This just out from Quinnipiac U:
"With two weeks to go, Sen. Barack Obama is knocking on the door of a major political upset in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary. Obama is not only building on his own constituencies, but is taking away voters in Sen. Hillary Clinton's strongest areas - whites including white women, voters in the key swing Philadelphia suburbs and those who say the economy is the most important issue in the campaign," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Numbers beyond the fold-
The numbers tell the story better than I can.
Hillary Clinton's lead in Pennsylvania has declined from:
12 points on March 16
9 points on March 31
6 points today!
Quinnipiac polls have consistently show HRC with a clear lead; now it's only 6 points, with a MOE of 2.7%. So it could be 9%, or it could be 3%. This primary season may finally be drawing to an end, right here in SE Pennsylvania.
In Philadelphia, Obama is stretching the lead to 20 points:
"The Pennsylvania primary is like a game of horseshoes: Sen. Obama needs only to come close to be considered the winner - taking away, perhaps fatally, Sen. Clinton's argument she is the candidate best able to defeat Sen. John McCain in critical swing states like Pennsylvania."
Obama leads 55 - 37 percent among Philadelphia voters and 53 - 42 percent in the Philadelphia suburbs, widening a 49 - 44 percent April 2 lead in this critical area.