Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 3/8/2010-3/11/2010. Registered Voters. MoE 2.8% (Last week's results in parentheses):
|PRESIDENT OBAMA||54 (53)||42 (43)||+2|
|PELOSI:||35 (36)||56 (56)||-1|
|REID:||26 (27)||67 (66)||-2|
|McCONNELL:||20 (21)||63 (63)||-1|
|BOEHNER:||19 (19)||63 (62)||-1|
|CONGRESSIONAL DEMS:||38 (37)||60 (61)||+2|
|CONGRESSIONAL GOPS:||23 (24)||68 (67)||-2|
|DEMOCRATIC PARTY:||40 (39)||56 (57)||+2|
|REPUBLICAN PARTY:||29 (30)||67 (66)||-2|
Since this is now the second week since the big transition from a universe of all adults to a universe of registered voters, we can finally draw some legitimate comparisons.
Unfortunately, there isn't a whole lot of volatility to explore. The Democrats (with the exception of the leadership) gain a couple of points in net favorability this week, while the GOPers in question lose a point or two.
That said, some other key indicators don't show much change. The margin for Democrats on the generic ballot variation remains steady at a three-point edge for the Democrats (46-43, up a point for both sides). Meanwhile, the right track-wrong track indicator (critical for the incumbent party) only improved incrementally, from 38/60 to 39/60.
Another key stat, one we have been tracking for a long time, is voter intensity. Those numbers change only a little this week, and in the Republicans' direction. The GOP now has a 51/21 split between those who seem likely to vote versus those who appear unlikely to vote, a net improvement of two points for the Red team (49/21 last week). Meanwhile, the net Democratic voter intensity slacked off by a point (40/32, from 39/30 last week).