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This is the fifth in a series of state by state voter registration diaries that I have decided to do since the beginning of this month (the states I have done diaries for before this one were for the states of Florida, Iowa, Nevada, and North Carolina).

By devoting a diary to a single state at a time, I hope that I can give more than just a simple report of the raw numbers but provide a more in-depth exploration of that information so as to provide some commentary regarding what those numbers may mean for the Presidential contest in that state this year.  In that vein I will try to provide more of a long term history of the voter registration numbers for each of the states, both over the past year and just as importantly in comparison to the numbers from the 2004 election with accompanying raw vote totals from the election results in those states that year.

That having been said onto the numbers for today's state Colorado.

Before getting into the numbers a disclaimer is appropriate.  The Colorado Secretary of State's office has released its voter registration numbers this year in two different, and non-compatible formats.  For the first six months of this year, it released a "total registered voter" number(as it had done for years in the past) for the various political parties that lumped together indiscrimantely both "active voters" and "inactive voters" without ever separating out how many active voters or inactive voters subsets there were for each political party.  Because of this failure to separate out active voters from inactive  voters, I could only do a comparison between the parties based on their total voters number.  Of course this has the disadvantage of including within it voters who are probably unlikely to vote; generally States classify someone as an "inactive voter" if the state receives word (usually from receipt of change of address forms sent to the Postal Service) that the person in question has moved outside the county. While these "inactive voters" are technically eligible to vote in the upcoming election, the receipt of such information makes the chances of that happening very slim. Further complicating this problem is that beginning in June of this year the Colorado Secretary of State started to put out information showing how many "active voters" there were for each political party and how many "inactive voters" there were for that party.  Thus, for the first time useful information was made available to do a true comparison of how many actual, confirmed Democratic voters (i.e. "active Dem voters") there were as compared to actual, confirmed Republican voters.  But because the information for the first half of this year did not include that breakdown the only way to do a trend analysis that walks through the entire year was to still look at the total registered voter numbers (meaning the number that indiscriminatly included active and inactive voters together).  

Seeking to make the best of both worlds, I have decided to give two sets of numbers in this diary:  One using the total number of voters (thereby making a trend analysis possible), and then next only compare amongst active registered voters even though there is not enough information in that regard to do any real trend analysis.

Colorado

TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS

                Dems        Reps            Ind.
1/25/08    880,761    1,011,152      998,939
4/9/08     900,823    1,017,738    1,013,548
6/30/08    932,503    1,019,446    1,021,979
7/31/08    946,277    1,024,504    1,022,376
9/2/08     955,428    1,029,062    1,022,575
9/30/08    997,146    1,045,457    1,046,244
10/22/08 1,051,110    1,063,190    1,069,492

As of January, 2008, Democrats made up 30.33% of the total registered electorate, Republicans made up 34.82%, and Independents made up 34.40%.  As of October 22, 2008, Democrats make up 32.81%, Republicans 33.19%, and Indies 33.38%.  So at the beginning of the year there was a 4.49% advantage of Republicans over Democrats in Colorado, and now (or at least the last publically available data shows) Republicans hold a measly .38% advantage, a decline of 4.11% in the span of 10 months!  Indeed, the only party whose percentage of the electorate is expanding is the Democratic party, both Indies and Republicans share of the total registered electorate has dwindled over the past 10 months, with the steepest decline going to the Republicans who have lost 1.63% of their share (Indies lost 1.02% of their share).

These numbers however do not tell the real story as they include what are referred to as inactive voters.  Unfortunately, the Colorado Sectretary of State site did not start breaking down its registration numbers between active and inactive voters, and more particularly the numbers of active and inactive voters by party until this June.  So all I have so far are two months worth of information detailing this more relevant group of voters, with nothing before that (including what the break down was in prior elections). Nonetheless, since active voters totals are the real ones to watch, here is the partial list:

Active Registered Voters

                Dems         Reps         Ind
6/30/08  717,495      785,115       671,244
7/31/08  737,565      795,949       681,639

UPDATE --- The Colorado Secretary of State has backtracked and is now refusing to show the breakdown between active and inactive voters by party for August's numbers and going forward.  Given that he is a Republican one can only surmise that the last three months the active voter numbers must have been really, really bad for Republicans in Colorado.  Hat tip for all the hard work by Obama staff and volunteers.

Thus, in June, active Democratic voters made up 32.85% of the electorate, active Republican voter comprised 35.94%, and Indies made up 30.73%.  Now compare that to July's numbers where active Democratic voters made up 33.12% of the electorate, Republicans were 35.75%, and Indies made up 30.61%.  In ONE month, Democrats share of active voters increased by .27%, while Republicans share dropped by .19% and Indies dropped by .12%.  Interestingly, looking only at the June and July numbers amongst total registered voter numbers would mask this steep drop off among active Republican voters.  That said, the total registered numbers do pretty accurately track the expansion (in terms of percetages) of the Democratic share and the contraction of the Indies share of the overall electorate.  Specifically, looking only at the total registered numbers for June and July would only reveal a .04% drop off in Republican's share of the electorate as compared to the .19% drop off revealed when looking at the active voter totals (a difference of .15%).  On the other hand, the total registered voters numbers between those two months reveal a .26% increase among Democrats (as compared to the .27% increase shown among active voters) and a .2% decrease in share among Indies (as compared to a .12% drop shown in the active voter numbers.  The only reason I can give for this discrepancy is that a lot of Republican voters (the aforementioned .15%) were moved over to the inactive voter category during the month of July, which is actually good news for Democratic prospects in Colorado.  

Anyway returning to a comparison of the final numbers, it appears that unlike with the total registered voter numbers, the percentage differential between active Democratic and Republican voters in Colorado as of July of this year was 2.63%, or net gain for Republicans of only three one hundreadths of a percent, .03%, when measured against their advantage among total registered voters.  This gives me some confidence in the overall trend numbers shown in the total registered voters category as applying equally to the active voter group.  The one noticeable difference being in the reversal of positions between the Democratic party and Indies.  Among total registered voters Indies make up the second largest group and Democrats are in third, but among active voters Democrats are the second largest group and Indies are third.

So what were the numbers in Colorado in 2004? Well at the beginning of 2004, there were 1,042,296 registered Republicans (or 37.02% of the electorate), 852,910 registered Democrats (or 30.29% of the electorate), and 907,602 Indies (or 32.23% of the electorate).  Come November, 2004, the final registration numbers were as follows:  1,118,597 registered Republicans (or 36.10% of the electorate), 942,025 registered Democrats (or 30.40% of the electorate), and 1,024,973 Indies (or 33.08% of the electorate).  In other words, while everyone's raw numbers increased, only Indies and Democrats percentage share of the electorate increased.  But even then, Indies far and away were the largest movers in the voter registration in Colorado that year.

Come election day in November, 2004, Bush beat Kerry in Colorado by 107,567 votes, or percentage wise 52% to 47%.  Exit polls indicated that 37% of those showing up at the polls that day were Republicans, 37% were Democrats, and 26% were Indies.  In other words, Republicans performed at close to their share of the electorate, Democrats overperformed significantly while Indies woefully underperformed from their share of the registered electorate.  As a final note, exit polls showed Kerry barely edging Bush among Indies (49 to 48 percent), and Bush performing slightly better among Democrats (89 to 11 percent) than Kerry performed among Republicans (93 to 6 percent).  Indeed, Bush's larger share of the Democratic vote over Kerry's share of the Republican vote was the difference in who won in Colorado in 2004.  

Analysis

So what to make of this?  Looking at 2004, it is clear that the largest movers in terms of registered voters were Independents.  Such movement away from the major parties would tend to suggest some level of apathy toward either of the major parties among voters in Colorado that year.  Apathetic voters normally don't show up to vote, and true enough come November, 2004, Independents woefully underperformed.  This year, on the other hand, Democrats are the largest movers in terms of number of voters registered, with Independents a distant second, and Republicans an even further third.  This may suggest that two things are going on in Colorado, either beneficial for Democrats:  (1) That new voters are registering as Democrats in Colorado this year in large numbers and/or (2) that there is some party migration going on with moderate Republicans switching to Independents (thus accounting for the relatively larger uptick in Independents numbers as compared to the flatline in Republican numbers) and Democratic-leaning Independents moving over and formally becoming Democrats.  In other words, there seems to be a swing towards the Democrats in almost the same way as there was a swing to Independents in 2004 (although the swing this year is much bigger than in 2004).  This would suggest a larger number of Democrats showing up at the polls in Colorado come November than Republicans.  Where exactly Independents will go is a little more uncertain.  My initial guess is that Independents, being who they are, will underperform but perhaps not as poorly as they did in 2004.  In this sense, the macro numbers would seem to indicate that Obama should perform as well in Colorado as Bush did in 2004.

