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I have researched much on Mr. MacMurray, and i find him to be a very educated and thoughtful person to represent me and other Orange County citizens in the 72nd AD, left vacant by the recent actions of Mike (ugh, i share his name) "Spanky" DuVall and his affair with a lobbyist. The GOP insiders and party bosses have all but gone for Ackerman (Most mayors, city councilfolks have as well), while Norby clings on to the voter-rich Fullerton base he knows best as a former Fullerton Councilman, which also gave John McCain a razor-thin 213-vote margin in 2008, he ended up winning 51% in the 72nd, a far-cry from the 60% Bush won in 2004. To find out why such a change occured from 2004, follow me below the fold as i take you into the world of Orange County politics...

In 2008, college-aged voters overwhelmingly (mid 60%) for Obama, the same applies here in Orange County. In Fullerton, home to Fullerton College and CSF (Cal State Fullerton), it is these college voters that continue to turn Orange County and Fullerton blue. Current registration statistics (warning PDF) shows Democrats closing the gap in Fullerton, a far-cry from the wide margin Republicans enjoyed since the early 90's. Anaheim and La Habra, Democratic registration has also experienced a boost, due to a many number of factors, but i can conclude some of those voters are from the nearby colleges who live in Anaheim. Our elected officials include La Habra Councilwoman Rose Espinosa (pdf), a great leader in helping the poor, keeping gangs out of La Habra and a philanthropist. In fact, she was recognized as the "72nd District Woman of the Year" by Republican Lynn Daucher. She is also running for the Supervisor seat that Chris Norby has left so he can run in the Assembly open seat (talk about political musical chairs). In Anaheim, we have the wonderful Lorri Galloway a proven progressive on women's rights, labor and marriage equality. She, like Espinosa, is also running for County Supervisor.

This is all just fine and dandy, but what does this have to do with MacMurray? Plenty. It helps to have a Democratic base (for MacMurray it's La Habra, where Dems and Reps registration have 10,528 to 10,882, a razor-thin margin), including larger cities like Anaheim and Fullerton. Turnout is low (and we've seen what it can do in these situations) in these sorts of races, and many folks have decided to use mail-in ballots as opposed to traditional polling stations. Also in the district is Placentia, Brea, part of Yorba Linda and a sliver of Orange (the city). MacMurray also won the Orange part of the 72nd as well, doing fairly good in Placentia and losing heavily in Brea and Yorba Linda (the latter is obvious, its pretty much the San Fransisco of Orange County).

Now to be honest, i have not met Mr. MacMurray or am old enough to vote, but there are good signs that MacMurray can pull of a primary win such as:

  1. Ackerman and Norby have been constantly battling it out like the Romans did in the Colisieum, see this.
  1. GOP voters might opt-out to either support Richard Faher, another GOP candidate from Placentia, a political unknown, hold their noses and vote for MacMurray in spite of the GOP civil war, or just sit this one out. Any one of these options will split Norby and Ackerman's votes, and we all know that no one will be getting 50%+1 tomorrow.

There are tons of MacMurray signs here in Brea, only a few Norby signs and only about 2 Ackerman signs, since i see them on my way to school every day. Despite the fact that John McCain got 56% here in Brea in 2008, i know he can pull off an upset. I do admit however, at least Mr. Norby is a resident of the 72nd District (Fullerton), so is John MacMurray (La Habra), Mrs. Ackerman is not a resident of the 72nd, she lives in Irvine, where right-winger Assemblyman Chuck DeVore is planning a suicidial lamb campaign against Senator Barbara Boxer, and he is termed out, so why can't Ackerman run there? But anyways, my support for John MacMurray is unwavering. As a Californian, a Brea resident, a progressive, a high school sophomore, my support is for Mr. MacMurray. I advise you to check out these links: - MacMurray campaign site - Donations here
http://www.friendsforfullertonsfutur... - A (somewhat) Pro-Norby, Anti-Ackerman post - Pro-MacMurray post

Also, check out Seneca Doane's diaries about Mr. MacMurray and more on the 72nd AD special election, much more insight than mine. I apologize for a short diary, i should have done this a few days ago.

Originally posted to libinthenorthoc on Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 09:09 PM PST.


Can John MacMurray win?

29%5 votes
5%1 votes
41%7 votes
23%4 votes

| 17 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (12+ / 0-)

    "A man is accepted into a church for what he believes and he is turned out for what he knows." - Mark Twain

    by libinthenorthoc on Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 09:09:09 PM PST

    •  Hey homeboy! (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Nice work.  You have the first AD-72 Election Day diary of what I hope will be many -- just because we can.

