Bi-partisan pollster Charlie Cook continues to be a great resource of fact based analysis of the state of the race:
Today he wrote:
"Despite the recent show of strength by Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., the odds against her winning the Democratic presidential nomination are as imposing as ever — and probably worse."
More after the jump....
Cook goes on:
But the delegate math is the delegate math, and there is little if any good news there for Clinton.
Almost half of the delegate advantage she netted against Obama in Pennsylvania was offset by losses of superdelegates the same week.
And then he describes the road from here:
Colby College political scientist and delegate selection expert Anthony Corrado estimates that Clinton would need to win about 69 percent of the remaining delegates, a virtual impossibility given proportional representation of the nominating contests.
In recent months, Clinton has been losing up to three superdelegates for every one she has picked up.
And he closes on how crazy an election this has been so far:
It’s fascinating to think how implausible all of this would have seemed 18 months ago.
While it was not unthinkable that a Clinton nomination was inevitable, it is truly remarkable that she would be beaten by Obama in the way that it looks likely to happen.