Survey USA keeps coming out with general election polls pitching major Democrats versus major Republicans, and John Edwards keeps running way ahead of his Democratic rivals. First came news from Alabama and Kentucky. Then came Ohio.
Now, SUSA has released a poll from Missouri!
Full analysis here, on CampaignDiaries.com.
A linkto the poll!
- Clinton wins two out three. She loses the marquee matchup against Giuliani, 48% to 45%. That is the only matchup of the nine the Democrat loses. Obama wins against Giuliani 46% to 44%.
- Clinton and Obama have exactly the same numbers against Thompson and Romney. They both win 48-45 against the former and 51-40 against the latter.
- Edwards crushes the entire Republican field. He wins by 5 against Giuliani (47-42), by 10 against Thompson (50-40) and by 24 against Romney (56-32).
Let's summarize: Edwards is now in a position to pick-up Alabama, Kentucky, Ohio and Missouri (a poll of Kansas last week also showed him in striking distance). I have repeatedly
argued against the possibility of voicing an electability argument, but SUSA is starting to function as an effective surrogate for the Edwards campaign.
Note 1: It is important to notice that only SUSA has shown such a huge and consistent disparity between Edwards and the two other Democrats. Let's see if other polling firms confirm, or if something in SUSA's methodology is leading to such results.
Note 2: Contrary to the Ohio, Alabama, Kentucky numbers in which Obama ran 10 points behind Clinton, he is equal with here here (and even ahead of her against Giuliani).
More analysis on CampaignDiaries.com