      E-mail me and let me know where you go to school; I'll let you know if my daughter goes to the same one.  (Out of respect for her privacy I won't say where it is here.)

      A mess of Bush Admin officials have gotten away with serious crimes! Grab a mop!

      by Seneca Doane on Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 11:24:07 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  good background information (0+ / 0-)

    Those of us who live outside the OC don't have much understanding about the different areas; it is all just "behind the Orange curtain" as the somewhat outdated expression goes. Some of us know that parts of the county are not as solidly red as in the past, as Democrats have been elected to the legislature and to Congress. You might not remember when Loretta Sanchez was first elected to Congress, but it was a big deal that she defeated Bob Dornan, one of the more prominent rightwing lunatics of the late 20th century in California. It is good to know that more of Orange County is becoming competitive for our party and that the divisions among teh Greedy Old Party can be exploited to some extent.

       My understanding is that tomorrow is the special primary election to replace "Eyepatch" DuVall. All of the candidates are running on the same ballot even though they are members of different parties. If nobody gets 50% + 1 of the total vote then it goes to a runoff with the top votegetters of each party. MacMurray is the Democrat, there is a Libertarian (or is it a Green?) and two strong Republicans plus two or three "some dude" GOPers so it looks like it will go to a runoff. When is the date of the runoff? Also, which of the two main Repubs would be the weaker opponent for MacMurray? They both seem to have some weaknesses.
       Thanks for diarying about this race and thank you for being involved in your community. Oh yeah, lots of guys are named Mike or Michael so you shouldn't have to feel responsible for DuVall. I was born a Michael but got tired of having such a common first name. I changed my first name; there aren't a lot of guys named Zack in my generation but there probably are in yours.
       Peace and Democracy, Zack from the San Fernando Valley (which used to be a somewhat Republican area when I was your age and is now solidly Democratic)

    I'm not a Limousine Liberal; I am a Prius Progressive

    by Zack from the SFV on Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 09:58:47 PM PST

    •  Eh, balancing that (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zack from the SFV

      Exams here and there, and reading a 280 pg-book with a quiz every day, gotta find something fun to do. I use to live in the San Gabriel Valley (West Covina), but it was too big city for me, much nicer here in Orange County.

      My mom is planning on voting by mail for MacMurray (She really, really does not like Republicans, or news vans parked on every street by Duvall's old office trying to talk to people on what he was like)

      "A man is accepted into a church for what he believes and he is turned out for what he knows." - Mark Twain

      by libinthenorthoc on Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 10:02:34 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  On your other question(s) (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Zack from the SFV

        I forgot when the runoff is, probably in January-ish. Three GOP'ers, 1 Democrat and 1 Green (the libertarian dropped out). Ackerman would really be a cakewalk for MacMurray, just reusing the same attacks Norby is using. However if it's Norby, we might as well be calling him Assemblyman-elect Tomorrow night. He and the Ackermans go way back during his time on the Fullerton City Council. The Ackermans are Redevelopment schemers, who are supporting the sale of the Orange County Fairgrounds, while MacMurray (and another Repub OC Assemblyman) are against it. Dunno where Norby stands on that, but he does support legal marijuana, which is a plus. Norby allegedly has a Duvall-ish type of unproven affair with a staffer, which would obviously be a hilarious thing if this was true (I don't know if it is, but its something Linda Ackerman is using against Chris Norby).

        Whats bad about my name is that i got named after my uncle who died 5 years before i was born, that's what gets me. Of course my parents are very unsupportive of the name-changing, so i'm stuck with this till i'm 18.

        "A man is accepted into a church for what he believes and he is turned out for what he knows." - Mark Twain

        by libinthenorthoc on Mon Nov 16, 2009 at 10:25:38 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  good link to backround?? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV

    i was involved in High School and still am...good gor there a grassroots effort for liberals/dems where you are??/ if not, start one!!

    Why is this race important to me if I don't live there...let me know!!

    why not good being named after your uncle?? my nephew is named after our cousins DOG when we were little and my son after my after the dog...if it's a good name??? BUT...if you want a different name...change the FIRST name and keep the old first and middle as in Zackery Michael Wndsor MacMurray

    I drank too much coffee today!!

    •  that's what I did (0+ / 0-)

        Zachary Michael Haik (from the SFV). One thing I found out though is that the DMV and other gov't agencies are not well equipped to deal with more than three names so now Michael is my middle name and my Armenian name which I never really used much has disappeared. I still keep the H as part of my signature but otherwise it was lost. Sort of like how some women lose their middle names if they take their spouse's last name and the maiden name becomes their middle name.

      I'm not a Limousine Liberal; I am a Prius Progressive

      by Zack from the SFV on Tue Nov 17, 2009 at 03:05:58 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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