's the start and end of this.

    •  You get a 4 from me (9+ / 0-)

      Just for the phrase, "stalling for a better press cycle." There is no way I could have said it better myself.

      DEAD

      ON

      TARGET

      "Respect for the rights of others is peace." Benito Juarez

      by Blue Boy Red State on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:15:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He's stalling til he can kill off a Dem Senator (0+ / 0-)

      If Tim Johnson isn't gone by Jan. 3, then someone else will be.

      He needs to control the Senate, at least.

    •  If that's the case... (0+ / 0-)

      it's going to backfire big time. No better press cycle will arise between now and sometime in 2007.

      The lesson of that history is that you must not despair, that if you are right, and you persist, things will change. -Howard Zinn

      by blueyedace2 on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:50:14 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Remember "Adjusting to Win"? (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Zanna

      Now he's "Adjusting to Lower Expectations."  As Rummy helpfully pointed out in his last memo, if the Administration can lower expectations sufficiently, then we can't lose.

      "Mom, did you hurt yourself, or are you yelling at the TV again?

      by litigatormom on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:00:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  My guess too. Time for an exam with no prep work. (1+ / 0-)

        Recommended by:
        station wagon

        The WH is figuring out the propaganda approach to change perceptions.  Like the recent "The President never said 'Stay the course.'"  

        Only this effort will need to be more significant and require better coordination of everyone playing the same melody on the Wurlitzer.

        In a comment last night on this topic, I speculated that Bush's approach to his presidency is similar to his apparent approach to academics--do the least possible to get by.  In the current situation, Bush has finally become exposed and can no longer use the Republican Congress to help change the answer sheet so that his answers are always correct.  

        I wouldn't be surprised if this is the most panicked moment of his presidency and perhaps his life. Perhaps he's even having the classic nightmare of sitting down to a final exam without having done any studying or preparation...except this is no dream for him, it's a reality.

        We're in a culture that increasingly holds that science is just another belief. - Alan Alda

        by sawgrass727 on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:13:45 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  um (4+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Loquatrix, gmb, macmcd, blueyedace2

    easy, he's stupid.

    The world will end not with a bang, but with a "Do'oh!"
    "America is a free speech zone."

    by Love and Death on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:04:19 AM PDT

  •  well, I just listened to the (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    blueyedace2

    weekly news roundup on the Diane Rehm Show on NPR.  You can click the link to see the guest list.

    This question came up.  Some of the possibilties discussed were that he is in denial about how far gone Iraq is- how remote or impossible "victory" is, and/or  that he absolutely will not go along with any plan that casts him as a war loser president.  Another was that the "surge" scenario, where we put more troops in Baghdad (I'm totally spacing out how to spell that) to secure it so we can transition to training Iraqi security forces, etc., buys him cover to basically endorse the ISG report later and begin to withdraw.

    In order to hide their embezzlement behind a posse of demented hicks, Republicans' slogans must be short and superstitious. Grand Moff Texan

    by station wagon on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:06:31 AM PDT

    •  Interesting (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Zanna

      but he won't withdraw and has no intention or plans to do so. I agree with the first scenario that you describe. He is in complete denial. His goal is to carry the ball a little further down the field, then do a hand-off to whoever gets sworn in in Jan 2009.

      His recent speech in Vietnam shows that he believes victory could be right around the corner, if only he stays the course. If victory doesn't occur till after he's out of office, he's fine with that because he feels that will still vindicate his policy. If a future president decides to withdraw, Bush thinks that president alone will be blamed for the failure in Iraq.

      He has no intention of endorsing the ISG report if that means withdrawal. He has already claimed that the ISG report endorses him. It doesn't matter what they call it, Bush's policy is still 'stay the course'.

    •  That was an excellent panel on DR show (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      station wagon

      The gyst of the denial discussion was that all Bush is thinking about now is his legacy and how he is convinced he will be vindicated and celebrated like Truman. He won't listen to silly withdrawal talk because it stinks up his legacy plans. One panelist (maybe Andrew Sullivan) noted that it would be pretty awful if soldiers are dying just to prop Bush's legacy.

