Just saw a new Texas poll linked from Political Wire.
Based on a two-day sampling period, Decision Analyst projects Barack Obama taking 57% of the Texas vote to Hillary Clinton's 43%, +/- 3% with 90% confidence.
The methodology looks a little odd-
Results based on scientific sampling of registered voters from American Consumer Opinion® (www.acop.com), one of the largest online research panels in the world. The sample was carefully balanced by gender, ethnicity, age, and geography; the data were weighted as necessary to fully represent the different demographic groups.
So- what say the better informed statisticians?
Some of this looks solid, but it seems so out of range with the other polling as to almost certainly be an outlier- but given the trend lines, and the meteoric Obama rise, is it really? They look to be fairly close to identifying the issues:
The issues of greatest importance to those who plan to vote in the Democratic Primary are (in order of importance): making healthcare more affordable (chosen by 35%); making the economy stronger and better (chosen by 29%); bringing the troops home from Iraq (28%); leadership (ability to manage government, work with world leaders, get things done) (17%); reducing gasoline prices and the cost of energy (16%).
The issues of greatest importance to those who will vote in the Republican Primary are very different from the Democratic voters. The key Republican issues: protecting the U.S. from illegal immigration (39%); fighting terrorism (31%); making the economy stronger and better (29%); character (honesty, ethics, and integrity of candidate) (27%); leadership (ability to manage government, work with world leaders, get things done) (19%).