Skip to main content

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 11/5-7. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)

If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Marty Chavez, the Democrat, and Heather Wilson, the Republican?

Wilson (R) 45
Chavez (D) 42

If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Diane Denish, the Democrat, and Heather Wilson, the Republican?

Wilson (R) 44
Denish (D) 43

If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Tom Udall, the Democrat, and Heather Wilson, the Republican?

Wilson (R) 38
Udall (D) 55

---

If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Marty Chavez, the Democrat, and Steve Pearce, the Republican?

Pearce (R) 40
Chavez (D) 39

If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Diane Denish, the Democrat, and Steve Pearce, the Republican?

Pearce (R) 39
Denish (D) 45

If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Tom Udall, the Democrat, and Steve Pearce, the Republican?

Pearce (R) 37
Udall (D) 54

Run, Udall, Run!

Full crosstabs below the fold.

NEW MEXICO POLL RESULTS - NOVEMBER 2007

The Research 2000 New Mexico Poll was conducted from November 5 through November 7, 2007. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.  

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men                 289   (48%)              
Women               311   (52%)
Democrats           246   (41%)    
Republicans         186   (31%)    
Independents/Other  168   (28%)
18-29                95   (16%)
30-44               175   (29%)
45-59               203   (34%)
60+                 127   (21%)


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Heather Wilson? (If favorable or unfavorable, ask if it is very or not):

                    VERY                   VERY
                    FAV    FAV    UNFAV    UNFAV   NO OPINION  

ALL                 12%     34%     26%      8%     20%

MEN                 13%     37%     24%      8%     18%
WOMEN               11%     31%     28%      8%     22%
DEMOCRATS            8%     28%     35%     12%     17%
REPUBLICANS         19%     45%     13%      4%     19%
INDEPENDENTS        11%     32%     27%      7%     23%
18-29                9%     30%     30%     11%     20%
30-44               15%     37%     22%      5%     21%
45-59               14%     36%     24%      6%     20%
60+                 10%     32%     28%      9%     21%


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Steve Pearce? (If favorable or unfavorable, ask if it is very or not):

                    VERY                   VERY
                    FAV    FAV    UNFAV    UNFAV   NO OPINION  

ALL                  9%     33%     28%      7%     23%

MEN                 11%     37%     25%      6%     21%
WOMEN                7%     29%     31%      8%     25%
DEMOCRATS            5%     27%     37%     11%     20%
REPUBLICANS         17%     45%     14%      3%     21%
INDEPENDENTS         7%     30%     30%      6%     27%
18-29                6%     29%     31%      9%     25%
30-44               12%     37%     25%      5%     21%
45-59               10%     35%     27%      5%     23%
60+                  7%     32%     29%      8%     24%


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marty Chavez? (If favorable or unfavorable, ask if it is very or not):

                    VERY                   VERY
                    FAV    FAV    UNFAV    UNFAV   NO OPINION  

ALL                 11%     31%     25%      7%     26%

MEN                  9%     29%     29%      8%     25%
WOMEN               13%     33%     21%      6%     27%
DEMOCRATS           17%     38%     15%      3%     27%
REPUBLICANS          4%     23%     37%     11%     25%
INDEPENDENTS        11%     30%     26%      7%     26%
18-29               15%     36%     19%      4%     26%
30-44                8%     27%     29%     10%     26%
45-59                9%     29%     28%      9%     25%
60+                 11%     32%     24%      6%     27%


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Diane Denish? (If favorable or unfavorable, ask if it is very or not):

                    VERY                   VERY
                    FAV    FAV    UNFAV    UNFAV   NO OPINION  

ALL                 10%     34%     19%      4%     33%

MEN                  9%     31%     22%      6%     32%
WOMEN               11%     37%     16%      2%     34%
DEMOCRATS           14%     43%     11%      1%     31%
REPUBLICANS          5%     25%     29%      7%     34%
INDEPENDENTS        10%     32%     20%      4%     34%
18-29               13%     38%     14%      2%     33%
30-44                7%     31%     22%      6%     34%
45-59                8%     32%     21%      4%     35%
60+                 12%     35%     19%      4%     30%