Now that is presentation of the registration numbers on a macro-level, lets take a look from more of a micro-level (presented in some measure to see if we can see any evidence for the argument I made above of new voters going to the Democrats and some party migration away from the Republicans and toward the Democrats). I have compiled the trend lines for the registration numbers from the past 7 months for the 8 largest counties (in terms of registered voters) in Colorado.  Specifically, Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Denver, Douglas, El Paso, Jefferson, and Larimer counties (all of which have over 100,000 active registered voters).  Of the 8, 5 are Republican leaning (meaning they have more registered Republican voters than Democrats) ---- Arapahoe, Douglas, El Paso, Jefferson, and Larimer --- and the remaining 3 are Democrat leaning --- Adams, Boulder, and Denver.  I have also provided snap shots of these counties registration numbers from 2004 to see if any comparisons or contrasts could be made between then and this year.  So lets dig down and see the trend lines in each of these counties over the past 7 months and then compare them to 2004.

Republican leaning counties -- 2008

ARAPAHOE
                 Reps        Dems           Ind
1/25/08    109,115      95,275      104,036
6/30/08    109,010     101,782      105,365
7/31/08    110,185     105,081      103,302
9/02/08    110,209     105,172      102,851
9/30/08    111,818     110,748      105,000
10/22/08   114,072     119,381      108,299

DOUGLAS
                 Reps        Dems           Ind
1/25/08   80,910        32,070        50,289
6/30/08   82,465        35,175        51,243
7/31/08   82,853        35,671        51,643
9/02/08   83,526        36,020        52,088
9/30/08   85,668        37,579        53,619
10/22/08  87,494        39,493        55,072

EL PASO    
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/25/08   153,532       68,689       108,406
6/30/08   155,558       72,590       112,630
7/31/08   157,047       74,774       113,699
9/02/08   157,998       75,241       112,665
9/30/08   162,786       81,045       118,517
10/22/08  165,881       85,216       120,862

JEFFERSON
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/25/08   123,975      102,191       115,003
6/30/08   124,768      108,135       116,652
7/31/08   124,225      108,581       116,128
9/02/08   124,397      109,306       116,731
9/30/08   126,179      113,644       120,728
10/22/08  127,226      118,096       123,601

LARIMER
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/25/08   70,621        50,221        67,846
6/30/08   71,418        53,013        69,496
7/31/08   71,685        53,673        70,241
9/02/08   72,189        54,872        71,395
9/30/08   73,474        57,707        73,403
10/22/08  74,482        60,278        74,659

Republican leaning counties -- 2004

ARAPAHOE
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/15/04   127,496       96,696        111,355
11/04     133,885      106,690        122,970

DOUGLAS
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/15/04    72,551       26,292         41,115
11/04      81,382       30,402         46,172

EL PASO
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/15/04   151,507       70,515        101,039
11/04     164,884       77,485        112,149

JEFFERSON
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/15/04   135,189       99,434        109,729
11/04     142,925      110,016        122,213

LARIMER
                 Reps        Dems            Ind
1/15/04    73,106       46,534         59,443
11/04      78,087       52,288         68,565

As you can see there is a different trajectory in many of these Republican counties than there was in 2004.  The stand out is Arapahoe county.  Just look at those numbers for this year as compared to 2004.  In November, 2004, Republicans outnumbered Democrats in Arapahoe county by over 27,000.  At the beginning of this year, Republicans again outnumbered Democrats although by not nearly as much, but by a significant number nonetheless --- nearly 14,000.  As of October 22, 2008 (after the close of the registration deadline), Arapahoe is NO LONGER A REPUBLICAN COUNTY!.  Democrats now outnumber Republicans in the county by more than 5,000.  Even more impressive is the fact that the only group's whose numbers are moving in Arapahoe county are Democrats; Republicans and Independents numbers have essentially stayed flat for the past ten months.  This same pattern holds but to a lesser extent with Jefferson county.  These are two counties Democrats should be (and apparently are) work hard this election.  There exists (as I predicted) now the fact that Jefferson county is teetering on the edge of flipping to being a Democratic county.  It did not happen this election cycle (like it did to Arapahoe county), coming just 9,000 short, but Democrats are awfully close to flipping Jefferson come next election cycle (and Larimer looms on the horizon as well).

