Cross-posted at Election Inspection
(Notes: XStryker contributed, and I'm Elliot)
I'm sure that Clinton zombies... er... supporters are using Insider Advantage to somehow say that Clinton is going to MAGICALLY BEAT OBAMA IN NORTH CAROLINA.... the only problem with this is they are a crappy pollster.
It's either that, or this is an accurate projection of what happened:
CLINTON WINS IOWA
IT'S A TIGHT RACE IN ALABAMA
OBAMA ONLY GETS 40% IN SOUTH CAROLINA
TIGHT RACE IN MISSISSIPPI
CLINTON SCORES 20% OF AFRICAN AMERICAN VOTE IN PENNSYLVANIA
The real funny thing about this, is that whenever IA has erred, it's been in Hillary Clinton's favor (they said that it would be 52-38 in Virginia for Obama, it was 64-35, underestimating Obama's total by 12 points; in South Carolina, Obama was supposed to get 41% of the vote, he got 55%; in Alabama he was supposed to get only 45% of the vote, he got 56% of the vote. What's really funny is that they say that they're "America’s most accurate non-partisan pollster". Really? You could've fooled me...
Insider Advantage has never been able to get their totals right, of course that won't stop the Hillzombies from bragging, which is fine by me, because now Hillary Clinton will get a taste of what raised expectations are like.
UPDATE by X Stryker: Don't forget Tennessee. Clinton won TN by 13 points, but IA had her winning by 33.
UPDATE by Elliot: And let's also remember that IA showed Clinton getting 45% of the African American vote in Tennessee (which would likely be news to a LOT of African Americans)