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Today's poll round-up from 411mania.com shows Florida a mixed bag of polls with:

-- In Florida, Strategic Vision has McCain ahead of Obama 49% to 41%. We now have a situation where since the primaries ended, Strategic Vision and Rasmussen have shown McCain leading in the state while Public Policy, Quinnipac, and ARG have shown Obama leading in the state.

Obama is up big in CT and MA and Barr's polling 3% in Georgia, with McCain up 8. If as per CNN analysis, third party candidates lose half their support by November, that cuts Barr down to 1.5% in November.

Strategic Vision did the poll in Georgia, which echoes Rasmussen's earlier poll.

Obama is up around 20 points with Rasmussen echoing Quinnipac, and Massachusetts is fine, with Rasmussen echoing SurveyUSA's earlier poll at 53%-33%.

So for right now it comes down to the morass that is Florida, and who knows?

There's nothing I'd like better than a working 50 state strategy that puts Florida in its proper place. And anything that diminishes GOP expenditure in FL because they have to spend it elsewhere only helps.

FWIW, Ashish from 411mania.com has an EV counter that says Obama 306, McCain 232.

Originally posted to Belvedere Come Here Boy on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 06:33 AM PDT.

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