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The Magnolia State primary is today, so post your predictions with percentage below and I will revise them and post the winner  tomorrow. I promise to make a donation through the winner's homepage to the Obama campaign if s/he is an Obama supporter. Sorry Hillary fans can't waste my money on the incompetent Mark Penn..

Here's my prediction:

The deep south votes along racial line this primary cycle. In Mississippi, it will be no different. Here's one important fact to mull over: The AA population vote as a monolithic group in MS and they should be expected to make up 60% of the primary electorate because favorite son Obama is running.

Obama is poised to get 92% of the AA votes and will net 30% of White voters.

So crunching these numbers in using the amazing spreadsheet, here's the predicted final result for MS:

Black making up 60%: Obama 92%-08%
White 36% : Clinton 70%-30%
Latino/others 04% :Clinton 67%-33% getting her usual share.


Barack Obama 67.3%

Hillary Clinton 32.7%

After rounding:

Barack Obama 67%

Hillary Clinton 33%

Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet to crunch the numbers can be  found here

Make a donation here
I like watching the meter goes up

Originally posted to Jr1886 on Tue Mar 11, 2008 at 11:36 AM PDT.

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