Just your regular monthly update with the state by state polls and whatnot. Obama is doing awesome!
UPDATE: BTW, I keep meaning to ask, does anyone have the full election night on videotape on CNN, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, or NBC? You see, one of the bummers of being out in the field helping with GOTV is that I didn't get to watch the election nignt that much. Some of it is on youtube, but not much. Anyone? :)
In my previous "HA HA HA" diary, I pointed out that Obama was doing well in the state by state polls posted on Survey USA. I can point out now that not only is Obama doing well, the Republicans are doing conspicuously horribly!
First, the state by state polls for Obama, all from surveyusa.
This is down from a 56/38% Approve Disapprove from a month ago. This is mainly due to a drop in approval among Democrats, from 77% to 65% currently. However, he is still getting a 35% approval rating from Republicans which is way above the national average. Go figure.
This is up slightly from last month's 52/41% rating, so that's good news. However, Obama is only getting a 48/49% rating among independents here.
This is essentially unchanged from last month's polling. Obama can take heart that he continues to post high approval ratings in Northern Missouri (59/38%) where he was crushed in the general election.
Is Virginia trending toward the status of a safe Blue State? I think it is. It's one of the rapidly changing states (i.e. becoming more diverse), so I think it's only going to get better for Democrats in Old Dominion. Obama even has a 51/44% rating in the culturally conservative Shenandoah region here.
Lovely figures from the state in which I was born. Obama gets a +14 rating OUSTIDE the Portland area.
Only 27% of those polled identified as Republican in what used to be a very closely divided and polarized state. Obama gets a whopping +22 rating among independents.
New Mexico was one of the true battleground states of 2000 and 2004, but I don't think I'm exaggerating when I say that 2008 was a tipping point for the Land of Enchantment and that Republicans are not going to be competitive again for a long time there. Even 32% of Republicans cannot deny that Obama is doing a good job.
Not much in the way of surprises here, except that Obama receives a +29 rating among Independents and a +13 in the rather conservative eastern portion of the state.
Obama even has a positive approval rating (49/47%) among REPUBLICANS in the Empire State. Staggering.
Meanwhile, as Obama proves to be a calm, resolute, competent leader, the Republicans are floundering around like a worm on a fishing hook. According to an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll from April 26th, when asked the question "When it comes to how the Republicans in Congress have dealt with President Obama, would you say that they have been too stubborn, too willing to compromise, or that they have struck the right balance?" respondents answered the following:
Too stubborn: 55%
Too willing to compromise: 15%
The right balance: 19%
Furthermore, according to a recent Quinnipiac poll from April 27th, only 27% of respondents approve of the way Congressional Republicans are handling their job. 59% disapprove for an overall rating of minus 32. That's down from a previous rating of minus 29 from last month's poll.
Meanwhile, the circular firing squad has officially begun, with two prominent GOP Senators blaming conservatives in the party for the recent defection of Arlen Specter.
"You haven't certainly heard warm encouraging words about how [the GOP] views moderates," said Maine Sen. Olympia Snowe, one of the few remaining moderate Republicans in the Senate.
Snowe said the party's message has been, "Either you're with us or you’re against us."
Her frustration was shared by Sen. Lindsay Graham (R-S.C.), who slammed right-wing interest groups for pushing moderates out of the party.
And then of course, there is the money quote, one of my favorites in recent memory:
"Ultimately, we're heading to having the smallest political tent in history, the way things are unfolding," Snowe said.