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Udall? (If favorable or unfavorable, ask if it is very or not):

                    VERY                   VERY
                    FAV    FAV    UNFAV    UNFAV   NO OPINION  

ALL                 15%     36%     21%      7%     21%

MEN                 14%     35%     23%      8%     20%
WOMEN               16%     37%     19%      6%     22%
DEMOCRATS           23%     44%     12%      3%     18%
REPUBLICANS          6%     26%     34%     12%     22%
INDEPENDENTS        14%     36%     19%      6%     25%
18-29               18%     39%     16%      4%     23%
30-44               12%     33%     25%      9%     21%
45-59               14%     35%     23%      7%     21%
60+                 17%     37%     19%      7%     20%

-----


QUESTION: If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Marty Chavez, the Democrat, and Heather Wilson, the Republican?

                  WILSON      CHAVEZ        UNDECIDED        

ALL                 45%         42%         13%

MEN                 49%         39%         12%
WOMEN               41%         45%         14%
DEMOCRATS           14%         70%         16%
REPUBLICANS         83%          6%         11%
INDEPENDENTS        47%         41%         12%
18-29               40%         48%         12%
30-44               49%         37%         14%
45-59               47%         39%         14%
60+                 44%         44%         12%


QUESTION: If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Diane Denish, the Democrat, and Heather Wilson, the Republican?

                  WILSON      DENISH        UNDECIDED        

ALL                 44%         43%         13%

MEN                 48%         40%         12%
WOMEN               40%         46%         14%
DEMOCRATS           13%         72%         15%
REPUBLICANS         82%          7%         11%
INDEPENDENTS        46%         41%         13%
18-29               40%         47%         13%
30-44               48%         38%         14%
45-59               46%         40%         14%
60+                 43%         45%         12%


QUESTION: If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Tom Udall, the Democrat, and Heather Wilson, the Republican?

                  UDALL       WILSON      UNDECIDED        

ALL                 55%         38%          7%

MEN                 52%         43%          5%
WOMEN               58%         33%          9%
DEMOCRATS           80%         10%         10%
REPUBLICANS         19%         79%          2%
INDEPENDENTS        57%         35%          8%
18-29               58%         35%          7%
30-44               52%         43%          5%
45-59               53%         39%          8%
60+                 56%         36%          8%


QUESTION: If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Marty Chavez, the Democrat, and Steve Pearce, the Republican?

                  PEARCE      CHAVEZ        UNDECIDED        

ALL                 40%         39%         21%

MEN                 45%         36%         19%
WOMEN               35%         42%         23%
DEMOCRATS           11%         65%         24%
REPUBLICANS         80%          6%         14%
INDEPENDENTS        37%         37%         26%
18-29               36%         42%         22%
30-44               43%         36%         21%
45-59               42%         38%         20%
60+                 39%         40%         21%


QUESTION: If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Diane Denish, the Democrat, and Steve Pearce, the Republican?

                  DENISH      PEARCE        UNDECIDED        

ALL                 45%         39%         16%

MEN                 40%         45%         15%
WOMEN               50%         33%         17%
DEMOCRATS           74%         11%         15%
REPUBLICANS          8%         79%         13%
INDEPENDENTS        44%         36%         20%
18-29               48%         36%         16%
30-44               41%         43%         16%
45-59               43%         40%         17%
60+                 46%         38%         16%


QUESTION: If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Tom Udall, the Democrat, and Steve Pearce, the Republican?

