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    Many important races will be decided next November, but as our old state slogan goes, "Ohio is the Heart of it All." (It's a triple play on the shape of the state, it's central location, and Ohio's preeminence as the pumphouse of ancient North American civilization.) The only official state motto was discarded years ago to assuage non-Buckeye sensibilities, but never replaced. It was Imperium in Imperio, "Empire within Empire." Some said it reeked of self-importance. Ha!

    The objective reasons why Ohio will be the 2010 focal point are numerous. Obviously, it's a large and key swing state, the nation's most reliable belwether, and the state most likely to play a determinative role in future close presidential elections. Ohio's congressional delegation is almost balanced (10 Ds, 8 Rs), and its state leadership has been flip-flopping for decades between the major parties.

     This is the usual stuff of our political grandeur. 2010, however, is quite special for the Buckeye State.
   

      Ohio has an open U.S. Senate seat in 2010, created by the overripe retirement of George Vacation-Haven-Can't-Wait Voinovich. GOP All-star Rob-the-Poor Portman is lined up for that seat, and if you don't think this is timed to prepare him for a 2016 run for the Presidency, you really ought to see a professional about your pathological lack of paranoia.

    Briefly put, either populist Republican Tom Ganley will crimp Portman's sails in the GOP primary, Kossack Jennifer Brunner will stop Portman in November, or say hello to President Portman exactly seven years from today.

    Another past-tense presidential aspirant will be on the Ohio ballot. That would be Ted Good-as-Dead Strickland, who is now living his Plan B, after that Hillary's-VP thing worked out badly. Having failed to bail from the wreckage that is present-day Ohio, Strickland is now involuntarily sinking with his ship, determined to drown as many of his fellow shipmates as he can in the process.

    Incredible as it is, Strickland now says he wants to be reelected. (Memo to the Make-A-Wish Foundation.)

    All of the other statewide offices are also on the 2010 ballot, as well as the entire state assembly, which has a current teetering 3-seat Democratic majority. (The Ohio Senate is 2-1 Republican.)

    The new state legislature will do the 2011 congressional redistricting, with Ohio the only state in the country likely to lose two seats. That means the current highly-gerrymandered districts -- drawn by a Republican state legislature in 2001, are likely to be redrawn by another Republican legislature in 2011, and easily approved by Strickland's Republican successor -- former GOP Congressman, Lehman Brothers executive, and Faux News commentator John Kasich.

    What fun!

    The foregoing encapsulation was how things looked LAST week. The effects of the Massachusetts Maelstrom will be magnified in Ohio for two big related reasons:

  1. Ohio has one of the most corrupt Democratic Party machines in the nation, and DP machine corruption is now public enemy number 1. (See my blogroll for extensive coverage of the details.)
  1. Cincinnati, Ohio's Queen City, is Ground Zero of the national Tea Party movement.

     So now, boys and girls, let's look at the details of how Scott Pin-up-boy Brown's election will influence the Ohio 2010 races.  Buckle your seatbelts, but be assured that the news is not all bad.

     First of all, let's realize this: 2010 on the Ohio Horoscope will be known as the Year of No More Shit. It ain't gonna cut it for any candidate to say, "Vote for me because I'm not as bad as the other guy." Up until now, that has been the sole slogan of the Strickland campaign and the rest pf the Ohio Democratic Party line-up, which is looking more like a police line-up every day. If it continues to be the party line, catastrophe will become cataclysm.

     This is the year that voters rise up in unison to say "Any devil we don't know is better than the devil we know." And who can blame them? It's about frickin' time.

     The old 19th century idea of rotation as a democratic institution has just been brought back by popular demand. If the electorate needs to keep switching horses from D to R and back again for a dozen cycles, until genuine new parties can form, so be it. That's exactly what we will do.

     Now here's the low-down on the low-down:

I. Congressional Races

     All 18 Ohio U.S. Representatives are running for reelection, a travesty in itself.  Most will achieve their goal. One Democrat, Steve Driehaus in OH-01, is finished. He is opposed by long-time former Congressman Steve Chabot, who will retake the seat handily. The latest poll has Chabot up 56-39, and that's before Massachusetts.

     I won't mourn for Driehaus, but I will mourn for Zack Space in OH-18. This is Bob Ney's old district, it is heavily red, and Space has been besieged by fierce attacks from GOP-controlled newspapers in the district. Even if Space holds the seat somehow, the district will disappear as of 2012 -- it's the weirdest and most gerrymandered district in the state. Space will make a good candidate for some high Administration post; he played an important role as a rural advocate in the HCR negotiations.

     Mary Jo Kilroy is considered endangered in OH-15, but she will probably survive due to positive demographic changes in her Columbus district.

     Charlie Call-Ted-for-feeding-instructions Wilson will likely survive in Strickland's old district, OH-06, another strange entity that will certainly disappear when lines are redrawn. I hope that Wilson at least gets a good scare this year so his performance rises to the status of a bump on a log.

     Of the eight incumbent Republicans, all will cruise to reelection except one, Jean Pleistocene Schmidt in OH-02. Ironically, Schmidt has become too much of an embarrassment for the GOP, and the scuttlebutt is that Rob Portman wants her gone, which makes her a marked woman. Schmidt has already attracted two serious primary challengers, with a third reportedly preparing to enter.

     Opposing Schmidt is David Krikorian, an iconoclast who has much more appeal to the populist crowd than she does. Krikorian ran as an Independent in 2008, garnering the highest percentage of any Independent congressional candidate in the nation. This year he has a lock on the Democratic nomination, with two non-serious potential (but uncertain) primary challengers. Anticipate surprises here, with all prominent Indys, and some prominent Republicans endorsing Krikorian. Brown's victory in Mass. actually helps the Democrat in this race.

Likely congressional tally: Dems down 2, GOP down 1, for a net GOP gain of 1 seat. That would leave the delegation deadlocked at 9-9, but look for the two seats lost in reapportionment to come from the D column.

II. Senate Race

    Increasingly identified as "the other one" in the Dem. primary race, Lee Yawn Fisher was already suffering from two recent polls that show Brunner a stronger candidate against Rob Portman. Fisher's main hope was in stopping Brunner through internal party pressure, but now Brunner has filed and is committed to finish the race. All those party machinations now hang around Fisher's neck like an albatross.

     In short, Fisher ran as the Democratic machine candidate, but Democratic machine candidates are no longer cool. Fisher is finished. We'll see increasing migration to Brunner. Fisher needs to find something else to do. The Brunner campaign has already picked up on the way that the Massachusetts result helps all populist insurgencies.

    Perhaps more interesting is what may happen on the Republican side. Tom Ganley has been dismissed as a threat to Portman, but Portman is, if anything, the epitome of a machine man, having served as G.W. Bush's OMB director. Surprise, surprise, the populist insurgents in the GOP don't like Portman. So the Ganley campaign will pick up significant steam.

Tally: A strengthened Jennifer Brunner against a weakened Rob Portman will make for one helluva race with big national implications.

III. Governor's Race

    What can I say here? The only recent polls had Strickland down against Kasich by 9 or 7 points -- take your pick, with a trend line that looked like it was headed to Never-Never Land.  Does John Kasich look like Scott Brown?  In every conceivable way, excepting the nude centerfold spread (thank the Lord). Ohio Republicans have already started mining the Brown campaign for themes, slogans, and strategies.

    Strickland's chances just went from nil to nothing, regardless of what you'll hear from the Ted-heads in magic mushroom land (aka Kucinich territory). Now I happen to like magic mushrooms, but I don't base my political predictions upon them.

    But wait, the news gets worse for the Goobernator. Kasich, being close to a teabagger himself, has a glide-path totally clear of third-party interference. No right-wing splitters as in New Jersey or NY-22. Strickland, however, will have to contend with his own anti-environmentalist record as a shill for coal and nuclear companies.

    Ohio never had much of a serious green movement, but all of that is now changed. My mailbox has been full since Tuesday with missives from the OHIO LEFT, reading the most recent shots from Lexington and Concord as a call to arms (linked Gandhian arms, or course) against the depradations of the Ohio Democratic Party.

    The Ohio Greens already have an entry in the Governor's race -- Dennis Spisak. And it doesn't matter who Dennis is or what he does, he's going to get a lot of votes. Every one of those votes would be needed by Ted Strickland in order to have a prayer of a shred of a chance.

     I will say one nice thing about the Governor. On Monday, he named Yvette McGee Brown as his long-anticipated (i.e. he had trouble recruiting) pick for Lieutenant Governor. Brown is a superb individual, an African-American with a background in non-profit administration, and as a judge and a child advocate. Supposedly, she's a dynamic speaker.

     In fact, Ms. Brown is such a good candidate, one cannot help but feel she's in the wrong race. An awful lot of Ohioans will be wishing that she were the one debating John Kasich and jostling for the state's top chair.

     Which is obviously why Strickland picked her, a total outsider with no connections to the party machine. Strickland, with excellent polling capabilities, knows that his machine is done in this state.

     Unfortunately, Strickland's pick may have unintended consequences. Brown will be tarnished by her new association with Boss Ted, so much so that her future might be limited -- undoubtedly why others turned down Strickland's running-mate overtures.

     On the bright side, surprises do happen. Actually, I would not be surprised to see Strickland withdraw from the Governor's race, while Fisher withdraws from the Senate race, allowing a Fisher-Brown ticket in November. I wouldn't even be surprised if that is the current plan, because Brown was definitely not chosen to help Ted Strickland capture any key constituency he needs to even be competitive.

Tally: Get used to saying "Governor Kasich." Very interesting Lietenant Governor race, let's hope for a debate and possible future governor Yvette Brown.

    Stay tuned.

NOTE: See the last two diaries on my blogroll for general analysis of the Massachsetts race and its result -- The Cure for Cluelessness, and The Blue Denial.    

Find out more and donate to Zack Space, David Krikorian or Jennifer Brunner at:

http://www.zackspace.org/

http://www.krikorian2010.com/

http://www.jenniferbrunner.com/

Ohio's primary is May 4.
     
UPDATE:
I had missed a poll of the Governor's race released yesterday, but based on a survey last week. This one has Kasich leading by 10 points, 47-37. http://www.ohiolife.org/...

The poll was conducted by Ohio Right to Life, so take with a grain of salt, however it falls right on the trend line of other recent polls, and it confirms the other recent numbers. Most disturbing about this new poll is that Strickland's support is at only 37%, way below that considered viable for any incumbent. The trend has been that voters move to undecided, en route to supporting John Kasich.

   

   

   

Originally posted to Ohiobama on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 06:41 AM PST.

Poll

Ohio's state motto should be:

10%4 votes
7%3 votes
10%4 votes
2%1 votes
28%11 votes
39%15 votes

| 38 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (7+ / 0-)

    "Politics: The conduct of public affairs for private advantage." -- Ambrose Bierce

    by Ohiobama on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 06:41:10 AM PST

  •  The Wright Brothers Had A Huge Influence On (0+ / 0-)

    Ohio, and it is best known as the birthplace of aviation.

  •  Go Jennifer (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sfgb, Ohiobama, Muzikal203

    More and BETTER Democrats - Jennifer Brunner fits the bill.

    Liberalism is trust of the people tempered by prudence. Conservatism is distrust of the people tempered by fear. ~William E. Gladstone, 1866

    by absdoggy on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 06:56:17 AM PST

  •  I dont know, I think Strickland has a shot (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DanD

    I know I'm excited about his race now that he's picked Yvette. I've met her at a few law school events and she's awesome. My Rep is Pat Tiberi (gag) I have nothing good to say about him.

    •  Kasich gay rumors will kill him among the baggers (0+ / 0-)

      It was a pretty open secret that he ran on when he was a representative in congress.  It doesn't matter what anyone wants to say about Strickland, Kasich is damaged goods for the base he is trying to represent.

      We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Ben Franklin

      by DanD on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 08:02:27 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  This kind of crap is what dooms the ODP (0+ / 0-)

        This is the ONLY thing the Strickland campaign has going -- total B.S. rumor mongering that says nothing positive about the Democratic incumbent. And as to the allegations themselves:

        1. If this mattered to the GOP, they would not have let Kasich walk away with the nomination.
        1. The sum total of the rumor-mongering will be to boost GLBT support for Kasich and remove any possible chance of gay-bashing Democrat Jennifer Garrison winning as Secretary of State.
        1. EXACTLY the same rumors were floated about Ted Strickland, so that one is a total wash, regardless.
  •  Good diary, Recc'd...but... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sfgb, Ohiobama

    ...you've given us a take on what you think is likely to happen.

    What can we do to make things come out better?  Do we really have to accept losing the seats of Driehaus and Zack Space?

    •  Space can win, Driehaus can't (0+ / 0-)

      That's my honest assessment. Driehaus's oppenent is a known quantity who represented the district for 10 years.

      Space has a weak opponent, so we can save Space, but only for one more term.

      •  Chabot didn't "represent" Democrats for 10 years (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DanD, Ohiobama

        I never got a response from him that made any sense.
        It was always two months old and a form letter.

        Chabot ran on term limits the first time.We all know how that turned out after 10 years.He also ran on financial responsibility.It was  hard to make that claim when he used office stationary for political campaigning when he said the other guy did this.

        He was a put up guy for the Rethugs.His own legislation consisted of acknowledging Catholic girls-school day or some silly stuff.Since he didn't have much controversy they would encourage him to sponsor things that were too hot for party heavies to handle.

      •  I don't see Space leaving even if the 18th (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Ohiobama

        is killed.  He will do like Ney before him and run in whichever resulting district represents enough of his former constituents to give him a good shot.

        As Far as that goes the 18th and the 6th need to be scrapped.   They are both nonsense districts.

        Fred Dailey is indeed a weak candidate.  Not a competition in the first place and frankly too old to run a vigorous campaign.  The people I've heard as possibly throwing in a hat against him in 2012 wouldn't be much stronger.  Younger and better financed, but they make Space look like a mental giant.

        We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Ben Franklin

        by DanD on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 08:10:37 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I agree with this (0+ / 0-)

          Unfortunately, OH-18 is shaped like a bar-bell with two separate densities around Zanesville and Chillicothe.  Highly unlikely they will end up together after 2011.

          It's possible that OH-18 and OH-06 could be split and merged, so Space could challenge Wilson for the new district.  I hope that does happen, Space would cream Wilson.

  •  I'd feel more kinship for Ohio if.... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sfgb, Ohiobama

    If they hadn't whupped us so bad at the Rosebowl..Oregon's state motto? "We're the only thing keeping WA and CA from touching!!"

    Happy just to be alive

    by exlrrp on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 07:03:45 AM PST

  •  Driehaus showed real promise (0+ / 0-)

    I watched him at two town hall meetings over the summer.The first one was over-taken by the Tea Bagger crowd.The second one he showed that he had learned how to handle these folks.

    The second meeting was held at a theater and had staff on hand to cart out the noisy ones when they got disruptive.Unfortunately, I sat next to one who kept offering unflattering comments the whole time to point where I told her to shush so often she left.The young people sitting next to me were watching to see what I would do as they were fed up to.It was amusing to say the least.

    He comes from a very Catholic neighborhood ,Steve Chabot's old district, and has been put on the spot about abortion a lot.

    I hope he stays around because I don't think I could stand Chabot after all the years of negligence in represenation.You don't exist to Chabot if you are a Democrat.

  •  I don't know if he'll be running an active.... (0+ / 0-)

    Campaign, but the LP has a candidate.  And the Constitutionalists may as well.  

  •  How can Portman run on his coservative cred... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DanD, sfgb, Ohiobama

    When Bush paid for nothing but spent like a drunken sailor?  Clinton left Bush with a budget surplus and Bush pissed it all away into a HUGE deficit.  

    Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

    by Jonze on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 07:09:48 AM PST

  •  Great diary (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ohiobama

    Sounds like Ohio needs a Howard Dean-style intervention.

  •  Come on people (0+ / 0-)

    One loss and we all run for the hills.
    Someone needs to break out the oh noes again.
    Having lived in Ohio for ten years and still having family there, I can tell you the republican brand there is crap.  If you think a former fox news anchor and occasional substitute for sean hannity and bill oreiley as well as a former member of the bush admin actually have a chance your nuts.

    The republican machine in ohio is dead, and speaking of corrupt parties the dems in ohio dont even compare to the repubs scandals.

    this diary is complete bullshit

    •  Kasich would not have a chance EXCEPT (0+ / 0-)

      the Dems put up AN EVEN WEAKER CANDIDATE.

      You've been out of state, you obviously missed the rapid deep descent of the ODP into decrepitude, dishonesty, and depradation. You need to catch up on the news.

      The fact is that there is no acceptable candidate in the governor's race. No Democrat I know in my neighborhood will vote for Ted Strickland. Faced with the choice, people will go with the relative unknown.

      It will not be close.

      •  LMAO (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DanD

        Kasich is an unknown in ohio?  He was pretty well known when i was up there and pretty much dismissed.  The same will happen with the election.  As far as your neighborhood goes, who gives a shit?  Those types of statements mean nothing.  Kasich will get hit hard with clips of him spewing crap while on fox news.  The ads are already written for the dems on this one.  And yes i have been out of state for awhile, however I find it amazing that you whine about dem descent while ignoring that republicans are even more unpopular.  The state still blames bush and republicans for the death of the steel industry that sent the ohio economy spiraling out of control in 2001.  Maybe you just have a lacking long term memory.  Not saying this will be an easy year, but predicting big losses this far out just because of one special election?  Get real. Were in this to win not to sit and cry because we think we have already lost.

        •  FYI (0+ / 0-)

          My neighborhood is TED STRICKLAND'S HOMETOWN NEIGHBORHOOD.

          If no one in this neighborhood, including Democrats, will vote for Strickland, it means the man is finished. Sorry.

          •  ok (0+ / 0-)

            you and your grade school predictions win, dems are toast and we should give up, tear down this site we dont need it anymore the movement is dead

            maybe you should wander over to red state and start posting there, since you seem inclined to help the other side by trying to demoralize voters in ohio
            the point that you seem to be missing is that the election is a long way off and alot could happen before we get there

            attitudes like yours are for losers, and we haven't lost yet

          •  Well then you should be getting involved (0+ / 0-)

            with his campaign.  Pointing out the problems now so that they can address them.  If you aren't and are just going to sit here and pontificate, I don't see why anyone should listen to you.  I can down to the local Knights of Columbus and hear plenty of reasons not to vote for Strickland, don't need to see it here.  Unless of course you are proposing ways to counter it.

            I say Strickland wins easy once the primaries are past.  If he has the guts to run a real race.  Kasich is out there with a long history, most of it won't play with the people he is courting now.  

            We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Ben Franklin

            by DanD on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 08:14:02 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  You totally misunderstand (0+ / 0-)

              The problem is not in Strickland's campaign, the problem is that Ted Strickland has betrayed the people of Ohio. Not only can't he win, he SHOULD NOT WIN.

              I am one of the large majority of Ohioans who will NEVER AGAIN cast a vote for Ted Strickland for any office.

              That the party allows him to run for reelection is to the party's great discredit. It will go a long way toward destroying the ODP.

              If you care about preserving the Democratic Party in Ohio, work like hell to get Ted Strickland OFF the ballot.

              That's my advice for the Strickland campaign.

              •  Too late that boat has sailed (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Whimsical

                I don't see how Strickland has betrayed the people of Ohio either.  He has done a modest job considering the support he gets from the legislature and the financial climate.  He's actually done a pretty good job helping to keep jobs in Ohio.  

                We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Ben Franklin

                by DanD on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 08:47:33 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  54% of Ohioans disagree, and climbing (0+ / 0-)

                  That's Strickland's most recent disapproval rating, and shooting up as more people focus on the race. Without even considering the barrage we're going to see this summer and fall from Ohio newspapers and the GOP.

        •  That you have nothing positive to say about Ted (0+ / 0-)

          beside that he is not John Kasich, is exactly why is campaign is doomed. That's been the line all along: "I'm not John Kasich."  That's doesn't win an incumbent a second term, not in this environment, not in this state.

          Look what it did for Corzine and Coakley.

          •  Corzine seriously? (0+ / 0-)

            Strickland might be called many things, but I've never heard anyone including the guy with the 4x8 sheets of plywood painted questioning Obama's citizenship say that Strickland was corrupt.

            We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Ben Franklin

            by DanD on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 08:16:29 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

          •  we shall see my friend (0+ / 0-)

            so your saying that kasich will win just by saying hes not strickland?  Thats all kasich has said so far, he has no agenda, no alternative to offer voters other than hes not ted strickland

            and corzine was a terrible gov who is quite wealthy and tied to the big banks
            coakley is an idiot who cant communicate
            so whats your point there?

            but maybe you should take DanDs advice and get involved in the effort to make things better

            pointing out the problems we face in november has already been done like 10 to the 4 times already

            so, that said what do you propose we do now?

            take our ball and go home?

            •  Kasich is the challenger (0+ / 0-)

              Kasich can spin a positive platform any way he wants, and he will do so when the time suits him.

              Strickland lacks that luxury. He's proven to Ohioans that he has no capacity to lead this state in any positive direction.

              Have you learned nothing from the Democratic defeats this past season?

              •  Kasich doesn't have a positive platform. (0+ / 0-)

                And it will take very little effort for Strickland to tie that around his neck like an anvil.

                I'm planning to be out of this state before January 2011, so frankly, if the voters here are STUPID enough not to re-elect Strickland (before Tuesday I would've bet money that they wouldn't be that dumb. Now, sadly, I'm not so sure) they deserve every ounce of pain Kasich will bring them and there will be a LOT of ounces.

                Freedom of speech does not mean the freedom to lie without consequence; unless, apparently if you're a right wing talk-radio host.

                by Whimsical on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 09:26:36 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

              •  yea (0+ / 0-)

                if you truly believe this, you are a fool
                you have said nothing that we did not already know
                your nebulous attacks on strickland lack substance
                what has strickland done that proves your point?
                did he wreck the ohio economy?
                did he participate in propping up right wing agenda for pay?
                did he attack mike shaivo for doing what his wife wanted?
                did he blame clinton for 911?
                did he call obama a muslim non citizen?
                did he go on national tv and attack latinos?
                did he defend the iraq war with lies?
                did he make the case that trickle down economics worked?
                did he argue for the use of reconciliation to pass bushes tax cuts?

                im sorry but it is hard to be polite in the face of this level of ignorance
                kasich has a record like this 1000 miles long
                when you have been on tv and on the radio that long, theres plenty of ammo for your opponents to work with

                so if you truly believe this lying scumbag can win, you are a fuckin idiot

                •  go argue with the voters of Ohio (0+ / 0-)

                  since your typoe of argument worked so well in NJ and MA

                  •  get over it (0+ / 0-)

                    mass, nj, va

                    guess what?

                    they have come and gone

                    so let me ask you, who should be running for gov?
                    and why will that person be able to beat kasich?

                    if you dont have an answer, maybe you should drop it

                    and by the way i dont need to argue with the voters in ohio
                    they already know this stuff

                    how old are you? like 10?

                    •  Who should be running for governor (0+ / 0-)

                      Lee Fisher, that's who. I've said it many times since last spring. Fisher should drop his Senate bid and take Strickland's place in the governor's race.

                      As Lt. Governor, he's supposed to be ready for that post anyway. His chances against Kasich would be infinitely greater than his chances against Portman.

                      And that move would free Brunner for a clear shot at Portman.

                      Plus, progressives and environmentalists like me would vote for Fisher. We will not vote for Strickland.

                      There is absolutely no logic or argument against that switch.

                      So there.

      •  This diarist neglects to mention the fact that (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        claymon00
        his allegations of "widespread Democratic corruption" are solely rooted in his personal distaste over a uranium enrichment plant being built in his home district (a county with a total population of 27, 695 people that hardly ever votes Democratic in a state-wide race).  This diarist has repeatedly used his soapbox on Daily Kos to launch a personal vendetta against Gov. Strickland, denigrating him and calling for his impeachment at every turn.  Believe me, there are plenty of reasons why Kasich might win in November (number one being the economy), but concern over the effect of the Piketon nuclear facility (which most people in Ohio don't even know exists) on the environment is not one of them.  To pretend that this issue will have an impact on voters outside of Pike and neighboring counties is flat-out disingenuous, if not outright dishonest.
        •  I'll say this about that (0+ / 0-)

          There isn't an enrichment plant being built here -- the project was mothballed in August due to the rejection of a loan by the US Department of Energy.

          Strickland knew that USEC could not get financing, he called on USEC to abandon the site himself. He and I actually are in some agreement about the USEC plant.

          One problem I have with the governor is that he's consistently lied to the people of this area about almost everything you can mention. He's acquired the reputation of a pathological liar. He told our county newspaper that opposed nuclear waste storage here, while at the same time he wrote letters of support for the consortium proposing the nuclear waste storage.

          He also believes that all public development plans should be done in secret, and that's one reason that Lee Fisher had to resign as Development Director in order to run for Senate.

