After a kind of pre-test, that had been impose on us last year investors bought future production of food and oil and were successfull in (ROI) Retrurn on Investment terms. It was a pre-test that has bullied few tens of millions pf people in undernutritions, in riots, and so on...
Now, Clouds of a Perfect Storm are gathering over us and the Wind carries the same smell of last year as if here we go again. Of course the "knowers" will go look if anticipated productions and distributions are being presently bought, but in fact is seems the answer is No, conspirationist certainly will speculate that the deals are cloaked, hum..private matters.
But From my North Pole Perspective, I see things differently sometimes, you know up-there you go around the World in four steps.
So Why do I make this statement?
When I expected it to become obvious in a garage near you?
What impacts it will have on us?
And Where will the consequences be the more obvious?
I will make my best to present my point in conformity with Kos rules.
The What !
I am talking of the the Food as Tributary of Oil Prices and a High Probality of Gas prices comparable than those of last year. I therefore talk about food inflation, particularly the ones that comes for afar, since the "buy Local" cost less transportation cost altough the fuel needed by your region farmer will rise too, but still the transportation cost for your food produced regionnally should still be cheaper and by buying local you will not paint your federal government in the corner as being Protectionnist. In all region of the World Regional Solidarity is a Natural Rule and those that still have a sense of belonging applies this rule and respect it.
The Why !
Well, China Oil deals with Iran and Brazil and some others countries change the centralist power of the US currency.
China Elbow Reflexes via North Korea
Serious and tenacious Warnings directed to US Financial System by many countries.
cf: Global Financial, Political, Military Schism in Sight
by Snowy Owl - Wed Mar 25, 2009
Wed Mar 25, 2009 at 03:26:44 AM PDT
A lot of shaking is going on these days prior to the G20 summit to be held on April 4th.
In a congressional hearing on Capitol Hill, U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann, a Minnesota Republican, asked U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: "Would you categorically renounce the United States moving away from the dollar and going to a global currency as suggested this morning by China and also by Russia, Mr Secretary?"
Geithner replied, "I would, yes."
She posed the same question to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who said: "I would also."
Chinese central bank chief Zhou Xiaochuan on Monday urged a wider use of Special Drawing Rights created by the International Monetary Fund as a global reserve asset in 1965.
Zhou's comments followed remarks by Russia last week which said it would put forward a proposal at a meeting of the Group of 20 in London on April 2 for the creation of a new global reserve currency.
Russia said its proposal had broad support among other key emerging market economies including Brazil, India, China, South Korea and South Africa.
Then G20: China takes centre stage
by Snowy Owl - Tue Mar 31, 2009
Mar 31st 2009 | BEIJING
Chinese officials assume an increasingly self-confident tone towards the rest of the world.
Now, with the West in economic disarray, China’s leaders see an opportunity if not to supplant American power, at least to start wielding a bit more of the clout that they feel they deserve given recent, rapid economic growth and the country’s importance to a global recovery.
Mr Zhou suggested the creation of a new international reserve currency, managed by the IMF, to replace the dollar.
China Daily, a state-owned English-language newspaper, put it, "what China is going to do is be seen and be heard" at the G20.
Sun Apr 19, 2009 at 08:06:12 AM PDT
The next stage of the crisis will result from a Chinese dream.
Indeed, what on earth can China be dreaming of, caught – if we listen to Washington – in the "dollar trap" of its 1,400-billion worth of USD-denominated debt.
Listening to US ''Media experts'' and United States Leaders of Economy, by staying prisonner of such an economical carceral reality, one can easily understand what such a prisonner dream of, lets get out of this prison.
LEAP/E2020 has therefore no doubt that Beijing is now constantly striving to find the means of disposing of, as early as possible, the mountain of « toxic » assets which US Treasuries and Dollars have become, keeping the wealth of 1,300 billion Chinese citizens prisoner.
Teetering On The Edge Of A Flu Pandemic?
Sun May 03, 2009 at 06:52:35 AM PDT
As swine flu cases surface around the world, authorities say a pandemic may be imminent. Ira Flatow and experts discuss the current outbreak, lessons learned from the scare of 1976, and whether government restrictions could tread on individual liberties if a pandemic occurs.
Anthony Fauci, director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Md.
Michael Osterholm, director, Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minn.
Howard Markel, professor of pediatrics and communicable diseases, director, Center for the History of Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Mich.
more within Kos here
Just as in January 2007, the 11th edition of the GEAB described that the turn of the year 2006/07 was wrapped in a « statistical fog » typical of an entry into recession and designed to raise doubts among passengers that the Titanic was really sinking (1), our team today believes that the end of Spring 2009is characterized by the world’s final stepping out of the referential framework used for sixty years by global economic, financial and political players in making their decisions, in particular of its "simplified" version massively used since the fall of the communist bloc in 1989 (when the referential framework became exclusively US-centric). In practical terms, this means that the indicators that everyone is accustomed to use for investment decisions, profitability, location, partnership, etc ... have become obsolete and that it is now necessary to find new relevant indicators to avoid making disastrous decisions.
This process of obsolescence has increased dramatically over the past few months under pressure from two trends:
first, the desperate attempts to rescue the global financial system, particularly the American and British systems, have de facto "broken navigational instruments" as a result of all the manipulation exerted by financial institutions themselves and by concerned governments and central banks. Among those panic-stricken and panic-striking indicators, stock markets are a perfect case as we shall see in further detail in this issue of the GEAB. Meanwhile, the two charts below brilliantly illustrate how these desperate efforts failed to prevent the world’s bank ranking from experiencing a major seism (it is mostly in 2007 that the end of the American-British domination in this ranking was triggered).
secondly, astronomical amounts of liquidity injected in one year into the global financial system, particularly in the U.S. financial system, led all financial and political players to a total loss of touch with reality. Indeed, at this stage, they all seem to suffer from a syndrome of diver’s nitrogen narcosis – impairing those affected and leading them to dive deeper instead of surfacing. Financial nitrogen narcosis has the same effects than its aquatic counterpart.
Tue May 26, 2009 at 04:28:34 AM PDT by Snowy Owl
We can observe in the last couple of weeks an urge, an intense urge from wealthy countries that the World Health Organization declares a level 6 alert which means a World Wide Pandemic.
The reasons are simple; wealthy Nations want their governments to implement measures in conformity with their National pandemic preparedness plan regardless of the impacts of such a declaration would impose on Poor countries, who are by the way the Huge majority of Humans of this Planet.
All experts and mainly those from the Tiny minority of wealthy and informed people of this Earth are fearfull of what will become of this virus next fall, and rightly so.
It can indeed transform itself by merging with other more lethal viruses (For instance H5N1(bird flu virus) who is endemic in many poor countries and has a lethality of over 60%).
Last update - 08:02 26/05/2009
ANALYSIS Netanyahu bringing Israel closer to war with Iran
By Aluf Benn, Haaretz Correspondent
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu considers the lifting of the Iranian nuclear threat his life's mission. Before coming to power, he had mentioned that such an operation might cost thousands of lives, but the price was justified in view of the threat's severity. His comments yesterday at the meeting of Likud's Knesset faction put to rest Ariel Sharon's doctrine that Iran is not just Israel's problem but the entire world's problem, and Israel must not be at the forefront of the struggle. Israel is now at the forefront.
The leaders of Iran and Israel escalated the verbal confrontation yesterday. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said discussions on the nuclear issue are over, which means Iran does not intend to give up enriching uranium. Netanyahu said that if Israel does not lead the defense against the Iranian threat and bring in the United States and other countries, no one else will.
In both cases, in Tehran and Jerusalem, it's possible to justify the leaders' comments by citing domestic political needs. But even if the immediate motive is domestic politics, the strategic implications cannot be ignored.
And finally GsGs from Germany on Pandemic threat-level market indicators
Here is the last post No 191 page 7
Re: Pandemic threat-level market indicators
As a whole, the Swine Flu and Bird Flu Stocks Index is up by 7.7%. It is now ahead of the S&P 500 by 36.7% over the last month.
some messages from flu-companies:
I'm interested in expert panflu probability estimates
That's the View from my Igloo at the Top of the Planet.
But they are solutions, as always, we must Promote Regional Synergy cf to
Regional Economy Part I
Within 2 months.
All poor Regions will find it a bit depressive but bt promoting locals and regionals the pain should be reduce for our next harvest, if the weather is with us.
Let's get the job done together