Another point showing the different trajectory of these Republican counties from where they were in 2004.  In that year, the largest mover in 3 of the 5 counties was Independents, in the other 2 the largest mover was Republicans.  But come 2008, the largest mover in ALL of these Republican counties are Democrats with Independents in 3 of the 5 (El Paso, Jefferson, and Larimer) coming in second.  This would seem to support the idea of party migration by Republicans (the one from whom people are moving away would have the smallest movement, followed by the intermediary/weigh station Independents, and then the party toward which voters are moving toward having the largest movement).  However, in the other 2 counties where Republicans are the second largest mover (Arapahoe and Douglas) this would seem to suggest party migration by Democratic-leaning Independents and/or possible new voters.  New voters typically do not choose Independent as their first registration.  So how does it look in Democratic-leaning counties?

Democratic leaning counties -- 2008

ADAMS
                 Reps        Dems             Ind
1/25/08   54,355        67,820         73,458
6/30/08   54,969        71,865         76,910
7/31/08   54,954        72,212         76,820
9/02/08   55,093        72,776         76,711
9/30/08   55,658        75,156         77,431
10/22/08  56,910        81,374         79,357

BOULDER
                 Reps        Dems             Ind
1/25/08   43,471        75,214         78,800
6/30/08   43,295        78,141         78,841
7/31/08   43,263        79,999         78,528
9/02/08   43,306        81,522         78,828
9/30/08   43,631        85,563         79,310
10/22/08  44,355        90,289         81,231

DENVER
                 Reps        Dems             Ind
1/25/08    70,741      164,012        133,150
6/30/08    70,883      178,527        135,413
7/31/08    70,696      180,812        135,175
9/02/08    70,573      181,802        134,866
9/30/08    70,915      189,602        136,055
10/22/08   71,711      200,875        138,359
 
Democratic leaning counties -- 2004

ADAMS
                 Reps        Dems             Ind
1/15/04    59,438       70,887         70,272
11/04      64,838       77,311         78,826

BOULDER
                 Reps        Dems             Ind
1/15/04    49,265       68,168         71,915
11/04      51,924       77,717         83,527

DENVER
                 Reps        Dems             Ind
1/15/04    75,941      152,341        106,869
11/04      79,074      169,584        132,115

Again notice the difference from 2004.  In that year (just as it was in most of the Republican counties that year) the largest mover was Independents, followed by Democrats, and Republicans.  This year, however, Democrats are the largest movers, followed by Independents in 2 of the counties (Adams and Denver), with Republicans coming in third.  This would support a party migration theory.  One final note, looking at the margins between Democrats and Republicans in these three counties from 2004 and 2008, it would appear that, at least in Denver county, a lot of the uptick in numbers is attributable to new voters not people switching from one party to another.

Originally posted to True Independent on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 02:18 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

    •  I really appreciate this series of diaries. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dansac, housesella

      So thanks for your grueling work.

      I'd love to see an update on these numbers sometime in October, to see how much of an effect Obama's 30,000 or so new trained Colorado ground troops (attendees at the speech, who received training in neighborhood organization) will have on the numbers.

      To John McCain, War is not a metaphor for Life; Life is a metaphor for War.

      by NWTerriD on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 02:30:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  love this series (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dansac

      hope you know we appreciate it...

      tipped and rec'd

      hope we keep up the registration drives.

    •  Eagle County, CO Numbers.... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      True Independent

      I keep a cumulative spreadsheet of Eagle County voter reg data. There are similar results in our formerly very red county that has gone blue the past few years.

