A new dynamic in the national polling for the Democratic nomination has emerged. For weeks, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have been roughly tied in the aggregate of both the Rasmussan and Gallup tracking polls, oscillating between 44 and 46%. Over the last 9 days, Obama has clearly begun to break away from the national stalemate, and he now polls between 46 and 49.5%, while Clinton is polling between 42 and 45.5%.
Here is a graph of the combined Rasmussen + Gallup Results for the past 20 days (day 1 = March 17th).
At the height of the Wright story (days 3-5), Clinton led by 2 points. For the past 9 days, she has been behind by an average of 4.2 points. These aggregate polling numbers clearly refute the idea that Wright seriously damaged Obama, despite whatever Clintonites/Conservative talking heads (is there actually a difference) might blather on about.
In the next few weeks, Obama could land the final blow in PA, NC, or IN. Please do not take these polling numbers as an excuse to let up-- they should be interpreted as a reason to push on that much harder.
Gallup Link
Rasmussen Link