Well here we are. Just four days until Election Day, and only one day left for Nevadans to vote early.
The penultimate day of early voting saw most trends we've been chronicling continue, including the "lots and lots of people voted again today" trend.
It's Barack the Inspirer versus John the Defiler, live in the Silver State, round 9!
Clark County (Las Vegas/Henderson) takeaways:
- 807,271 voters are registered in Clark County. 47.6% have already voted, including absentee voters.
- Democrats outnumber Republicans 382,807 to 259,975 (122,832 more), or by a 1.47:1 ratio. Democrats have out-voted Republicans 1.59:1 thus far in Clark.
- 51.9% of registered Democrats have voted compared to 48.0% registered Republicans.
Washoe County (Reno/Sparks) takeaways:
- The margins between Democrats and Republicans voting on a daily basis continue to narrow (today was 51D/49R), but there hasn't been a single day where Republicans out-voted Democrats. This, in a county where Democrats outnumber Republicans by just 1,286. The optimist in me says that a bunch of registered Republicans went and voted today for Barack after seeing Obama's powerful ad last night. Probably not true, but a boy can dream.
- 34,061 Washoe residents voted in the 14 day early voting period in 2004. 90,638 have voted in 13 of 14 days this year.
- There are a total of 231,470 registered voters in Washoe. 39.2% of them have already voted, not counting absentee voters. (Approximately 9% more have requested absentee ballots.)
- About 7,000 more Repubicans have requested absentee ballots than Democrats. Absentee voters will very likely narrow the overall early vote gap in Washoe significantly. This is reflected in the projections below.
Great, but what do you think the actual vote totals are?
Why just Clark and Washoe?
87% of Nevada's registered voters live in Clark+Washoe. The other 13% are very red, but if Obama can carry ~53+% of Clark+Washoe, he'll win Nevada.
What about other states
You'll have to look elsewhere for analysis (one Kossack can only do so much), but here's a snapshot glimpse at a handful of other early voting states:
Tomorrow is the final day of early voting in Nevada. I have a huge, mega-party diary planned, so be sure to find it at around 11pm tomorrow night.
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