      I've always wanted to make a comment that ends with the word Mayonnaise

      by frankzappatista on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:39:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Well, the latest on the grapevine (12+ / 0-)

    is that the administration is "quietly" (I use that word with reservations, because this administration doesn't know how to do anything quietly) trying to oust Malaki while making use of two factions in the parliament. RedState is creaming its collective pants over the prospect that Bush is going to be triumphant, showing the world that he's not really a dingbat, this was all just part of a cunning plan to bring democracy to Iraq. They haven't yet figured out that if Malaki is forced out, it will undoubtedly mean the ascension of some Sunni faction, which would basically mean that we'll have spent a trillion dollars and decimated our military so that we could replace one Sunni madman with a collection of Sunni madmen.

  •  "Merry Christmas! We need to kill (11+ / 0-)

    twenty thousand more of your children" is a hard sell.

    Saying, "The surge is working" . . . is working my last nerve.

    by Crashing Vor on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:08:59 AM PDT

  •  I think it's part of an all-out effort... (9+ / 0-)

    ...at a two-year-long stall.

    His goal is to shift the blame.  But Jesus, in a way I guess we ought to be thankful Herr Bush can even grasp the concept "goal."

  •  Is he waiting for another 9/11? (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    peglyn, macmcd, blueyedace2

    I don't want to re-argue whether or not 9/11 was or wasn't set up. Maybe it was, maybe it wasn't.

    Either way, can't you just imagine someone in Bush's inner circle saying something like this:  "If only there was another 9/11, everyone would support the war again."

    Barack Obama -- The President we were promised as kids!

    by Jimdotz on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:11:37 AM PDT

    •  Actually another 9/11 type attack from Al Qaeda (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      blueyedace2, Warren Terrer

      would kinda highlight the fact that junior failed to take care of business after the first one.  It would also undercut the "fighting them over there so we don't have to fight them over here" bullshit.  I don't see it generating any support for fighting Iraqis.

      •  You may be right about affecting support for Iraq (0+ / 0-)

        but Bush's people would certainly believe that it would boost his approval ratings, and that would give him a fresh suppply of his beloved "political capital" to spend.

        Barack Obama -- The President we were promised as kids!

        by Jimdotz on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:30:10 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I really doubt it (2+ / 0-)

          Recommended by:
          MajorFlaw, Mary Mike

          He's played that card and it didn't work out for him the way he expected. He just lost congress. He's approaching Nixonian levels of unpopularity.

          Only the kool-aid snorters at redstate et al. would claim that another 9/11 would be a reason to rally around Bush once again, and this time even they wouldn't really believe it.

  •  Because no matter (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    blueyedace2, MO Blue, Mary Mike

    what he does, it'll look like he's either following Team Daddy or McCain. That cannot happen because he's the Decider. So he just won't decide at all until his gawdawful term is over. Too bad the Green Zone probably won't last that long.

  •  He's stalling because he doesn't have new answers (4+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    egarratt, gmb, ohcanada, Jimdotz

    He's an IDIOT!!!!

  •  He hopes we will have forgotten about it by then (4+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    gmb, macmcd, motherlowman

    ...because he will have.

    btw, what happened to the old admonition that "You don't reinforce failure"?

  •  He's fighting the Pentagon (5+ / 0-)

    Yesterday's WaPo was on top of this.

    The nation's top uniformed leaders are recommending that the United States change its main military mission in Iraq from combating insurgents to supporting Iraqi troops and hunting terrorists, said sources familiar with the White House's ongoing Iraq policy review.

    From the story: Joint Chiefs Advise Change In War Strategy

    So the top military brass are leaning toward the ISG report, which Bush has pondered, considered, weighed, and tossed in the trash. Thus, he's buying himself a few weeks to twist some arms and get everybody on board the "Go Big" plan.

    Every day's another chance to stick it to The Man. - dls.

    by The Raven on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:15:17 AM PDT

  •  '08 face saving (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ohcanada, LightningMan

    They need to construct a big lie to make the decision to go into Iraq not look like the worst mistake in generations.

    Rove knows that if they admit they've been wrong all along at this point in time, they will kill the chances of any Repug candidate looking to succeed Dubya.

    Never trust any user ID over 10,000!
    - Anonymous

    by Dion on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:17:03 AM PDT

  •  A Wet Blanket (11+ / 0-)

    The WH wants to swamp coverage of the first steps of a new Dem congress ala Rumfeld announcement the day after the election.
     Pelosi will be a footnote in the news as the cameras focus on W striding up to the mic for an overly dramatic announcement that will amount to nothing in its execution, but will chew up coverage as the new legislative cycle starts.

