There are now two polls that have come out this week showing Senator Obama leading Senator McCain, although by slim margins. The recent SUSA poll shows Obama leading 50-46. A new poll released today by PPP also shows Sen Obama leading 48-46% over John McCain.
Here is the link to the new PPP VA poll:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
I've heard many in the media describe VA as a dream state for Sen Obama and not a state that he can really win. I think all the recent polls show the state trending toward Sen Obama. I'm going to make a prediction here but not to make my fellow Kossacks feel good, Sen Obama will win VA.
The state has consistently been trending blue since the turn of the century, VA has a Democratic Governor, a Democratic Senator, an almost certain to be Democratic Senator in Mark Warner and the final cherry on this sundae would be for the Democrats to flip the state on the presidential level.
I would not consider VA to be a Southern state because of its proximity to DC and because most of the population is in Northern Virginia, near DC a place that tends to have a more affluent population that would more than likely vote Democratic.
Also consider the fact that former Republican Governor Linwood Holton will be actively campaigning for Sen Obama in the state, this is a man that still carries a lot of weight in the state amongst moderate Republicans. Although I know some of you hate this man, Terry McAullife will be campaigning actively for Sen Obama in the state as well as he mulls his own run for Governor next year. The best thing about Virginia is Mark Warner who I think has reverse coattails, which means his Senate election can drive out voters who will vote Democratic both on the Senatorial and Presidential level.
I know to some people polls don't mean a thing but Sen Obama's strong ground game and surrogates in the state could help him carry this state in November and I think the polls are beginning to reflect that. If we can take Virginia's 13 electoral votes, we could elimanate CO from being the all night nail biter that will leave many of us on the East Coast up until 3am (LoL) We still need to do all we can to help Sen Obama carry VA, phonebanking, donating, canvassing and more. Lets go win!