Mark Warner, in the blowout sensation of the season, is now beating Jim Gilmore 60-33. No surprises there. It's our guaranteed Senate pickup.
The race for Virginia's 13 EV's has more drama:
Rasmussen. 6/12. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/8 results)
McCain (R) 44 (47)
Obama (D) 45 (44)
That could be just float in the MoE, so bottom line is that this race is tied this month like it was last month. It just looks more delicious when our guy is ahead. Let's look at the internals:
6/12 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 44 49 39 82 14 39
Obama 45 41 48 12 76 41
5/8 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 47 53 42 81 14 52
Obama 44 38 49 16 75 33
The main movement here is among independents, and that's not a bad thing at all.