Skip to main content

The increase in the youth vote accounts for 26 EVs and was the margin of victory in NC and IN in my numbers. More below...

The youth vote accounted for 18% of the electorate, up one percent from their typical (and 2004) level. However, Obama got a higher share than Kerry did in 2004. Notice something especially cool about this data:

The youth vote, as a proportion of the electorate, was HIGHER than the >65 crowd. The old axiom that only old people vote, is breaking down. I wish I knew the historical number for the >65 crowd.

BTW, that one percent increase, at a 66/32 split for Obama, is work 28K votes in NC, less tham Obama's margin of victory. That is probably also true in Indiana (and may be true in MO - if he pulls it out). So one can say the increase youth vote was work at least 26 EVs.

Originally posted to 808 on Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 08:24 AM PST.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  Suck it, Jonah Goldberg. n/t (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    libdog
  •  I promised I would eat my hat if my generation (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    blueocean, Wolf Of Aquarius

    turned out like it was hyped.

    My friends, I am eating my hat today.  and gladly.

    One of my favorite parts of last night was watching the projection with my sister and her friends in a college dorm lounge room.  A group of 18 year old kids, huddled around the TV, and when its called for Obama they start screaming and cheering and clapping and crying.  We opened up the window and you could hear the students outside yelling and screaming in happiness.

    And then when Obama spoke, you could hear a pin drop, as they all became silent to hear.  A lot of them kept saying, "we did it, we made history, I am so proud of this country"  

    What a night.

    Mr. Puddles? Mr. Puddles, where are you? Has anyone seen my dog? Mr. Puddles? I have snausages.

    by krwlngwthyou on Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 08:34:41 AM PST

  •  I'm so terribly proud of these young people. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Wolf Of Aquarius

    We need to make every effort to keep them involved in the conversations yet to come.

    We need to continue to support the media that reaches out to them.  

    They are wise and powerful.  Let's do everything we can to keep them that way.

  •  Well done to the youth vote (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Wolf Of Aquarius

    Did anyone see on Fox they were trying to basically slam the youth vote because apparently some people outside the white house last night had the chinese flag and that absolutely vile Megyn Kelly somehow went on to take that it meant that the campaign was involved in this and was 'supporting' communism!!!

  •  And some of the credit for this must go (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Wolf Of Aquarius

    to Jon Stewart, for engaging the youth of America on their own level and getting them engaged in politics, just like the comedians of the '60s and '70s dared to, the Smothers Brothers etc.

    I remember hearing all sorts of pundits and party flacks on both sides sneering at TDS and Stewart and the young people who were starting to pay attention and dare to think that they might be able to understand the process, that they weren't just "naive" for thinking this whole thing was corrupt and made no sense - and maybe they could just do something about it, after all...

    "Don't be a janitor on the Death Star!" - Grey Lady Bast (change @ for AT to email)

    by bellatrys on Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 08:52:02 AM PST

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site