This super belly chuckler...
John McCain's campaign has seen "significant" progress in internal polling in the last week... The campaign has seen the race between McCain and Barack Obama tighten "significantly over the past week," McInturff said in a memo late Tuesday. "All signs say we are headed to an election that may easily be too close to call by next Tuesday."
...made me fondly remember Turdblossom's 2006 math which suggested that Republicans would, well, I let the would-be felon give it to you straight...
SIEGEL: We are in the home stretch though and many would consider you on the optimistic end of realism about...
ROVE: Not that you would be exhibiting a bias or anything like that, you're just making a comment, right?
SIEGEL: I'm looking at all the same polls that you are looking at.
ROVE: No, you are not, no you're not, no you're not, you're not. I'm looking at 68 polls a week [for candidates for the US House and US Senate, and Governor.]** You may be looking at 4 or 5 public polls a week that talk about attitudes nationally but that do not impact the outcome of individual races.
SIEGEL: If you could name races between, certainly Senate races, all...
ROVE: Like the poll today that showing Corker's ahead in Tennessee or the poll showing Allen is pulling away in the Virginia Senate race.
SIEGEL: Leading Webb, in Virginia, yea...
ROVE: Yeah, exactly.
SIEGEL: ...you've seen the DeWine race and the Santorum race and, I don't want to...you call [the] races.
ROVE: I'm looking at all of these Robert and adding them up. I add up to a Republican Senate and Republican House. You may end up with a different math but you are entitled to your math and I'm entitled to THE math.
SIEGEL: I don't know if we're entitled to a different math but your...
ROVE: I said THE math.
Which made me curious about...
The DECIDEDLY RIGHT-LEANING Real Clear Politics average of Polls before the 2004 election: Bush +1.5%
Actual Final Results in 2004: Bush +2.5% (off by 1.0%)
And then this...
RCP Average MN the day before the election: Kerry +3.2%
ACTUAL RESULTS for MN: Kerry +3.5% (off by .3%)
And...
RCP Average PA the day before the election: Kerry +.9%
ACTUAL RESULTS for PA: Kerry +2.3 (off by 1.4%)
And...
RCP Average IA the day before the election: Bush +.3%
ACTUAL RESULTS for IA: Bush +.9% (off by .6%)
And...
RCP Average WI the day before the election: Bush +.9%
ACTUAL RESULTS for WI: Kerry .4% (off by 1.3%)
And while we're at it...
RCP Average OH the day before the election: Bush +2.1%
ACTUAL RESULTS for OH: Bush +2.5% (off by .4%)
I could go on and on showing numbers, but there's less than an ass crack's difference between where the polls SAID the race was going to turn out and where it actually DID turn out.
I mean off by .4%... that's like two ticks on an amoeba, right?
Which gets me to THIS:
Current RCP averages for states...
Florida (27) Obama +3.5%
North Carolina (15) Obama +2.5%
Ohio (20) Obama +5.8%
Colorado (9) Obama +6.5%
Nevada (5) Obama +7.4%
Virginia (13) Obama +6.5%
New Mexico (5) Obama +7.3%
Pennsylvania (21) Obama +9.5%
Iowa (7) Obama +11.4%
Minnesota (10) Obama +12.1%
New Hampshire (4) Obama +12.4%
Wisconsin (10) Obama +10.6%
Oh and...
Current RCP National Horserace... Obama +5.9%
I mean, seriously, we are DOOMED: