We all already know there will be a split decision today in Kentucky and Oregon. Hillary is expected to win Kentucky and Obama is expected to win Oregon. So why bother to predict this race when we already know the likely result? By reading this diary you will know that Obama is going to win by a larger margin in Oregon than expected thanks to two polls: Suffolk University poll and ARG. Suffolk shows Obama leading Hillary by only 4% and ARG shows Obama with a 5%(not surprisingly).
Here's my prediction that you can compare with the actual result tomorrow.
Barack Obama 60%
Hillary Clinton 38.8%
Hillary Clinton 62.9%
Barack Obama 33.3%
Earlier today, Kos had a round up of predictions coupled with his, I posted them below so we can compare tomorrow.
Pollster.com composite: 63.2C, 28O
PsiFighter37: 67.2C, 32.8O
Poblano: 55.9C, 37.0O, 7E
Al Giordano: 63.6C, 31.3O, 5.1E
Jerome: 62C, 32O, 5E
Election Inspection: 62C, 31O, 7E
Pollster.com composite: 54.1O, 41.6C
PsiFighter37: 59.7O, 40.3C
Poblano: 56.6O, 43.4C
Al Giordano: 57.6O, 42.4O
Jerome: 54O, 46C
Election Inspection: 55.4O, 44.6C
So chime in with your predictions and show that you are better than ARG!
ARG's numbers for Oregon
ARG's numbers for Kentucky