Eleven Points of Logic
- Senator Clinton should drop out of the race if it is mathematically impossible for her to win or her continuation in the race would seriously damage the party.
- Clinton has to win each and every one of the remaining contests with MORE THAN 60% in order to take over the pledged delegate lead. *
- There is no reason to think Clinton will do significantly better in future contests than in those she has won thus far.
- With the exception of Arkansas, Clinton hasn’t received 60% of the vote in any contest- not even in her home state of New York.
- Clinton will not receive 60% in each of the remaining contests.
- Clinton will not take the pledged delegate lead.
- The only other source of delegates are the superdelegates. **
- It is only mathematically possible for Clinton to win the nomination by using superdelegates to overturn the pledged delegates.
- There is broad concern that if the superdelegates overturn the decision of the elected delegates that it will be seriously damaging to the party. ***
- It is mathematically impossible for Clinton to win without seriously damaging the party.
- Senator Clinton should drop out of the race.
* -
Slate Delegate Calculator
** -
DNC rules
*** - See e.g.
here,
Howard Dean,
Donna Brazile comments,
Vermont exit poll answer
I'm so tired of the mindless focus of the media so I decided to break it down to a mindless level so that maybe we can all understand that Hillary's choice is that she can either make an attempt to overturn the primary results or she can drop out of the race. It's really that simple. Someone should ask whether she majored in math or miracles.