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Well, aside from a curious SurveyUSA poll out of the state of Florida late last week (one which was rebutted by a Quinnipiac poll released earlier in the week), it appears that the electability argument for the Democrats is now a done deal.

The final nail...while both Democrats presently hold a lead over John McCain in Hillary Clinton's home state of New York, Barack Obama has a lead that is TEN POINTS higher than that of Hillary.

In New York. Plus...look here! CNN has polled Texas for the general with a surprising result. Follow me....

First, the New York numbers, courtesy of SUSA:

NEW YORK (Polled by SurveyUSA 2/15 to 2/17)

Hillary Clinton (D) 52%, John McCain (R) 41%
Barack Obama (D) 57%, John McCain (R) 36%

NOTE: All surveys were conducted before the NYT story on McCain

There you have it. Even in the senator's home state, one which gave her a reasonably substantial win in the Super Tuesday primaries, HRC does not run as strongly in the general as does Senator Obama.

That trend extends to a state thought to be out of reach to the Democrats as well.

TEXAS (Polled by CNN 2/14 to 2/17)

John McCain (R) 55%, Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
John McCain (R) 52%, Barack Obama (D) 44%

Eight points. In what is supposed to be a gimme for the GOP. Not only that, but CNN polled whether or not Texans would be amenable to a "conservative third party candidate". If one appeared on the ballot, the poll shows that Obama would LEAD McCain, 41-37. The third party candidate would get 19%. Clinton would also score a narrow lead in this scenario (38-37-23).

By the way, even in his home state, Bush gets no love. His job approval in Texas is a dismal 41%, with 55% disapproving.

Something to chew on this Thursday morning. I can't imagine that the Clinton campaign can say that New York and Texas don't matter.

Can they?

Originally posted to Steve Singiser on Thu Feb 21, 2008 at 07:47 AM PST.


Of the Big 5 States (CA, TX, NY, FL, PA), Democrats Will Win:

0%1 votes
0%1 votes
1%3 votes
40%61 votes
45%69 votes
11%17 votes

| 152 votes | Vote | Results

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