Skip to main content

Phoenix Woman at Firedoglake has an extensive post and analysis of the CNN and Rasmussen national matchup polls. Phoenix Woman at Firedoglake has an extensive post and analysis of the CNN and Rasmussen national tracking polls.

Its chock full of insight.  As she notes

-both of these polls have been saying similar things about the strengths and weaknesses of the major candidates, things that aren't being told to us in the evening TV news or on the cable gabfests.

Looks Like the campaign wants to make the basic point too.  

Here's Rasmussen's numbers

Obama (47%) Giuliani (37%)
Obama (45%) Huckabee (43%)
Obama (43%) McCain (46%)
Obama (50%) Paul (31%)
Obama (45%) Romney (39%)
Obama (47%) Thompson (40%)

dwards (44%) Giuliani (44%)
Edwards (49%) Huckabee (37%)
Edwards (46%) McCain (39%)
Edwards (50%) Romney (34%)
Edwards (48%) Thompson (39%)

Clinton (44%) Giuliani (45%)
Clinton (42%) Huckabee (45%)
Clinton (38%) McCain (49%)
Clinton (49%) Paul (37%)
Clinton (43%) Romney (44%)
Clinton (46%) Thompson (44%)

the analysis is pretty Simple

1) McCain is by far the GOP's strongest candidate in the general election.  He trounces Hillary 49% to 38%, and beats Obama 46% to 43%. In fact, the only Democrat who beats him is none other than John Edwards, who decisively beats McCain 46% to 39%.

2) John Edwards is by far the Democrats' strongest candidate in the general election. He is the only one who is not beaten outright by any Republican candidate: He ties with Giuliani at 44% each, but easily beats McCain, Thompson, Romney, and Huckabee, the latter two by double-digit margins.

 Huckelberries beats Clinton folks.

  1. Hillary Clinton is the weakest Democratic candidate in the general election. She loses to every single Republican except Fred Thompson and Ron Paul, and neither of those two gents is going to get the Republican nomination for president.
  1. Barack Obama is in between Edwards and Hillary Clinton in strength in the general election

.

As has been noted on DK previously CNN's matchup polling shows the same thingEdwards is the strongest Dem, Hillary is the weakest, Obama is in between.

But as Jamess noted on Sundayy CNN's  January polling plays corporate media blackout and ignores Senator Edwards.

Imagine how he'd be doing if he got comparable coverage to say 9ui11ani or Grandpa Fred.  As people learn his message he gets ever more support.  We know that Edwards won't get the fawning media overage under any circumstances, but Krugman is right:

On the Democratic side, John Edwards, although never the front-runner, has been driving his party’s policy agenda.

And as long as we keep beating the drum maybe we can get the message through--as seems to be happening in Nevada.  

John Edwards has come within shooting distance of the two front-runners.
Of 500 likely Democratic caucus-goers surveyed, 32 percent favored Obama, 30 percent favored Clinton, and 27 percent favored Edwards.
But with 9 percent undecided and 12 percent of those who expressed a preference likely to change their minds before Saturday, the race could shift dramatically to any of the candidates.
"In a one- or two-point race, it could tip either way," pollster Del Ali said. "It's a volatile electorate out there, particularly in a primary or a caucus. Twelve percent could change their mind, that could mean all the difference in the world."
The poll was conducted Jan. 11-13 by Maryland-based Research 2000 and has a margin of error of 4.5 percent.
It is the first public poll conducted in Nevada since the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary reset the dynamics of the race.

Linky

So this Friday Im joining the Edward's fundraising Effort  Again :)

and helping organize my states Feb 5 caucus for JRE

Originally posted to Redstateresident on Tue Jan 15, 2008 at 08:03 AM PST.

