Rational people, or those with intelligence levels exceeding that of the average first grader, can not envision a scenario where Sarah Palin would be the GOP's nominee in 2012. Stick a fork in her, she's done is the conventional wisdom. And the conventional wisdom is wrong. So all the diaries and comments that continue to use her as a punchline, keep using them.
Here is why Sarah Palin will be the GOP'S Nominee in 2012.
- She will win reelection in Alaska. Yes she sucks. Yes she hurts the state. Yes she is corrupt. But this is Alaska, one of the most depressing and corrupt places on Earth. Plus, there are only two major Democrats in the state, Begich and Knowles. Knowles is probably done and Begich will either be named Senator in a few days or run against Murkowski in 2010. She'll run against virtually no competition. And if Alaskans will elect a convicted felon, they'll elect the world's biggest ditz.
- Palin will be one of very few GOP governors in 2012. Jindal and Crist might still be around but if either has presidential ambitions, they would destroy them by losing in 2012. What other governor will run? She'll be the only one.
- Her competition is very weak. The only other 3 names out there are Huckabee, Romney and Gingrich. All 3 are wingnuts but none will have held elective office from 2009-2011. Palin will be the only major candidate with "experience" even if that experience is useless.
- The GOP is still run by the crazies. She excites the base. Put her in a 10 horse race and all she'll need early on is about 35% of primary voters to get the nominee. And she can get that.
- Talk radio and the religious right love her. Palin's biggest backer is Limbaugh with Bill Kristol a close second. They will rally around her and by the time the sane people in the republican party find an alternative it will be too late.
- The republicans lost because McCain and Palin were too conservative for America. Palin with the help of Limbaugh will change this narrative. They will have 3 years to say that the reason why McCain lost was because he wasn't a true conservative, that he ignored the base, and that they didn't let Sarah be Sarah. Of course it is malarkey but that is what they will believe.
She is not going away and while we shouldn't obsess over her, we should not be oblivious to what she is going to try to do over the next 3 years to position herself for a run as President. Then again perhaps we want her to be the nominee and maybe we should not say that much.
Now for those who want some fun, take the quiz below. If you get 5 of 10 right, you are smarter than Sarah Palin.
- Which place is not a country?
A. Belgium B. Africa C. Brazil D. China
- How many sides are there to a triangle?
A. 2 B. 3 C. 4 D. 0
- Who is the Prime Minister of Canada?
A. Vladimir Putin
B. Stef Carse
C. Richard Zirois
D. Steven Harper.
- Which of the following is not the role of a Vice President?
A. Being ready to serve in case the President no longer can serve.
B. Casting tie votes in the Senate
C. Being in charge of the Senate
D. All of the above.
- Which of the following is not an official category for food groups.
A. Milk and Dairy Products
B. Moose and Dead Seals
C. Fruits and vegetables
D. Breads, Cereals, Potatoes.
- What does NAFTA stand for?
A. New Alaska Farming & Taxing Association
B. North American Free Trade Agreement
C. Near All Friends Thanking All
D. Nasty Arrogant Filty Toxic Alligators
- How many letters are there in the English alphabet?
A. 5
B. 21
C. 26
D. 30
- How many points do you get for scoring a 3 point basket in a basketball game?
A. 1 B. 2 C. 3 D. 4
- Who are Fannie and Freddie?
A. The couple you invited to Thanksgiving 40 yrs ago but never since?
B. A famous Vegas singing duo
C. Groups involved in the mortgage bailout
D. Two comedians from Montreal who prank call famous people.
- What is Niemann Marcus?
A. A well known accounting firm.
B. Two clowns in the Barnum Bailey Circus
C. A clothing store mostly for rich people
D. A famous hockey player from Denmark.