disclaimer, since it seems like anyone posting with anything but positive news for Obama is immediately labled as Pro-Clinton or Pro-Edwards, along with the standard name calling that passes as witty these days - I am NOT a Clinton supporter, I am leaning towards Edwards and may or may not vote for him on mega super duper tuesday extreme in MO ... either Obama or Clinton could have won my vote this past Thursday by doing their JOB and showing up for the Senate Vote on FISA, but they didn't.
Also - this is a diary to point out just how silly all the SURGING diaries are. Is Clinton really SURGING!!!! Well, sure, if you look at a poll many people like to quote... the Daily Presidential Tracking Polling History at Rasmussen.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...
Yesterday, this poll had Obama at 33, Clinton at 36, a three point lead, today, it is Obama 31, Clinton 40, a nine point lead. CLINTON'S LEAD HAS TRIPPLED IN ONE DAY!!!!
Ok, now that we have that out of the way, I hope people see just how silly it is to post all these 'SURGING!!!' and 'FALLING!!!' blogs based on one poll, even one that is fairly respected such as Rasmussen. Will Obama 'surge' on his South Carolina results? Most likely, but how much is yet to be seen. In Rasumssen's Daily Tracking Poll, Obama 'peaked' at 36% on 1/13, while Clinton was at 40% on that day and is on 40% today.
Remember people, every poll has a margin of error, and even the best polling method can result in an outlier every once in a while. Rasmussen Daily Tracking polls (unless they've changed things recently) is an average over the last 3 days, so in general it smooths wild swings. Please, don't EVER put too much stock in one poll.
I for one will support any of our candidates in the general election, but if none of them impress me in the next 9 days, I might just write in Al Gore on my primary ballot.
oh, I almost forgot ... I'll take the under!