On a
comments thread, I posted a suggestion about targeting 20 vulnerable GOP representatives for defeat and targeting 20 vulnerable Dems for shoring up.
I invite you to choose the vulnerables in this thread. We see some possibilities for open pickups on the front page, with SD, KY-6, and LA-3. So who is vulnerable?
A short list from me:
GOP:
Hostettler (IN - 8): The "Bloody Eighth," my home congressional district for many years. It's never gone too far either way.
Bonilla (TX - 23): Assuming the redistricting gets shut down, he only won this district with 50% of the vote. It snakes along the Rio Grande, and should be a chance for a pickup. Again, assuming redistricting is overturned.
(speculating on these next two)
Rogers (AL - 3) and Renzi (AZ - 1): Both only won with 50% of the vote. Maybe they can be picked up, maybe not.
Northup (KY - 3): Louisville is historically Democratic. Northup is, in many ways, more moderate than most KY Republicans, and the Dems apparently haven't run great candidates.
Dems:
Hill (IN - 9): Very similar to the "Bloody Eighth." Trends Dem at the local levels, but is socially conservative. Hill is a Blue Dog, and normally I'm not a fan, but a vote for Speaker Pelosi is a vote for Speaker Pelosi.
Pomeroy (ND - AL): He seems to win ok, but the state as a whole is mostly GOP. Any help would be good, I'm guessing.
Michaud (ME - 2): Granted, a Maine Republican probably isn't that far removed from reality, but why chance it? Michaud won with 52% in 2002, but some of the counties in the district went handily for Bush in '00.
Marshall (GA - 3): Former mayor of Macon. Army vet. BUT, squeaked by in an open seat. Will need some shoring up.
Moore (KS - 3): A Kansas Democrat. Look closely, folks - we don't get many of those in DC. But, his district is the most urban, and the Gov of KS is Dem as well. Still and all, let's help him out.
I appreciate any and all thoughts.
WF
(who REALLY should be working on his dissertation - tentatively titled But I Must Have Said It Before Because I Say It Now: Irony, Quotation, Mahler, and Berio. Look for it in the "Unfinished Music Theory Dissertations Because The Author Was Too Busy Posting To Political Blogs" section.)
A short list from me:
GOP:
Hostettler (IN - 8): The "Bloody Eighth," my home congressional district for many years. It's never gone too far either way.
Bonilla (TX - 23): Assuming the redistricting gets shut down, he only won this district with 50% of the vote. It snakes along the Rio Grande, and should be a chance for a pickup. Again, assuming redistricting is overturned.
(speculating on these next two)
Rogers (AL - 3) and Renzi (AZ - 1): Both only won with 50% of the vote. Maybe they can be picked up, maybe not.
Northup (KY - 3): Louisville is historically Democratic. Northup is, in many ways, more moderate than most KY Republicans, and the Dems apparently haven't run great candidates.
Dems:
Hill (IN - 9): Very similar to the "Bloody Eighth." Trends Dem at the local levels, but is socially conservative. Hill is a Blue Dog, and normally I'm not a fan, but a vote for Speaker Pelosi is a vote for Speaker Pelosi.
Pomeroy (ND - AL): He seems to win ok, but the state as a whole is mostly GOP. Any help would be good, I'm guessing.
Michaud (ME - 2): Granted, a Maine Republican probably isn't that far removed from reality, but why chance it? Michaud won with 52% in 2002, but some of the counties in the district went handily for Bush in '00.
Marshall (GA - 3): Former mayor of Macon. Army vet. BUT, squeaked by in an open seat. Will need some shoring up.
Moore (KS - 3): A Kansas Democrat. Look closely, folks - we don't get many of those in DC. But, his district is the most urban, and the Gov of KS is Dem as well. Still and all, let's help him out.
I appreciate any and all thoughts.
WF
(who REALLY should be working on his dissertation - tentatively titled But I Must Have Said It Before Because I Say It Now: Irony, Quotation, Mahler, and Berio. Look for it in the "Unfinished Music Theory Dissertations Because The Author Was Too Busy Posting To Political Blogs" section.)