  •  The Oil Laws (8+ / 0-)

    He's waiting for the Iraqi Parliament to pass their "Oil Legislation" which doles out the oil leases.  It was supposed to be passed just before the original December 18 Bush speech, but negotiations have stalled.  And so has Bush.

    Plus, it's the holidays y'all!

  •  Well, four weird things have happened: (11+ / 0-)

    • First, the Iraqi VP comes to visit early.
    • Then the Saudis freak out and say they'll support the Sunni insurgents.
    • Then the Saudi ambassador resigns and takes off in the dead of night to spend more time with his family.
    • And now, most ominously, 16 Saudis are released from Gitmo to return to Saudi Arabi after years of torture.

    What's Bush's plan? My guess is pretty worthless, but in a bar I'd bet you a beer that he's going to allow the overthrow of the Iraqi government by Sunnis to avoid a Syria-Iraq-Iran Shiite axis, and that a massive buildup of our troops are going to back them up.

    Why wait to tell us this? I have no bloody clue.

     

    There's no reason to become alarmed, and we hope you'll enjoy the rest of your week. By the way, is there anyone here who knows how to run a government?

    by iconoclastic cat on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:22:55 AM PDT

    •  Why wait to tell us this? (0+ / 0-)

      For the same reason he didn't tell us the truth about why we were going into Iraq -- because if he told us what he was going to do, and why, he would have been stopped.

      "Mom, did you hurt yourself, or are you yelling at the TV again?

      by litigatormom on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:03:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Remember: for Bush, "victory" means (0+ / 0-)

      US forces staying in Iraq forever. And how do you guarantee that? Arrange the overthrow of the Maliki government to escalate the Sunni-Shiite conflict and drag in the saudia and iranians.

      Facing public repudiation of the permanent stalemate in the "war" against al-Qaeda and Sunni insurgenst, Cheney and Bush are going to change the story altogether by dissolving that conflict in a larger Middle East War that will spread as far as Lebanon, Palestine, and Somalia.  

  •  He showing how decisive he can be (6+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Zanna, Bionic, egarratt, LNK, Fury, ohcanada

    What could be more decisive for the Great Decider than deciding not to decide while the people want him to decide? Huh?

    It'a a real gutsy move. My respect for him grows with every day.

    </snark>

    The Republican Party: Your bridge to the 11th Century!

    by Ex Con on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:25:03 AM PDT

  •  He wants the new congress in session (3+ / 0-)

    so he can lay the footwork of blame on their doorstep.

  •  I think the "Decider" cannot decide. (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    station wagon, Fury

    He is between a rock and a hard place.  No matter what he chooses to do, it will appear that he is either taking somebody's advice (Jimmy Baker's) or staying the course while putting more fodder on the front (McCain's) so the only way he can appear to be independent is to REFUSE to make a decision.

    Our military have been so brave in such horrendous circumstances that they deserve a Commander in Chief who can bring himself to confront this terrible problem that he brought to the Iraqis and to our country.  Bush should be forced to visit Iraq and ride in the kinds of vehicles, eat the meals, and wear the body protection armor that our military is experiencing.  I am pretty certain that would bring him to say, "Get me out of here!"  Which is what we all want to hear him say.

    The soul is not the ego in drag. Ken Wilber

    by macmcd on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:30:48 AM PDT

    •  That's about my take too (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Zanna

      Instead of deciding, he's pretending to put some thought into the process.  It's hard work thinking, you know.  Takes him a long, long time.  Remember the stem cell decision?  That was the last time he tried to think.  

      Maybe someday he will wake up and find out that the last 6 years was a bad dream.  I certainly wish the rest of us could.  

      How many wrongs does it take to make a right?

      by pdknz on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:15:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I agree with you. I think he has not been (0+ / 0-)

        required to be responsible for anything in his life and now he does not know how to be responsible and since he is commander in chief, no one else can help him with it.

