Skip to main content

Who do you believe, David Plouffe or Rick Davis?

Davis, McCain's campaign manager, went on Fox News Sunday and gave his view of the election. Speaking with Chris Wallace he said:

"I think we've seen a significant shift in where the polling data is in the last few days." Davis also said that some of the western states are moving to McCain, including Colorado and Nevada. "The most important state to watch is Pennsylvania...it's a state Republicans haven't won in a long time"... and "polls show the only thing separating us is the margin of error."

"There is no doubt that John McCain is increasing his margin in every state in the country." Davis added that "John McCain may be the greatest closing politician of all time."

Bill Clinton was the Comeback Kid, so I guess McCain is the great closer? Is McCain closing in on CO and NV and just a hairs-breadth away in PA?

McCain's chops as a great closer,  one would speculate, are proven by the many close Senate races McCain's won in the past?

Davis said that between early voting and absentee balloting, there is no difference between this year and 2004; "There will be more people voting, but there won't be more people of any one organization."

This is no doubt based on Davis's close study of early polling in Georgia, Florida, Colorado, and New Mexico? Of course, pollsters are universally showing that Obama leads massively in early voting in most states, but in Davis's eyes all of these polls seem to be like Gallup:

"Structurally, the Gallup poll is way out of whack with the rest of the country"

He repeated this attack on the polls on ABC with George S:

"I think it has to do with the structural imbalance we have...the polls are weighted down against the Republicans.

"

Is that weighting a result of bias, or is this another case of reality having a liberal bias, since there are now significantly more Dems than Republicans?

Rick Davis's final thought for Fox: "We are going to win this election; we're going to win it outright."

Meanwhile, David Plouffe, Obama's campaign manager, also speaking on Fox, sees things a bit differently.

In fact, Plouffe systematically knocks down every one of Davis's points.

Asked about Mr Davis's comments about the race tightening significantly in key states, Mr Plouffe said, "that's not what we see at all."

"We think we have a decisive edge at the moment," he said.

Also, says Plouffe, the balance among early voters is not neutral--in fact, far from it.

"We are seeing newly registered supporters for us...turning out in huge numbers," he said. These groups "will vote at historic levels,” Mr Plouffe believes.

In the sixteen battleground states the campaign is focusing on, they anticipate key groups voting in larger numbers than in 2004. This includes young voters, African-Americans, and Hispanics.

27% of the early voting in North Carolina has been African-American, he said.

He added that in Florida a lot of the early voters have not been regular voters.

"We're proud of how many millions have registered to vote in this campaign," he said. "In Georgia the early vote is striking in terms of its composition [like North Carolina] and we think we're heading for a very close finish there."

And what about the 50 State vs 50+1 Strategies? How is the 50 State Strategy working for you, David?

Mr Plouffe said the campaign had never wanted to be in position of relying on one state on November 4. That was the basis for their wide efforts, which he said would not have been possible without Mr Obama's appeal. With that, he believes they have many roads to 270 electoral votes on Tuesday.

So, who is right? Is McCain on the way to a historic comeback, does Obama have a decisive advantage, or is it still too close to call. You be the judge in this handy-dandy poll.

Originally posted to LearningCurve on Sun Nov 02, 2008 at 09:26 AM PST.

Poll

Who is right, Davis or Plouffe?

2%11 votes
48%227 votes
34%161 votes
2%12 votes
2%11 votes
1%6 votes
0%3 votes
8%38 votes

| 469 votes | Vote | Results

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site