                  UDALL       PEARCE        UNDECIDED        

ALL                 54%         37%          9%

MEN                 50%         42%          8%
WOMEN               58%         32%         10%
DEMOCRATS           80%         10%         10%
REPUBLICANS         19%         78%          3%
INDEPENDENTS        55%         32%         13%
18-29               57%         34%          9%
30-44               51%         40%          9%
45-59               52%         39%          9%
60+                 55%         35%         10%

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:38 AM PST.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  Would be nice to pick up another Senate Seat (7+ / 0-)

    I think when all is said and done in 2008 we'll be close to 60 seats in the senate.

    "There is nothing wrong with America can't be cured by what is right with America" -Bill Clinton

    by SensibleDemocrat on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:37:53 AM PST

  •  Wow... (9+ / 0-)

    talk about putting it on a silver platter for the guy. He's up 17 on Wilson without even announcing. Other than the usual "family considerations," what more does he need to make his decision?

    My only concern would be an ugly primary versus Chavez. I wonder if the DSCC couldn't nudge Chavez out.

    "I told them on Inauguration Day. I said look into my eyes: no new enhancements." - President Johnny Gentle (Famous Crooner)

    by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:40:09 AM PST

    •  Primary (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jxg, MadEye, barbwire, Larry McAwful

      Udall seems hesitant to want to fight in a primary and hopes to have the field cleared. Chavez seems to see this as his only real opportunity and he is willing to fight for it.  Of note, two former (old) governors just endorsed Chavez.  This has been interpreted as a message to Udall that if he comes in, he will have to fight for it.  

      As a New Mexico blog puts it:

      Their message was aimed squarely at northern NM Congressman Tom Udall who is considering joining the battle for the Dem nod. They seemed to say if Udall comes he ought to prepare for warfare for the hearts of the native New Mexican families that have held forth here for four centuries. It doesn't get more Old School than that.

      http://joemonahansnewmexico.blogspot...

      I hope Udall is not too passive and unwilling to fight.  Chavez would be a Bush dog senator (post-Bush of course) and may not even win.  Udall would win and be a valuable progressive in the senate.

  •  Wow, good news for ALL Democratic candidates.... (7+ / 0-)

    ....especially for Udall. It seems that all Democratic candidates would be competitive in that "purple" state.

    "...if my thought-dreams could be seen, they'd probably put my head in a guillotine...." {-8.13;-5.59}

    by lams712 on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:41:00 AM PST

  •  i gave $20 (7+ / 0-)

    but the funds raised so far look pretty meager, considering what a win this takeover would be.

    udall is someone who could lock up this seat for a long time.

    Newsday: Rudy Giuliani missing in action for Iraq panel

    by jethropalerobber on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:41:21 AM PST

  •  I hope Udall gets in (6+ / 0-)

    .  Elections are a lot more fun when a win is inevitable.  More fun to gloat....heheh

    "Sometimes I wish I could change my nickname" Me

    by givemhellHarryR on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:42:35 AM PST

  •  looks like Udall, unless Bill Richardson wants it (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    boofdah, aaraujo, CCSDem, la urracca

    then NM is a shoe-in like VA

    The Seminole Democrat
    A blue voice calling from the deep red

    by SemDem on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:44:01 AM PST

  •  How does this change (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    boofdah, CCSDem

    if Bill Richardson decides to run?

    Let us make history, together with Barack Obama in 2008

    by aaraujo on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:44:42 AM PST

    •  Good question--think he's gonna back out of the (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      aaraujo, CCSDem, la urracca

      Presidential race anytime soon?

      •  I think that he will be out after 5 Feb (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        boofdah, CCSDem

        and he will still have time to declare a run for NM-SEN (and I hope that he does)

        Let us make history, together with Barack Obama in 2008

        by aaraujo on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:50:21 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  But ... (4+ / 0-)

          Even if it is clear early on that he has no chance for the presidential nomination he will still have a good shot at the VP slot, so I presume that would keep him in the race. Or he might drop out and endorse Hillary, but I do not think he will get into the senate race. He does not want to be a senator; he would not be particularly good at it; and I suspect he has told Udall he will not get in. Udall would be a much better senator than Richardson and he would be almost as certain to win. (Let me say I admire Richardson a lot and that I think he has been a fine governor; I just don't think his talents fit being a senator.)

          "A republic, if you can keep it." Benjamin Franklin

          by herodotus on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 10:06:18 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Richardson (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      decembersue, jxg, aaraujo, CCSDem

      would win in a walk and everyone on both sides knows it.  I suspect that Richardson is one big reason for Udall's hesitancy.  That is, if Udall runs and gives up his seat, then Richardson runs, Udall has lost his house seat.   Seriously though, as much as I wish Richardson would jump in, I think realistically the chance is near zero.

      •  Well, (0+ / 0-)

        the filing deadline is the same for House and Senate, so there would be nothing stopping Udall from switching back to the House race if Richardson announced for the Senate a la his cousin Mark Udall when Ken Salazar announced in 2004.

        The frogurt is also cursed. -8.25, -6.51

        by Superribbie on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 09:55:36 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I was under the impression from local NM (5+ / 0-)

          sources and rumours that 1) Richardson has told Udall he won't run against him for the Senate and 2) that Denish has announced that she is probably going to run for the 2010 Governorship.

          On Richardson's part of course, that could be the only position he can take until he either drops out or loses the primary. He certainly cannot announce that he will run for the  Senate in the middle of a presidential bid.

          I imagine there is a lot of backroom 'I'll scratch your back' deals being made, both in DC and Santa Fe.  What the voters want is not high on the list right now, i would think, but then I am a confirmed cynic.

          •  From what I hear and read (4+ / 0-)

            you are correct. Plus Tom Udall's daughter by marriage, Amanda Cooper, works as Richardson's Deputy Campaign Manager so I highly doubt Richardson would be dishonest with Udall about a run for Senate.

            •  It is clear that Richardson will do what....... (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              samddobermann

              he wants.  When he gets to Feb 5 he may very well decide that he would rather be 1 of 100 senators than just a private citizen.  Clearly, Bill's first choice isn't Senate but it may start looking pretty good to him.  The fact that Udall's daughter works for Richardson doesn't mean Bill won't change his mind.  I like Bill but his first consideration is always what's best for him.

              •  Richardson will not be a private citizen (0+ / 0-)

                He will be an elder statesman like other former politicians like Al Gore or Mario Cuomo or Bill Bradley. He will remain active in Politics. He will be advocating issues he cares about. He will be traveling around the country helping elect Democrats to local,state,and federal office- serving as an international ambassador.

                As Governor- Richardson is the top dog- He is currently the most popular and most powerful political figure in New Mexico.
                As US Senator- Richardson is a back bencher and is beholden to the Senate Democratic Leadership which behave like Republicans. As US Senator- Richardson has to pander to Special Interest Groups.

                •  As a private citizen (0+ / 0-)

                  Richardson can take controversial stance on issue without worrying about offending anyone.

                  •  Yes, but Richardson doesn't have big issues...... (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    samddobermann

                    ala Al Gore and the environment.  He likes to touch on everything a bit but is really in love with the game.

                    •  I would not bet on that (0+ / 0-)

                      when he is no longer either a Presidental candidate or Governor of New Mexico where his 'off the cuff' remarks can seriously damage his credibility and damage his state.

                      I don't know him personally, but do admire him as a governor and a human being. I would be most surprised if he doesn't do everything he can to turn the tide of venom and xenophobia aimed at spanish speaking immigrants or undocumented workers.

                      I heard a Florida Republican congresswoman this morning advocating denying 'sanctuary cities' federal funding. What that would do to the New Mexico educational system is unimaginable.

                      As for the crack about Richardson being primarily out for Richardson, I don't think there has been a politician who ran based on altruism and idealism since Jimmy Carter.