      EAGLE
                Reps        Dems      Ind
      1/25/08    8,061 6,599 11,628
      6/30/08    8,172 7,186 12,042
      7/31/08    8,201 7,349 12,185

      JAN 2004   8,296 5,942 8,655
      PERCENTAGE 36.1% 25.8% 37.6%
      JUL 2008   8,201 7,349 12,185
      PERCENTAGE 29.4% 26.3% 43.7%

      Democratic registration since the baseline February 2004 has increased a total of 1,407 while Republicans have decreased by -95 voters cumulatively. Republican registration has decreased by 6.7 percent.

      Although the Dem percentage of total voters is similar in 2008 v. 2004, the number of voters will be very close to matching the Repubs by the October registration cut off. If we can convert more of the U's to Dems in the future, we could surpass R's for the first time in the 30 years I have lived here.

      We have had a massive voter registration effort going on in our county for the past 3 months and that has helped the Democratic party.

      (Note: My registration numbers included all voters, active and inactive.)

  •  Thanks, friend. Good work. n/t (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Sam Loomis, robertacker13

    I'm a white working class male, over 30 military veteran, small town gun owner, former Bush supporter, and I'm voting for Barack Obama.

    by InfiniteNether on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 02:23:15 PM PDT

  •  Rec'd & Subscribed (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    edsbrooklyn

    Thanks for:  

    for some grueling work crunching voter registration numbers

    If even one Democratic candidate (for any post, including and especially the state house) finds this useful you have done more good than a 1,000 diaries.

    Looking forward to more.

  •  Great job, and a reminder that (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    NWTerriD

    when Democrats vote, Democrats win.

    This shows that the ground game and GOTV efforts are more important than ever.

    Thanks for your hard work!

    John McCain wants to send women to back alleys. We're not going.

    by edsbrooklyn on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 02:27:23 PM PDT

  •  I was hoping the #s were better (0+ / 0-)

    Don't the dems need to be behind by less than that in ID in order to have a real shot at winning?

    Remember, there will be affirmative action referendum on the ballot which may cost Obama (and Udall but he has a clearer path) some votes, and there was supposed to be another referendum I can't recall.

    •  I think T.I. gets real close here: (2+ / 0-)

      This may suggest that two things are going on in Colorado, either beneficial for Democrats:  (1) That new voters are registering as Democrats in Colorado this year in large numbers and/or (2) that there is some party migration going on with moderate Republicans switching to Independents (thus accounting for the relatively larger uptick in Independents numbers as compared to the flatline in Republican numbers) and Democratic-leaning Independents moving over and formally becoming Democrats.  

      Both seem true at present, without mentioning those who haven't switched reg that say "I've voted Republican my entire life, but..."

      Ballot initiatives like aa are unlikely to motivate an appreciable number of voters here, IMHO.

      I flopped trips, he rivered gutshot.

      by Trips on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 02:57:53 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  There are ballot measures to motivate both sides (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      BlueEngineerInOhio

      So I think it will be a wash. I'm expecting R turnout to drop off a bit because of dissatisfaction with McCain and Senate candidate Schaffer. Colorado was a big Romney state.

      •  Are Rs really dissatisfied with Schaffer? (0+ / 0-)

        My impression was he was well-liked as a solid conservative (yuck) on their end.

        Issues like the fact that he is irresponsible enough to raise a son to proudly stands next to posters that say "Slavery Gets Shit Done" will only motivate them to turn out against his family getting "smeared" and his "private life being invaded."

        I also wasn't aware of a referendum on the D side.

        •  Look at the numbers for El Paso county (Colorado (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          BlueEngineerInOhio

          Springs).  The Rep numbers have not buged much since the beginning of the year; it has only gone up 3,000 (whereas in 2004 the numbers were closer to 12,000).  If the Republican heart of Colorado is not beating that much that should tell you something.

        •  Here's the list (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          BlueEngineerInOhio, Trips

          of amendments so far. It's a mixed bag. I think the R-initiated items are more compelling for both sides than any of the D-initiated items. In particular, I think Amendment 48 will draw out more Ds than Rs.

