Poll differences.
Just a thought, is the Rasmussen poll trying to help bolster John McCain's chances of winning this election? I can't help but notice how the two wildly stated tracking polls Gallup and Rasmussen have both been going towards two opposite directions in the past week and a half.
While Gallup as consistently shown Obama leading somewhere between three to five points Rasmussen as had the race at either a one point Obama lead or a one point McCain lead. While the Gallup poll uses a registered voter model Rasmussen goes with the likely voter model which I believe is a total croc in this election. This pollsters for some reason just assume McCain's voters are more likely to vote than Obama's when that theory as been shown to be not true at all, remember in the primaries when they kept on saying Obama's voters won't show up to vote. It's amazing to me that this pollsters are still going with that mentality that Obama's voters are less likely to vote than McCain's.
Or could it be that a pollster like Rasmussen who is more Republican leaning could be manupilating voter rolls, tossing out Obama voters in his polls and keeping McCain's. That way you can help drive home the message that McCain is more competitive than he really is. Talking head wing nuts like Hannity and O'reilly love to trump up the Rasmussen poll because it helps them say see, Obama is losing ground, voters are abandoning him left and right. Why can't Obama close the deal?
Remember in 04 Rasmussen had W. lead in his polls from start to finish, obviously W. won but I just can't help but think when you have a tracking poll that's wildly shown around the country saying one candidate is constantly winning that might have some effect on some voters out there.
So I say we should be weary of those Rasmussen tracking polls showing McCain in a dead heat with Obama. I believe Rasmussen might have it's own agenda this election cycle, while every other pollster gives Obama somewhere between a five to six point lead Rasmussen is the only one showing McCain leading or tied.
I could be wrong and Rasmussen might be the greatest and most honest pollster out there, but for some reason I doubt.
Gallup.com Rasmussenreports.com