                      •  As a private citizen (1+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        soccergrandmom

                        Richardson can serve as an International negotiator- HE will be traveling to third world countries- advocating issues such as Human Rights- Economic Growth.
                        At Home- Richardson can advocate Energy Independence.

                        Who ever is in the WhiteHouse- be Democrat or Republican will be looking for Richardson's help

                      •  Don't get my wrong...I like Bill, a lot. (0+ / 0-)

                        I've voted for him every election that he has been in but he isn't an issue driven politician, he loves campaigning, meeting people, bringing people together to hash stuff out...he won't be able to do that that a private citizen.  Even as a freshman senator (1 of 100) he will still be able to to what he loves.  

                •  Its a fallacy that freshman senator means (0+ / 0-)

                  back bencher...ask Jim Webb, Claire McCaskill, and Jon Tester.  They are out there advocating their positions loud and clear and outshining senior members.  

                  •  Freshman Sen don't hold any leadership positions (0+ / 0-)

                    Secondly Most Freshman US Senators rarely get media attention.

                    Jim Webb is a military guy- and he is an expert on the Iraq and Iran War Policy.

                    McCaskill,Tester along with other Freshman rarely been on the news.

                    McCaskill and Tester are mostly local US Senator unlike

                    Jim Webb or Bill Richardson or Ted Kennedy.

                    •  Right, they don't hold leadership...but they can (0+ / 0-)

                      command the scene in their state and on the national scene.  Bill in the Senate will be very sought after by news shows, etc.

                      •  What if Bill thinks that a US Senate is basically (0+ / 0-)

                        an entry level job.

                        Asking Bill to run for the Senate is like asking a college graduate with a bachelors degree who worked 5 years as Assistant Manager to apply for an Office Clerks job.

                        Richardson work 15 years in a entry level job as US Congressman-(the US House). he got promoted as UN Ambassador then Energy Secretary- he then became Governor.

                        Richardson has an excellent chance of being VP or Secretary of State.

                        The Senate run for Richardson should only happen if
                        Tom Udall says no before the Feb 5 Super Tuesday Primary. Then we can put pressure on Bill Richardson.

        •  The Difference (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          barbwire

          If Richardson decides to jump in, he has to do it real fast after Feb 5.  Until then, he is a candidate for President.  The Democrats would all cede the senate race to him.

          Udall cannot wait for Richardson without ceding too much to Chavez.  And if he announces soon, other Democrats will start running for Udall's house seat while he is running for senate.  Jumping back sets up a whole different dynamic.  He is not as much the 800 pound gorilla as Richardson and others would feel betrayed.  They may even stay in the race against him.  His own supporters will have shifted loyalties.  In short, he "could" do it, but it's at least a different dynamic.  

          •  True (0+ / 0-)

            I'm not sure what challenges Udall would face if he announced for Senate this month or next and then switched back in February.  There could be some ruffled feathers or a primary.

            The frogurt is also cursed. -8.25, -6.51

            by Superribbie on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 11:05:22 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

    •  As said below ... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      CCSDem, SparkleMotion

      I think he is aiming for Veep or Condi's job

  •  Udall (9+ / 0-)

    Not only our strongest candidate by a huge margin but also a damn fine progressive who is well-deserving of support.  

    RUN TOM RUN

  •  Cool, there's a petition at that DraftUdall link! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    CCSDem, la urracca

    I just went and signed it. Donate to the iPetitions site as well, if you're so inclined.

  •  Sorry but I just don't undersand your fascination (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jxg, hilltopper, tomzultant, Kevin88101

    Folks:

    Just don't understand everybody's fascination with Tom Udall - as a NM resident he votes right but besides that there ain't much energy.

    I'm not a betting guy but my guess is that he won't run.  He's got an easy gig in northern New Mexico and I don't see the drive to run for Senate.  Plus its still possible/probable that Richardson will get in once his run for the Presidency dies.  If that happens Udall would be screwed.

