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Quick diary with just released Suffolk University numbers from Ohio.

Suffolk University has just released new numbers for battleground states Ohio and Missouri.

Oct. 20, 2008 -- Obama Leads by 9 in Ohio, McCain Edges in Missouri; Suffolk University Poll Shows McCain Votes Driven by Factors External to the Candidate

BOSTON – With just over two weeks left before the presidential election, voters in the key state of Ohio are giving the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden a 9-point lead (51 percent-42 percent) over the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, according to a poll released today by Suffolk University.

In Missouri, McCain led by 1 percent (45 percent to 44 percent) statewide. He also led the bellwether test of Platte County, Mo.

Here's the money line:

In 2008, Suffolk University bellwethers were 95 percent accurate in predicting straight-up winners in both Democratic and Republican primaries, and, when coupled with statewide Suffolk polls, were 100 percent accurate in predicting straight-up winners.

Also, how's "Joe the Plumber" playing out in these battleground states?

In Ohio, 68 percent of respondents said they recognized "Joe the Plumber,"  but only 6 percent said that Joe’s story will make them more likely to vote McCain; 4 percent were more likely to vote for Obama; and 85 percent were not affected.  A similar finding was recorded in Missouri, where 80 percent had heard of the presidential plumber; 8 percent were more likely to vote McCain; 3 percent more likely to vote Obama; and 86 percent not affected by his story.

Originally posted to tommytutone on Mon Oct 20, 2008 at 09:14 AM PDT.

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