The last four polls out of Pennsylvania:
Strategic Vision (R). 8/2 - 8/4. MoE 3%
Kerry 51
Bush 43
SurveyUSA. 7/31 - 8/2. MoE 3.7%
Kerry 53
Bush 41
Los Angeles Times. 7/17-21. MoE 4%
Kerry 51
Bush 39
Quinnipiac Univ. 7/6-11. MoE 2.5%
Kerry 49
Bush 42
It's not so early anymore. Absent some major changes in the electoral dynamics, PA looks increasingly out of reach to Bush. The only Gore states threatening to bolt the Blue fold are Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota.