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For select the third democrat from New Hampshire i think we have two favourites so clear. They are the two US House Representatives, P Hodes and C Shea-Porter. And surely the first favourite is P Hodes, running for senate, while C Shea-Porter have too very much supporters.

And just they are involved in the most competitive contests for next year in New Hampshire, the senate race, and booth congressional races. For the senate open seat left by J Gregg, the republicans make a hard selection between all their best, and in democratic side one of frontrunners, P Hodes decide run too.

His House seat will be open for the 2010 elections, and seems former congressman, republican C Bass, is checking for return, but this is a D+3 district, and i hope see the bests in democratic side, for finally C Bass must decide run not. A Kuster is running in democratic side, S Larsen, the first democratic President of the New Hampshire Senate in very much years, can run too.

For the other house seat republicans find too an important mid level republican. He is F Guinta, former mayor of Manchester, the city with more population in NH, more than 100000 inhabitants. I think C Shea-Porter can defeat him after defeat two times a congressman. I compare F Guinta with a state senator, not more.

I remember and update from previous diaries the structure of this serie.

RANK OF BLUE STATES FROM HIGHER TO LOWER LEVEL OF ELECTED REPUBLICANS

  1. Maine: 2/2 Senate.
  1. Nevada: 1/2 Senate. Governor. 1/3 House. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. Iowa: 1/2 Senate. 2/5 House. 2 Statewide officers.
  1. New Hampshire: 1/2 Senate.
  1. New Jersey: Governor (*). 5/13 House. Lieutenant Governor (*).
  1. Minnesota: Governor. 3/8 House. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. California: Governor. 19/53 House. Lieutenant Governor (*). 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Vermont: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Hawaii: Governor. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. Connecticut: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. (Without include J Lieberman).
  1. Rhode Island: Governor.
  1. Delaware: 1/1 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Michigan: 7/15 House. 2 Statewide Officers. MI Senate majority.
  1. Wisconsin: 3/8 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Pennsylvania: 7/19 House. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer. PA Senate majority.
  1. Illinois: 7/19 House.
  1. Washington: 3/9 House. 2 Statewide Officers.
  1. Colorado: 2/7 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Oregon: 1/5 House.
  1. Maryland: 1/8 House.
  1. New York: 2/35 House.
  1. New Mexico: 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Massachusetts: No-one.

(*): Without take office still.

For national level: With a consolidated blue ticket we can look to republican side.

REPUBLICAN POTENTIAL PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES FROM BLUE STATES BY SERIOUSNESS.

  1. Timothy James Pawlenty: MN 1960 Governor of MN 03-11.
  1. George Elmer Pataki: NY 1945 Governor of NY 95-06.
  1. Willard Mitt Romney: MI MA 1947 Governor of MA 03-07. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 94.
  1. Rudolph William Louis Giuliani: NY 1944 Mayor of New York 94-01. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 00.
  1. Gary Earl Johnson: ND NM 1953 Governor of New Mexico 95-03.
  1. Richard John Santorum: VA PA 1958 Senator from PA 95-07. USHRep 91-95. Lost for Senate 06.

But we will see all they in his home state.

For state level:

DEMOCRATS IN THE CABINET OVER THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Still no-one.

DEMOCRATS OVER THE FIRST VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

ME1: Chellie M Pingree: MN ME 1955 USHRep 09- . Lost for Senate 02.
IA1: Thomas Richard Harkin: IA 1939 Senator from Iowa 85- . USHRep 75-85. Lost for President 92. Lost for House 72.
NH1: Cynthia Jeanne Shaheen: MO NH 1947 Senator from New Hampshire 09- . Governor of New Hampshire 97-03. Lost for senate 02.
NV1:

THE FIRST DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00.000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01.429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02.857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04.286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05.714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07.142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08.571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10.000 ---

IA: T Harkin (D) vs C Grassley (R) after 10 votes = 03.167 => Leans Republican
ME: C Pingree (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 25 votes = 03.267 => Leans Republican
ME: C Pingree (D) vs S Collins (R) after 17 votes = 03.529 => Leans Republican
IA: T Harkin (D) vs T Branstad (R) after 17 votes = 06.373 => Leans Democratic
ME: C Pingree (D) vs P Mills (R) after 16 votes = 07.188 => Likely Democratic

THE SECOND DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

ME2: John Elias Baldacci: ME 1955 Governor of ME 03-11. USHRep 95-03.
NH2: John H Lynch: MA NH 1952 Governor of New Hampshire 05- .
IA2: Thomas James Vilsack: PA IA 1950 Secretary of Agriculture 09- . Governor of Iowa 99-07. Lost for President 08.
NV2:

THE SECOND DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

IA: T Vilsack (D) vs C Grassley (R) after 13 votes = 03.205 => Leans Republican
ME: J Baldacci (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 31 votes = 03.548 => Leans Republican
ME: J Baldacci (D) vs S Collins (R) after 20 votes = 04.083 => Leans Republican
ME: J Baldacci (D) vs P Mills (R) after 06 votes = 04.167 => Leans Republican
IA: T Vilsack (D) vs T Branstad (R) after 19 votes = 04.386 => Toss-Up

THE THIRD DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

ME3: Michael Herman Michaud: ME 1955 USHRep 03- . President ME Senate 00-02.
IA3: David Loebsack: IA 1952 USHRep 07- .
NV3:
NH3: Today

THE THIRD DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

IA: D Loebsack (D) vs C Grassley (R) after 12 votes = 02.500 => Likely Republican
ME: M Michaud (D) vs S Collins (R) after 17 votes = 03.431 => Leans Republican
ME: M Michaud (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 28 votes = 03.571 => Leans Republican
IA: D Loebsack (D) vs T Branstad (R) after 15 votes = 04.333 => Toss-Up
ME: M Michaud (D) vs P Mills (R) after 04 votes = 04.583 => Toss-Up
ME: M Michaud (D) vs J McKernan (R) after 06 votes = 05.833 => Leans Democratic
NH: Third democrat vs J Gregg (R)
NH: Third democrat vs K Ayotte (R)
NH: Third democrat vs J Sununu (R)

If you see this diary after days, you can see the last actualization of this serie in my last diary. The results of polls of previous diaries are updated too in the last diary specially the diaries with lower number of votes. For see my last diary click in "abgin's diary".

Originally posted to abgin on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 10:16 AM PST.

Poll

Without J Shaheen (D) and J Lynch (D) in the list, choose the best, the third democrat in New Hampshire.

14%1 votes
42%3 votes
0%0 votes
14%1 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
14%1 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
14%1 votes

| 7 votes | Vote | Results

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