More great news for Norm Coleman, from our new Research 2000 poll conducted on Thursday and Friday for Daily Kos (MOE 4%):
Do you favor or oppose Norm Coleman's legal challenge to Al Franken's victory?
FAVOR: 34%
OPPOSE: 47%
NOT SURE: 19%
Do you think the Senate seat should remain vacant until Coleman's lawsuit is resolved or do you think Al Franken should be provisionally seated pending the outcome of the election contest?
PROVISIONALLY SEAT: 47%
REMAIN VACANT: 37%
NOT SURE: 16%
So why do Minnesotans want to move on? Probably because by an overwhelming margin they think the recount process was fair:
Which statement best reflects your point of view? The recount process has been...
...fair to both Norm Coleman and Al Franken: 63%
...mostly unfair to Norm Coleman: 17%
...mostly unfair to Al Franken: 12%
NOT SURE: 8%
(Questions rotated)
So what's the bottom line? Minnesota voters are growing increasingly tired of Norm Coleman:
Norm Coleman favorable rating
FAVORABLE: 41%
UNFAVORABLE: 58%
NO OPINION: 1%
Meanwhile, despite it all, Al Franken is managing to keep his favorable ratings in the black:
Al Franken favorable rating
FAVORABLE: 49%
UNFAVORABLE: 45%
NO OPINION: 6%
Full poll and crosstabs below the fold.
MINNESOTA POLL RESULTS – JANUARY 2009
The Research 2000 Minnesota Poll was conducted from January 8 through January 9, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
MOE: 4%
POLL DATES: 1/08-1/09/2009
SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men 288 (48%)
Women 312 (52%)
Democrats 240 (40%)
Republicans 198 (33%)
Independents/Other 162 (27%)
18-29 120 (20%)
30-44 204 (34%)
45-59 186 (31%)
60+ 90 (15%)
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Al Franken? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 14% 35% 24% 21% 6%
FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 49% 45% 6%
MEN 45% 51% 4%
WOMEN 53% 39% 8%
DEMOCRATS 78% 17% 5%
REPUBLICANS 18% 78% 4%
INDEPENDENTS 45% 46% 9%
18-29 54% 41% 5%
30-44 49% 46% 5%
45-59 47% 47% 6%
60+ 47% 46% 7%
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Norm Coleman? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 11% 31% 32% 26% 1%
FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 41% 58% 1%
MEN 46% 53% 1%
WOMEN 36% 63% 1%
DEMOCRATS 19% 80% 1%
REPUBLICANS 73% 26% 1%
INDEPENDENTS 35% 64% 1%
18-29 35% 63% 2%
30-44 41% 58% 1%
45-59 43% 56% 1%
60+ 43% 56% 1%
QUESTION: Who do you think won the U.S. Senate race Al Franken or Norm Coleman?
FRANKEN COLEMAN NOT SURE
ALL 46% 41% 13%
MEN 44% 45% 11%
WOMEN 48% 37% 15%
DEMOCRATS 83% 5% 12%
REPUBLICANS 6% 88% 6%
INDEPENDENTS 41% 37% 22%
18-29 51% 36% 13%
30-44 46% 42% 12%
45-59 44% 43% 13%
60+ 45% 42% 13%
QUESTION: Which statement best reflects your point of view? (ROTATED):
The recount process has been fair to both Norm Coleman and Al Franken OR
The recount process has been mostly unfair to Norm Coleman OR
The recount process has been mostly unfair to Al Franken
BOTH COLEMAN FRANKEN NOT SURE
ALL 63% 17% 12% 8%
MEN 59% 24% 10% 7%
WOMEN 67% 10% 14% 9%
DEMOCRATS 69% 7% 18% 6%
REPUBLICANS 54% 32% 5% 9%
INDEPENDENTS 66% 14% 11% 9%
18-29 64% 15% 14% 7%
30-44 64% 18% 12% 6%
45-59 62% 18% 11% 9%
60+ 62% 17% 11% 10%
QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose Norm Coleman's legal challenge to Al Franken's victory?
FAVOR OPPOSE NOT SURE
ALL 34% 47% 19%
MEN 37% 43% 20%
WOMEN 31% 51% 18%
DEMOCRATS 10% 69% 21%
REPUBLICANS 71% 13% 16%
INDEPENDENTS 25% 56% 19%
18-29 28% 50% 22%
30-44 35% 47% 18%
45-59 36% 46% 18%
60+ 34% 47% 19%
QUESTION: Do you think the Senate seat should remain vacant until Coleman's lawsuit is resolved or do you think Al Franken should be provisionally seated pending the outcome of the election contest?
SEATED VACANT NOT SURE
ALL 47% 37% 16%
MEN 44% 41% 15%
WOMEN 50% 33% 17%
DEMOCRATS 77% 9% 14%
REPUBLICANS 7% 73% 20%
INDEPENDENTS 52% 34% 14%
18-29 50% 34% 16%
30-44 48% 37% 15%
45-59 45% 39% 16%
60+ 47% 37% 16%
QUESTION: If you could vote again for U.S. Senate would you vote for Al Franken the Democrat Norm Coleman the Republican or Dean Barkley an Independent?
FRANKEN COLEMAN BARKLEY UNDECIDED
ALL 43% 40% 15% 2%
MEN 39% 43% 16% 2%
WOMEN 47% 37% 14% 2%
DEMOCRATS 77% 7% 14% 2%
REPUBLICANS 6% 86% 6% 2%
INDEPENDENTS 39% 32% 27% 2%
18-29 47% 36% 16% 1%
30-44 43% 41% 14% 2%
45-59 40% 43% 15% 2%
60+ 44% 39% 15% 2%