Michigan: Kerry up by 1 (45-44, MOE 4)
Special Commentary: At first glance, Kerry supporters might panic at this.. but this poll was done by Mitchell Research, the same group that had Bush up by 5 a week ago... the only polling firm the last 2 months to assert Bush had a lead here.. so if thy say Kerry is ahead, no matter how small.. I think he must be doing pretty well in Mi.
http://www.detnews.com/2004/politics/0410/27/a01-316983.htm
Missouri: Bush by 3 (48-45, MOE 3.5)
Yesterday, Missouri had 2 polls out, 1 had a 4 point Bush lead, the other 8. This one done by Research 2000 today seems more attuned to the first result.. Is Missouri also closing for Kerry in this last week?
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/stlouiscitycounty/story/3C667982BF4F245B86256F3A00
145966?OpenDocument&Headline=MISSOURI+POLL%3A+Missouri+reflects+tight+race
Virginia: Bush by 6 (50-44, MOE 4)
http://www.dailyprogress.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=CDP%2FMGArticle%2FCDP_BasicArticle&c=MGA
rticle&cid=1031778771802&path=!news
This one is done by Mason-Dixon, and maintains the 6 point Bush lead they gave to him a week ago. One supposes if its Mason-Dixon, and if you believe that M-D has slightly skewed Republican this polling year, that it may be closer then this. (SUSA's last poll on this a week ago had Bush by 4).
In summary, MI is safe (in my view) for Kerry, those swing states like Missouri that may have swung to Bush early appear to now be swinging back to Kerry with less then a week to go... and VA appears to remain in competittion for Kerry to steal.
IF Bush loses states like these on election night, I dont care what he does in Florida.