          Am. 46 – Elimination of Affirmative Action
          Constitutional amendment to prohibit programs and policies that give preferential treatment based on race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in public employment, public education, or public contracting.
          Am. 47 – Right to Work Amendment
          Constitutional amendment to prohibit labor agreements that require employees to join and pay any dues or fees to a labor union as a condition of employment.
          Am. 48 – Definition of Personhood
          Constitutional amendment to define the term "person" to include fertilized eggs.
          Am. 49 – Limitation on Public Employee Paycheck Deductions
          Constitutional amendment to bar automatic deduction of union dues from public employee payrolls.
          Am. 50 – Limited Gaming
          Constitutional amendment to allows local voters to extend the hours of operation and types of games allowed in Central City, Blackhawk, and Cripple Creek; and sets how the additional tax revenue will be apportioned.
          Am. 51 – Sales Tax for Developmentally Disabled
          Statutory amendment to increase the state sales tax by 2 cents per $10 to fund programs for the developmentally disabled.
          Am. 52 – Severance Tax and Transportation
          Constitutional amendment to freeze severance tax funding for the Department of Local Affairs and Department of Natural Resources, including water supply and conservation projects, at current levels; and redirect any further increase in severance tax revenue to fund transportation projects.
          Am. 53 – Criminal Liability of Executives
          Statutory amendment to hold a business executive criminally responsible for the business’s failure to perform a duty required by law, if the official knew of the duty and the business’s failure to perform it, and failed to report the situation to law enforcement.
          Am. 54 – Campaign Contributions from Certain Government Contractors
          Constitutional amendment to prohibit certain government contractors from contributing to a political party or candidate. Places responsibility on the political party or candidate to determine whether the donor satisfies the complex requirements. Prohibits labor unions from making donations through their political committees.
          Am. 55 – Employee Discharge or Suspension
          Constitutional amendment to prohibit private-sector employers from firing or suspending full-time employees except for specific reasons. Allows an employee who believes he or she was improperly fired or suspended to sue the employer.
          Am. 56 – Employer Responsibility for Health Insurance
          Constitutional amendment to require every private employer with 20 or more employees to provide health insurance.
          Am. 57 – Additional Remedies for Injured Employees
          Statutory amendment to require every private employer in Colorado with 10 or more employees to provide a safe and healthy workplace; and allows an injured employee to seek damages in court, beyond workers’ compensation benefits, if the employee believes that the employer failed to provide a safe and healthy workplace.
          Am. 58 – Severance Tax Increase
          Statutory amendment increases the state severance tax by eliminating a property tax credit, and specifies how the revenue will be distributed.

  •  One thing to note about Colorado... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Trips, mscharizmaa

    in Jefferson County (at least) we now have permanent mail-in voter status.  Which means we'll get our ballot ahead of time and drop off at our leisure.  No worry about 5 hour voting lines.  Turn out should be HUGE!  Not to mention an actual paper trail...

    True Independent...Thanks for all your hard work!!

  •  Douglas County (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    greenchiledem

    In our county it's true that in-migration is affecting our registration stats. But we've also noticed a movement of people directly from Republican to Democrat, something that you correctly point out is unusual in most places.

    We think the reason is that the county is relatively well educated and has very high voter turnout, so party-changers are more engaged than most people.

    The thing causing this movement here is the high fraction of professionals in the workforce. They have been voting Democratic increasingly often in recent years. After you vote for Democrats for a few cycles, you start to think, "well, maybe I am a Democrat." Or, when you talk with them they say, "the Republican Party moved away from me."

    This is pretty consistent with the national trend where Democrats are picking up a greater share of the vote of suburban professionals.

    We're celebrating the Palin decision because it will help professionals make this decision.

    The big problem in suburbia is that a lot of people, even the well-educated, are apathetic. They're caught up in kids' activities and running their businesses, and don't pay attention to politics. You saw a big pickup in Dem registration around the time of our February caucus because it drew a lot of attention to politics and reminded some of the apathetic people that they were thinking about changing their registration. So the media attention nudged them to take care of it.

    I think we'll see another bump right about now (you might not see it until the end of September in SOS data) because of convention publicity, and again close to the election.

  •  TI--I understand Dems are winning the voter (0+ / 0-)

    registration race and that new voters tend to show up in November.

    But why does Colorado still seem so close given the Obama enthusiasm number of McCain?  

    McCain's economic adviser helped UBS like he helped Enron

    by mscharizmaa on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 03:24:29 PM PDT

  •  Admirable work. Thanks. n/t (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    True Independent

    All the news that scares us silly: postapocology.com

    by mwmwm on Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 04:14:30 PM PDT

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