Another Monday, another set of polling from Fox/Rasmussen. These polls from a republican-leaning pollster confirm that the Obama trend is continuing. If these results hold up, we could be looking at the ~200 EV margin landslide that we've been dreaming of, and which seemed like only a dream just a few weeks ago.
Here are the results:
CO: Obama 51, McCain 45 I believe this is his largest lead here since February. Also, with it, Rasmussen moves CO into "Leans Democrat."
FL: Obama 52, McCain 45. This is Obama's largest lead ever in FL according to Rasmussen, causing it now to be listed as Leans Democrat in Rasmussen's projections!
MO: Obama 50, McCain 47. Obama's first lead in MO for Rasmussen! McCain's polling there had been so strong that Rasmussen had previously had listed it as "Likely Republican." With one poll, Rasmussen now sees what we've seen all along -- he moves it to true "Toss Up" status.
OH: McCain 48, Obama 47. The one piece of "bad" news in this set.
VA: Obama 50, McCain 48. Down 1 point from the last poll, but it is still good to see him up in this last-voted-democrat-in-1964 red state.
Update: I just wanted to add a few additional thoughts, both because I think they're important and because I don't want to tick off the "not a diary" crew too much since I'm relatively new:
-- I think it's key that Obama is at or above 50% in all of these polls other than Ohio. Should these numbers hold -- or come anywhere close to holding -- Obama will be protected even if late deciders break overwhelmingly towards McCain.
-- After FL and CO move into the "lean Democrat" column, Rasmussen will be projecting Obama to have at least 300 EVs. Whatever any of our feelings towards Rasmussen might be, it is a generally respected pollster -- and certainly a well trafficked website -- and seeing Obama projected above 270 with many tossups remaining might start to convince the media that this is no longer a tossup race anymore.