Wow SurveyUSA did some major polling in our top races and gives us some great results, you can skip this Diary and just go over to:
http://www.surveyusa.com/...
And see for yourself, but follow me below the fold and I'll go over some GREAT NEWS!
Oregon Senate 2008:
In Oregon, what everyone is calling a "likely Republican seat"
Gordon Smith polls 48% this early in the race against Merkley and only 45% against Novick:
Smith 48%
Merkley (D) 39%
Smith 45%
Novick (D) 39%
We have a baseline around 39% now, and look, Smith makes it only a 6 point race THIS EARLY! And he's the really popular, recently anti-war, Republican who was supposed to almost a safe Republican!
That should be a boost to everyone, especially those in Oregon!
Minnesota Senate 2008
It's a statistical tie with both!
Norm Coleman 44%
Democrat Mike Ciresi 44%
Norm Coleman 46%
Democrat Al Franken 45%
Great, a tie! And with Minnesota set to go blue 2008 regardless of the candidate (Even Hillary is winning double digits) looks like we got ourselves a solid #5 seat!
New Mexico Senate 2008
Surprisingly, Chavez is beating both GOPers by 4+ points
They didn't poll Udall because when they were deciding it, he wasn't reconsider
Lt Gov leads by about 4 points if she were the nominee but she has pulled out
Richardson puts up 20+ leads, and that's what Udall was posting about...so looks like if Udall runs like we all think he will, this is in the bag!
Check out the polls for yourself, too long to post all of them for NM!
Virginia Senate 2008
Mark Warner up 20 points over Gilmore, old news we're kicking ass here
Colorado Senate 2008
Udall, non-incumbent, almost hits 50% with 48% already backing him and 11% undecided...think 2 of those 11 would vote Udall? Me too, this race should be ours....7 point lead already!
Udall, Democrat 48%
Schaeffer, Republican 41%
New Hampshire Senate 2008
Shaheen CLOBBERS Sununu by 11 points and gets 53% outright, another one that's in the bag
Shaheen, Democratic Challenger 53%
Sununu, Republican Incumbent 42%
Maine Senate 2008
Our one somewhat sad piece of polling, Allen does get 38% and is behind in the teens instead of twenties, but Collins looks strong at 55%, but she's the only incumbent ahead...
Collins, Republican Incumbent 55%
Allen, Democratic Challenger 38%
Conclusion:
Looking at these results, I can't see why we won't pickup AT LEAST six seats...
And our races in KY and NC are looking good, AK has possibilities, ME still has room to grown, NE doesn't even have a candidate yet and I think it may surprise us, may be another retirement
If KY and NC get in play, that's an eight seat pickup...then we'd a good candidate in NE, things to go right in AK, or ME to heat up, and we'd hit filibuster proof 60 Democratic seats! (Assuming we hold LA)