Perhaps the most accurate poll we can find which reflects the current state of the Democratic nomination is stock. People are willing to lay money on their beliefs at
Tradesports.com by buying and selling stock in their favorite candidates. No media bias there.
Right now you can buy stock in Howard Dean at 67. If he wins the Democratic nomination, the stock automatically closes at 100. If he loses, the stock automatically closes at 0. Try to find a better return on your investment trading the Nasdaq over the next year compared to trading Dean right now.
How about George Bush to win the presidency? Right now Bush is trading between 65 and 66. If you think the democratic candidate will beat Bush, you can "short sell" Bush at 65 and make an even better return on your investment once Bush plummets to 0 in November.
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