    •  As another NM resident (5+ / 0-)

      I've met Udall before, and I understand your point about his "energy." He's a pretty stoic person, to say it politely. But I've also met Marty Chavez, and quite simply, Udall would kick his ass in a primary and match up better against Pearce or Wilson. That's the reason for the fascination. I differ with you on your view that Richardson may run for Senate when his White House bid dies -- I think he's got a "been there, done that" attitude with Congress.

      •  I agree with you 100%. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        hilltopper

        Udall has statewide name recognition than Chavez- considering the fact Udall has won two statewide offices prior to getting elected to Congress. Udall is more popular than Chavez. Udall is a household name in New Mexico- or the Western States.
        In a matchup against Pearce and Wilson- both candidates Udall or Chavez can win in the general.

        Pearce is too conservative to win statewide in NM.
        Wilson is too controversial.

        Regarding Richardson.
        Richardson has been a member of Congress for 15 years
        He served as Ambassador to UN. and served as a Cabinet Secretary- Energy Secretary. He served as Governor. Richardson believes that he deserves to be President because unlike Hillary,Obama,and Edwards- Richardson paid his dues to American Electorate

        Richardson got elected to Congress in the early 1980's. HE worked his way up the ladder to leadership position in the US House- He was Chief Deputy Whip. HE got promoted UN Ambassador then Secretary of Energy. When Clinton left office and Bush became President. Richardson moved back to NM and became Governor. Richardson has negotiated with foriegn leaders. HE has done more for this country than Hillary,Obama,and Edwards.

        Obama was elected to the US Senate in 2004- He and Edwards who also served one term in the Senate- are only popular because of their charismatic personality- We along with the mainstream media are extremely superficial. Hillary is only a strong candidate because she is married to a President.

        We need to take second tier candidates like Richardson or Biden more serious- because we live in serious times- we should not look for a candidate we want to have a beer with. But a candidate who is going to take care of our needs- We need a grown up as commander of chief.

        If Richardson loses the WH Bid. He'd probally complete his term as Governor- become a Private Citizen- He'd follow Al Gore's lead- Become an Elder States- Work on causes that he cares about- Energy Independece or Human Rights.

    •  Voting right IS the energy. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      hilltopper, CCSDem

      He's crushing all the Republicans, while the other Dems are behind. And as Senator, his vote would replace the consistently evil Domenici vote. Anything more than that sweet deal, it seems to me, would be cake frosting.

      Udall would put NM into the safe Dem column, leaving western Democrats free to concentrate on winning Oregon, Alaska, even maybe Idaho!

      Richardson would also be excellent, and I'd go for him just as enthusiastically. For now, I just take him at his word that he doesn't want the office. Maybe he's angling for a major cabinet post in the Clinton/Obama/Edwards Administration.

      "...And I woulda got away with it, if it hadn't been for that meddling Kos!" ---attributed to Tom DeLay

      by AdmiralNaismith on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 10:03:06 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  But, folks in NM don't like game playing.... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        hilltopper

        and there is the start of a "fish or cut bait" attitude about Udall.  People here just like you to deal with them honestly and upfront.  I understand that Udall is working to build momentum, milk all the free publicity he can get, etc.  But, if he drags this out too long people will start to feel like they are getting played.

        And, the endorsements today of Chavez by former Governors Anaya and Apodaca could change things a bit.  Granted, Marty has lost statewide before but Tom lost in the 3rd before he won also.  NM is willing to give most folks a second chance.

    •  Udall energy (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      peace voter, hilltopper

      It's true that Udall is reserved and polite, but he CAN give a barnburner of a speech when he wants to. I've witnessed him doing just that at previous  State Party events when the Iraq invasion was the issue.

      I think his reserved nature would work FOR him, not against him, in a state like this. He has a very Western sensibility that appeals to both city dwellers and rural voters. Large numbers of Westerners are put off by the slicker, pushy, brash, egotistical types like Marty Chavez.