Poll

Electibility

69%771 votes
3%35 votes
7%84 votes
1%16 votes
0%4 votes
2%26 votes
2%25 votes
13%156 votes

| 1117 votes | Vote | Results

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Serephin, arlam, clyde, clio, Thumb, DCFD Rudi, rick, Paleo, Phoenix Woman, Inky, hester, GernBlanzten, kate mckinnon, PoliticGeek Pro, Ivan, ohno, human, Geenius at Wrok, Mountain Don, cosbo, philgoblue, Danno11, MeanBoneII, tommurphy, trevzb, be inspired, ThirstyGator, moira977, citydude2000, leftyboy666, bookbear, Harper, Vitarai, oaktav, Eternal Hope, Microangelo, opinionated, ScrewJack, redwagon, bronte17, RandOR, TracieLynn, alysheba, Stormwatcher, DrKate, SamSinister, Baldwiny, maxschell, Morague, SkiBumLee, mytribe, Nihilvor, countrycat, vmibran, roses, Arun, amberglow, jbeach, Miss Blue, sngmama, ornerydad, frightwig, thingamabob, Ohiocrat, rioduran, enough already, PatrickUK, sydluna, nitetalker, SensibleShoes, writingdiva, nicolas, psnyder, danthrax, Subversive, MA Liberal, grannyhelen, votermom, kevin22262, TXsharon, hereinmissouri, desmoinesdem, Jujuree, Black Maned Pensator, Oy the Billybumbler, PaulLoeb, Timbuk3, Democratic Hawk, ybruti, WV Democrat, jre2k8, cjacob, snowbird42, bibble, TekBoss, environmentalist, Frank Vyan Walton, Arcparser, nehark, sarahlane, Recovering Southern Baptist, Leslie H, historys mysteries, Tarindel, saodl, farleftcoast, ichibon, JanetT in MD, unclejohn, revbludge, Billyboy, ignorant bystander, chuckles1, Jersey Girl, Oaklander, Flint, Hotspur18, Clem Yeobright, Brooke In Seattle, Ranting Roland, Nastja Polisci, reflectionsv37, howardfromUSA, Tracy Joan, flubber, bleeding blue, Pam from Calif, truebeliever, washingtonsmith, jcitybone, Gordon20024, lasky57, davidslane, klarfax, The Raven, jm taylor, benny05, jilikins, Rogneid, oibme, bookwoman, Team Slacker, doe, proudprogressiveCA, sgary, Arsenic, jct, Snud, andreuccio, virginia cynic, Thundergod, BalanceSeeker, jsamuel, vigilant meerkat, sherlyle, rmwarnick, BlueInARedState, faster democrat kill kill, poichick, Junior Bug, tbetz, isis2, Blue Wind, Tanya, need pr, Ashaman, gooderservice, vickie feminist, taraka das, NC Dem, NearlyNormal, Preston S, edgery, dirtfarmer, sharilynn, sadpanda, sozzy, nannyboz, creeper, duha, illusionmajik, McSnatherson, artist1776, bear83, Boxer7, meowmissy, thegools, jsyaruss, dmh44, SharonColeman, godislove, ricsec7, Searching for Truth, moosely2006, mdgarcia, maxalb, dallasdave, edsbrooklyn, FishOutofWater, Blue Waters Run Deep, yowsta, david mizner, NCDem Amy, sherrylynn, deepeco, Strabo, Rex Manning, millwood, Moderation, pioneer111, cececville, skaye19, lorac18nc, Vinnie Vegas, Predictor, TomP, AJ WI, nom de paix, fayeforcure, John Poet, Devsd, planetclaire4, Blue Town, SparksMom, World Citizen, laurenc, FightForJustice, greenies, elephantitis, okamichan13, Greasy Grant, 123Mary123, Cassandra Waites, Connolly, RDemocrat, journalschism, valsagem, LaEscapee, Rtael, DixieDishrag, Fallon, JeremiahFP, lpeacock, priceman, Guadalupe59, Mike Taylor, PeckingOrder, CIndyCasella, ZhenRen, Sarah Ann, legendmn, 4km, NetRootsDaily, leisure, two roads, litoralis, AntonBursch, zazzlin, HermesTrismegistus, BBelle, Sullen Idealist, lothar779, sweeper

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site