This diary is to show how McCain can actually steal the election narrowly based on a narrative thats forming:
- Even though most national polls have Obama with close to a double digit leads, there are enough out there for the McCain camp to say that some polls showed tightening. It is no fluke that the main one comes from the AP.
- Many recent battleground polls have the race very tight. In other words enough room for a steal. The steal could be overt as in cancelling votes or throwing away many votes. It could also be covert as in voter suppression: we dont know how many votes are lost this way. Examples of tight recent polls: CO, OH, FL, NC, VA (todays Mason Dixon has Obama up by 2). Even though we think we have Iowa, its been a long time since its been polled.Abetting this scenario is the disproportionate large number of pollsters that lean Republican.
- Thus the "narrow steal" scenario is this. Lose the popular vote where the gap might tighten over the next few weeks. Squeak by with a win in the battleground states.
Other and More evidence below
Two more pieces of evidence are the following:
- Chris bowers has done some early voting estimates:
Open Left
What is surprising (as NYT shows) is in CO and FL R lead. the 5 % poll lead for Obama in CO might not be enough to win.
- Voter stealing. This is not Robert F. Kennedy who I even have concerns about but this is Mark Crispin Miller who is a Professor at NYU of all places. He quotes this study below and it is the first I had heard of it as well where he says without doubt the 2004 Ohio election was stolen. This is in stark contrast to Obama himself who thinks the 2004 election was not stolen but that Bush won fair and square.
Democracy Now
MARK CRISPIN MILLER: Great to be here.
AMY GOODMAN: What are your concerns right now, Mark?
MARK CRISPIN MILLER: Well, you’ve referred to a couple of them already. We now see a burst of vote flipping by machines, electronic voting machines in a couple of states. This is something that we saw in at least eleven states in the 2004 election, hundreds and hundreds of people coming forward to say, “I pushed the button for Kerry, and the button for Bush lit up.” So, clearly, this was a systematic programming decision by the people in charge of the machines, which in that case and this one is the Republican Party. We’re also seeing systematic shortages of working voting machines in Democratic precincts only. This is also something that did not happen only in Ohio in 2004, but happened nationwide. That election was, in fact, stolen.
AMY GOODMAN: How do you know that?
MARK CRISPIN MILLER: Well, I know because there’s been an audit of the vote in eighteen counties of Ohio by a researcher named Richard Hayes Phillips, who had his team literally scrutinize every single ballot that was warehoused in eighteen Ohio counties. They took over 30,000 digital photographs. This is not speculation, Amy. This is a meticulous, careful, specific and conclusive demonstration that John Kerry actually won some 200,000 votes in those eighteen counties only that were taken away from him. Bush’s official victory margin, you may recall, was about 118,000. So there is no question about it. Ohio was stolen.
AMY GOODMAN: When they—OK, so they have the pictures of all these—
MARK CRISPIN MILLER: Pictures, there’s a CD with this book that you can—
AMY GOODMAN: But they have the pictures of the ballots.
MARK CRISPIN MILLER: Of the variously altered, mutilated ballots, yes. Ballots with stickers placed over the square that people had blacked in for Kerry/Edwards; somebody else blacks in Bush/Cheney. Thousands and thousands of ballots that were pre-marked before they were distributed, so that people would mark different boxes on them, and then they would be invalidated.
Even more chilling is the fact that after Phillips did his research, the boards of elections in fifty-five Ohio counties destroyed all or some of their ballots in defiance of a court order. So we have criminal behavior here of a kind of grand and systematic kind. But the point is—not to engage in what Sarah Palin calls finger-pointing backwards, the point here is to note that we’re dealing with a consistent pattern of subversive behavior by the Republican Party since 2000 and extending all the way up to the present. What we’re seeing now is an especially brazen and diverse range of dirty tricks and tactics that are being used both to suppress the vote and also to enable election fraud.
Just saying it's not over and the RNC are Masters at stealing elections !