Obama leads in all matchups.
Hillary loses to Huckabee, Giuliani and McCain.
Edwards loses to Giuliani and McCain.
http://www.zogby.com/...
Obama
Romney: Obama leads 53%-35%
Huckabee: Obama leads 47%-42%
Giuliani: Obama leads 48%-39%
McCain: Obama leads 47%-43%
Thompson: Obama leads 52%-36%
Clinton
Romney: Clinton leads 46%-44%
Huckabee: Huckabee leads 48%-43%
Giuliani: Giuliani leads 46%-42%
McCain: McCain leads 49%-42%
Thompson: Clinton leads 48%-42%
Edwards
Romney: Edwards leads 50%-38%
Huckabee: Edwards leads 47%-41%
Giuliani: Giuliani leads 45%-44%
McCain: McCain leads 46%-42%
Thompson: Edwards leads 51%-35%
The telephone survey included 1,000 likely voters nationwide and carries a margin of error of +/– 3.2 percentage points. The poll was conducted Dec. 12–14, 2007. The results were released Dec. 20, 2007.
Obama's good performance comes down to his advantage among independents:
For instance, Clinton trails Giuliani by one point (43% for Giuliani, 42% for Clinton among independents), but Obama leads Giuliani among independents by a huge 56% to 31% edge. Edwards leads Giuliani, 52% to 38% among independents. Clinton has similar trouble among independents against McCain, in that she trails with 37% support to his 46% support. In a prospective Obama versus McCain match–up among independent voters, Obama leads, 51% to 35%. Edwards and McCain are tied at 42% apiece among independents.
To be fair, that was before McCain got the Joe Lieberman endorsement, though I doubt he got much Joementum out of it.
Another tidbit from the poll: both Obama and Edwards do better among moderates than Clinton.
As among independents, Obama is the Democrat moderates like best, but his edge among moderates over Edwards is not nearly as pronounced as with independents. For instance, against McCain, both Edwards and Obama lead, but Clinton loses badly.
I'm not a fan of the electability argument, but I've seen many people touting a CNN poll from a couple weeks ago as evidence of Edwards being the only electable candidate, so I thought I would post this to provide balance. Personally, I think all of our top tier Democrats and even some of the 2nd tier Democrats are electable. When you look at all the polls, the differences between the candidates are small. What's more important is who you think would be best for the country.