        The soul is not the ego in drag. Ken Wilber

        by macmcd on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 12:36:34 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I wonder how much is due to his personal problems (4+ / 0-)

      Right now, ANY option George Bush chooses will be a blow to his incredibly fragile self-esteem, because any change he makes will effectively be an admission that he was WRONG -- which he just can not bring himself to do.  

      And if he was wrong, that makes other people whose suggestions and advice he follows RIGHT -- so therefore, he is not on top anymore.  He is not THE DECIDER.  For someone who sees the world in absolute terms of who is winning vs. who is losing, who is above vs. who is below, who has had the last word vs. who hasn't -- and who must always be in the winning position -- this is completely unacceptable.

      On top of that, once he admits he was wrong, he will have to move to the next step -- actually taking RESPONSIBILITY as President of the United States.  For someone who wants all the power and none of the responsibility, this is his worst nightmare.  He's already feeling the pressure from all quarters to GROW UP, even from his own side, and I think that's why he looks so anxious and worn down these days.

      And further, if he takes responsibility, he will face another nightmare -- actually having to WORK.  HARD.  A LOT.  For someone who is fundamentally a lazy slacker, this is no fun at all.

      So he stalls for time, like any alcoholic, hoping the problem will go away by itself.  And yet, on some level I'm sure he knows that even stalling for time makes him look bad -- again unacceptable -- so basically, he's screwed.

      I keep getting the image of Robbie the Robot in "Forbidden Planet" when asked to follow an order that puts his two directives in conflict:  Always do what a human commands vs. Do no harm to a human:  His master gives him a ray gun and orders him to shoot a human.  Robbie becomes paralysed and sparks start flying out of his head.

      I see George Bush right now as paralysed with sparks flying out of his head:  "Must ... admit I was wrong in order to ... look good.  But ... CAN'T ... admit I was wrong! ...  Must ... take responsibility ... to ...  continue to ... be DECIDER.  But ... CAN'T ... take responsibility ... That will make me look ... like follower!  Must ... act somehow to ... look like in charge.  But ... that ... would ... involve ... WORK ..."

      •  The true Decider (0+ / 0-)

        Bush may be stalling because he has no idea what to do next, but you can bet Cheney isn't stopping to examine any doubts. He just needs a few months to beat off James Baker's and Bush 41's efforts to rescue the captive Crown Prince, and to lay the foundations for abroader war involving the Saudis and Iranians.

        •  I think you have brought up the real problem. (0+ / 0-)

          While we may be able to survive the idiot president if Congress can figure a way to work around him, our real problem is Cheney who has been the real decider all along and he is not going to allow our cuntry to survive if he can help it.  He wants to strip EVERYTHING before he gives up his position of power.

          The soul is not the ego in drag. Ken Wilber

          by macmcd on Sat Dec 16, 2006 at 12:41:16 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Bush is being smashed by between (7+ / 0-)

    his friends, the House of Saud, and his own delusions of how to bring democracy to the Middle East. Democracy in Iraq means the Shia will be in charge. That's the majority. The House of Saud are truly the antithesis of democracy, and they will not accept Shia rule in Iraq. Their kingdom is supported by fundamentalist Sunnis who rely on the monarchy's copius cash infusions to spew their sick, exclusionary dogma. It's a match made in Hell.
    The Saudis are Bush's good friends, so silly dreams of liberation and democracy in Iraq are currently being purged from the White House Fantasy Bubble. Time to get real: that means time to do what the Kingdom wants.

    -4.38, -7.64 Voyager 1: proof that what goes up never comes down.

    by pat bunny on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:33:30 AM PDT

  •  personally, (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    blueyedace2

    I think he really believes we're winning. Just a few more months, and they'll be building statues of him in Bagdad and he'll go down in history as the most visionary and excellent President ever.

    Moron. Imbecile. Idiotboy.

    If we continue to accumulate only power and not wisdom, we will surely destroy ourselves. -Carl Sagan

    by LightningMan on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:34:38 AM PDT

  •  Maybe (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Fury, LightningMan

    since the recent elections proved the American people are traitors because we rejected the republican led Congress, he wants to treat us like his other enemies, Syria, Iran and North Korea by not speaking with us. It is in his nature to snub people who don't agree with him. So now he has nothing to talk to us about.