      Remember that Udall won two statewide races previously for Attorney General and his performance in that job was widely praised across the board. Chavez, on the other hand, lost the one statewide race he ran for Governor by a big margin. The more rural and small town areas of New Mexico don't take to him.

  •  Get Udall to Demand Nacy Nord's Resignation (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    peace voter

    Win some points with consumers ...

    check out this diary:

    http://www.dailykos.com/user/justiceleague

    Thanks!

  •  Knowing nothing about NM politics (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    peace voter, CCSDem

    all I can say is that the numbers look great for Udall and decent for the others as well.

    Is it just me, or is there one too many 'fors' in this: for whom would you vote for?

    You, sir, are a mouthful.

    by Glacial Erratic on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 10:00:41 AM PST

  •  What's scarier? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    CCSDem, whippoorwill
    That Heather "Wardrobe Malfunction Hysteria" Wilson has a good shot to two of our front runners? Of that Heather "Bring Back the PMRC" Wilson could start pronouncing her insane BS on the Senate floor?

    For the sake of your country, Udall, please run!

  •  See Draft Udall! (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    barbwire, hilltopper, CCSDem, whippoorwill

    Two new posts this morning, one about Kos's poll, the second about Marty Chavez slinging dirt before Udall even declares!

    That's why we need Tom Udall to run!

    www.draftudall.com

    Sign the petition and spread the word!

  •  Udall's hesitation (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV

    Senate2008Guru.com has a theory: Udall is waiting so the Republican field solidifies and those congressional seats open up, so we don't get a repeat of Virginia where Davis backed out after the bad polling rolled in. Makes sense to me.

    Did I mention you should read Senate2008Guru.com?

  •  Take The leap Tom (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    barbwire, hilltopper

    I've lived in NM for 10 years and was surprised Udall was all that popular state wide. Of course, I live in SW part of the state where brain-dead zombie Steve Pearce is the congressman. Anyway, go for it Tom!

  •  Will he or won't he? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hilltopper

    If Udall wins, this looks like top tier.

    If not, it looks like 50-50

    Will he run?

  •  KOS Keep up this polling and I love it.... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    peace voter, Glacial Erratic

    Because if Giuliani gets in next year.....I want a BLOWOUT in Congress on the Democratic side.  I want those 60 votes in the Senate and then some.

  •  Looking at the favorable and unfavorable ratings (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    barbwire

    of each candidate

    Chavez has a 42% Favorable 32% Unfavorable
    Udall has a 51% Favorable 28% Unfavorable
    Wilson has a 46% Favorable 34% Unfavorable
    Pearce has a 42% Favorable 35% Unfavorable

    Looking at the Democratic Primary
    Among Democrats Udall has a 67% Favorable 15% Unfavorable
    Among Democrats Chavez has a 55% Favorable 18% Unfavorable.

    Despite the fact Udall has higher name recognition than Chavez- Chavez's unfavorable ratings among Democrats is higher than Udall's- Udall is strongly favored to win the Democratic Primary.

    Looking at the Republican Primary
    Among Republicans- Wilson has a 64% Favorable 17% Unfavorable.
    Among Republicans Pearce has a  62% Favorable 17% Unfavorable.

  •  To win the NM and VA seats easily (0+ / 0-)

    would be a huge, if not unprecedented, advantage for Democrats.  Those 2 pickups would put the GOP in a real hole, make it easier for Hillary to win those states, and allow the DSCC and DNC to focus resources to make the GOP squirm.  I hope Udall enters the race.

    Alternative rock with something to say: http://www.myspace.com/globalshakedown

    by khyber900 on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 11:26:34 AM PST

  •  did I read that right? (0+ / 0-)

    Daily Kos is now commissioning its own polls?  And from a legitimate pollster like Research 2000?  That's pretty cool, I like it.

    "You can only protect your liberties in this world by protecting the other man's freedom. You can only be free if I am free."-Clarence Darrow

    by cwech on Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 12:19:06 PM PST

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site