          In short, the Strickland machine has incapacitated itself with lies, secrecy, intrigue, and double dealings.

          I have exposed these goings on -- that's my job. Don't blame the messenger.

          •  Let me make things crystal clear: (0+ / 0-)

            You are perfectly within your right to fervently dislike Ted Strickland and explain your reasons for disliking him.  This is America, and I would not dare deny you the right to express your opinions.  I have no problem with you on this front.  What, quite frankly, pisses me off about you is the fact that you constantly present your opinions- filtered through a distorted, biased viewpoint that is not in any way representative of the majority of the state (much less the Democratic electorate in the state)- as indisputable facts.  That is trollish behavior that does nothing but spread misinformation to people on this site that do not live in Ohio, and are not likely to gain a more accurate view of what is actually happening here.

            •  Why that's crap (0+ / 0-)

              What I do is cite polls that are published data. These polls are not my opinion, and I provide links to the polling sites. That information is not filtered, it's simply the data.

              In the past 11 months, Strickland had dropped steadily from a 30 point lead to a 10 point deficit. That is indisputable.

              Now there are plenty of races where the polling runs contrary to my personal wishes. I wish Jennifer Brunner were thrashing Rob Portman in polls, but she isn't. I wish Martha Coakley had won in Massachusetts. I'm entirely capable of separating my opinions about candidates from my reporting of the polling data, and I make that distinction clear in my diaries.

              It's high time those of you who think that Strickland has a prayer of winning the governor's race provided one shred of data to support your position.

              Before you do that, stop attacking the messenger.

  •  Implications for Brunner (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ohiobama

    She needs to take no vacations between now and general election night.

    She needs to be for the Browns, Bengals, Buckeyes, Cavaliers, Blue Jackets, Indians, Reds or confess her true loyalties and compliment the worthy opponents.  And she needs to know who the standouts are on each team.  Well enough not to be pandering.  She needs to go to Mansfield for a race.  She should talk to some of these folks, honestly talk to them about Ohio and what they think.  And again, honest conversation, no pretensions to expertise, and absolutely NO PANDERING.

    She needs to go and have a rally in every county in Ohio before, meet and greet people -- in the snow, in the rain, in the mud -- and after the rally, she should knock on a few doors and chit-chat -- even with Boehner or Schmidt Republicans (can respectfully agree to disagree).

    She needs to rally her base before kicking off her every-county rallies and organize them to do the set-up and treat them as important, having informal talks about policy and the direction of the country before and after the rallies -- with the volunteers.  She should not exclusively go off with the local party bigwigs and shun ordinary folk, but she shouldn't diss the bigwigs either.  They need each other.

    She should talk honestly about the corruption problem in Ohio, how it has been a recurring problem historically, what she's done as Secretary of State to deal with it, especially with regard to elections, and how that experience will enable her to conduct oversight in DC.  No taking one for the party by ignoring corruption.

    In terms of schedule, she should kick off her general election campaign in southeastern Ohio, move toward Cincinnati-Dayton, pulling in folks from the primary rallies into large events in southern Ohio.  At the same time, she should begin field organizing in every county with a goal of having at least five key volunteers in every precinct from which she can field one poll worker per precinct and four or more canvassers on election day.

    And the small donor money will follow the excitement.  And she should ask small donors who can to contribute for their friends and neighbors who they know support her but cannot because of unemployment.

    She should crank up her constituent service operation during the campaign and start helping people regardless of whether they say they support her or not to get needed government and charitable aid.  And involve her volunteers in every county in making sure that necessary aid is getting to people and that federal funds are getting to local governments - regardless of whether they are run by Democrats or Republicans.

    The last three weeks of her campaign should be devoted to building excitement in Cleveland for getting out the vote.

    Those are the lessons from Massachusetts.  I would hope that every remaining Democratic politician knew them before the Coakley campaign and do not allow paid consultants and campaign teams to give them amnesia with regard to the voters.  Exerting strong leadership over your team  and not allowing them to do stupid things is the test of leadership that voters use in deciding about a candidate.  It is not just a policy or principles of government checklist.

    Good luck to Secretary of State Brunner.

    50 states, 210 media market, 435 Congressional Districts, 3080 counties, 192,480 precincts

    by TarheelDem on Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 08:19:42 AM PST

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