    You cannot simultaneously prevent and prepare for war..... Albert Einstein,

    by tazz on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:35:10 AM PDT

  •  It's the oil... (0+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Jules Beaujolais

    Check this out -- www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HL14Ak01.html

  •  No more room in the Quicksand. (0+ / 0-)

    He would rule quickly but the density of his fuckups has cause a Physics anomaly called fuckupsnofitis.

    Looking for Good Reason

    by Clzwld on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:40:12 AM PDT

  •  The "Sick" part of this (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    blueyedace2, ohcanada

    Is that people who have continuously put party ahead of country, aka Rove/Cheney/etc are making these decisions.

    It's not about fixing the problem, it's about 1)making them look good, and 2) covering the Republican's asses.

    It ain't going to work thugs, sorry.

  •  War is hard work (0+ / 0-)

    He obviously needs a vacation.

    Can't you see how hard he's working?

    /snark

    -6.88 -6.31

    "They're all crazy. They're all crazy except you and me. Sometimes I have me doubts about you." -- Garrett Fort

    by Spathiphyllum on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:49:09 AM PDT

  •  Karl told him to wait until 5 pm 12-29 (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ohcanada

    the absolute, no dispute place to bury a news item.

    As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly.

    by ticket punch on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 08:56:35 AM PDT

  •  His magic 8-ball is jammed-up, (0+ / 0-)

    and he's expecting Santa to bring him a new one. At least, that's what Laura is telling him to say.

    "Men never do evil so completely and cheerfully as when they do it from a religious conviction." --Blaise Pascal

    by lyvwyr101 on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:17:37 AM PDT

  •  He's waiting for another ATTACK (0+ / 0-)

    waiting... waiting... twiddling his thumbs.  Asking:

    C'mon, Dick, when's that next attack coming?  I need some cover on this Iraq-thing.  heh heh.

  •  marketing release (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Crashing Vor

    remember when andrew card said "you don't launch a new product in august"?  that's how these folks think: not in terms of policy or getting things done, but appearances.

    and december's really a pretty lousy time to release a new product.  people are already swamped with the new stuff released in november and are heading into christmas already.  the ISG got it's marketing campaign (and if you look at the last 20 pages of the report it's obvious that's all that is, as well) going just in time before people start tuning out for the holidays.

    so they're just waiting for january to start their PR offensive.  new year, new products, "a new way forward" blah blah blah.

    they really could not care less that a couple hundred more americans will die over there while they wait.

    l'audace! l'audace! toujours l'audace!

    by zeke L on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 09:23:53 AM PDT

  •  He's got to scramble with the Iraq football (0+ / 0-)

    for two more years.

    Then, he can hand off to 44 and argue that 44 lost the game when he pulled out, not the great 43.  

    If he fumbles, throws an incomplete pass, gets tackled, or the play completed any other way, the game is over.

    There's no more time on the clock.  

    "What has not been examined impartially has not been well examined. Skepticism is therefore the first step toward truth." - Denis Diderot (1713-84)

    by windje on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 10:10:07 AM PDT

  •  God's 'tubes' are clogged - no email yet. (0+ / 0-)

    He's waiting for a decision from the Republican God who set him on this mission. And since I happen to know that God spends every December on the beach in Hawaii, there can obviously be no final decision until after the new year. Just thought all you good people should know this.

    Actually, Bush is looking for a way to repackage the same old crap and the new wrapping paper won't be available until after everyone opens their Christmas presents. Sounds logical to me, but I've been drinking.

    -6.38/-3.79::'A man is incapable of comprehending any argument that interferes with his revenues.' Descartes

    by skrymir on Fri Dec 15, 2006 at 10:21:05 AM PDT

  •  the answer is quite simple (0+ / 0-)

    as the dupe and puppet, bush has no control. behind the scene others are making the decisions.

    obviously the troops can't be brought back as in "cut and run", or whatever you want to call it.

    yes, there will be a short term "we did the right thing". very short term.

    and then the question will be asked: for what reason did my fellow soldier, husband, wife, brother, sister, etc die or end up disabled?

    no answer that i, you or anyone else can think of will pacify. and we live in a economic and social era where an ex-soldier can no longer move to northern california or colorado, idaho, montana, new mexico, etc and live inexpensively and away from the anxiety producing barrio, ghetto and big city suburb.

    when those men (and women) return, the war is going to come with them.          

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