But, he does show something really interesting. The race in both IN and NC breaking to Obama:
Zogby tracking poll
More after the break...
Look, I'm not a fan of Zogby, but he nailed PA in his tracking poll, so my confidence in him is up to a stunning 5%. But, in terms of trends, this is interesting:
NC:
5/3-4: 48% O - 40% C
5/4-5: 51% O - 37% C
So, this is starting to look like SC. But look at IN:
5/3-4: 44% O - 42% C
5/4-5: 45% O - 43% C
So what, he's an outlier you say. To which I reply yes, and normally I'd say undecideds break with Clinton so we are looking at about a 6 point win for Ms. Obliterate Iran 2008. But last night's polling showed something odd:
"The overall Obama advantage in Indiana—though statistically insignificant—comes after another strong day of polling Monday. The one-day total, which comprises about half of the two-day tracking poll sample, saw Obama winning 47% support to Clinton’s 41%. Monday’s polling results are combined with Sunday’s numbers to produce the two-day tracking poll."
Am I saying he's going to win? No. I am saying there is reason to believe that this could look a lot more like Wisconsin than PA. Guess we'll know in a few hours.