Here's the lede of the analysis by Steve Lombardo, posted about a half-hour ago:
Tomorrow, Barack Obama will become the first Democratic Presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win an outright majority of the votes cast on Election Day -- and with it a sizeable majority of electoral votes -- making him the next President of the United States.
Lombardo goes even further, making the following prediction:
With this environment as a backdrop, Obama will pick the GOP lock on the electoral college by winning six states George W. Bush won in 2004--Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio and Virginia--en route to an electoral vote rout.
More on the flip
Lombardo's regression analysis projects an election day result of O 52.5, M 46.5, with Other gaining 1%, and that this will translate into a 311-227 lead in the Electoral College. This outcome has McCain winning FL, NC, GA, IN, AZ, MT and ND, all the current swing states, but still coming up more than forty votes short in the EC.
Lots of charts and graphs at pollster.com. Head over there to read all about it.